The MMA Vivisection - UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira picks, odds, & analysis

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It’s UFC PPV week and that means another card stacked top to bottom with fantastic fights. The main event will see Israel Adesanya face off with the only man to knock him out in combat sports, Alex Pereira—this time with the UFC middleweight title on the line. In the co-main Carla Esparza looks to make the first defense of her second reign as strawweight champ, against former belt holder Weili Zhang. Throw some Dustin Poirier vs. Michael Chandler action in there and it’s a guaranteed good time.

For fans interested in diving deeper into the undercard, check out the Prelims Vivi below.

The MMA Vivisection is brought to you by ‘The Fine Art of Violence’, a collection of art and essays recapping the year in MMA by Chris Rini, featuring the most talented artists and writers in Mixed Martial Arts. The book is available in both hard copy and digital formats at chrisrini.com.

Here’s a look at the UFC 281 fight card as it stood at the time of recording:

ESPN+PPV CARD | SAT. NOV. 12 — 10/7PM ETPT
14. UFC MW Championship: Israel Adesanya (23-1) vs. Alex Pereira (6-1) — At 2:50, Odds 29:54, Picks, Both: Pereira
13. UFC SW Championship: Carla Esparza (19-6) vs. Zhang Weili (22-3) — At 32:28, Odds 45:48, Picks, Both: Zhang
12. 155lbs: Dustin Poirier (28-7) vs. Michael Chandler (23-7) — At 47:04, Odds 1:02:29, Picks, Both: Poirier
11. 135lbs: Frankie Edgar (24-10) vs. Chris Gutierrez (18-3) — At 1:03:00, Odds 1:17:13, Picks, Both: Gutierrez
10. 155lbs: Dan Hooker (21-12) vs. Claudio Puelles (12-2) — At 1:17:26, Odds 1:24:00, Picks, Both: Hooker

ESPN+ PRELIMS | 8/5PM ETPT
9. 155lbs: Renato Moicano (16-5) vs. Brad Riddell (10-3) — At 1:34, Odds 14:16, Picks, Both: Riddell
8. 205lbs: Dominick Reyes (12-3) vs. Ryan Spann (20-7) — At 15:49, Odds 22:03, Picks, Both: Reyes
7. 125lbs: Erin Blanchfield (9-1) vs. Molly McCann (13-4) — At 22:26, Odds 28:44, Picks, Both: Blanchfield
6. 185lbs: Andre Petroski (8-1) vs. Wellington Turman (18-5) — At 30:37, Odds 35:47, Picks, Both: Turman

UFC FIGHTPASS EARLY PRELIMS | 6/3PM ETPT
5. 155lbs: Ottman Azaitar (13-0) vs. Matt Frevola (9-3) — At 37:00, Odds 42:22, Picks , Both: Azaitar
4. 115lbs: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (13-7) vs. Silvana Gómez Juárez (11-4) — At 43:14, Odds 49:24, Picks, Both: Kowalkiewicz
3. 145lbs: Mike Trizano (9-3) vs. Seung Woo Choi (10-5) — At 49:42, Odds 56:42, Picks, Both: Choi
2. 135lbs: Julio Arce (18-5) vs. Montel Jackson (11-2) — At 56:57, Odds 1:03:48, Picks, Both: Arce
1. 205lbs: Carlos Ulberg (6-1) vs. Nicolae Negumereanu (13-1) — At 1:06:09, Odds 1:12:03, Picks, Both: Negumereanu

For those of you following the picks made on the show, we started tracking them with the July 13th, 2020 Vivisection shows for UFC Fight Island 1: ‘Kattar vs. Ige’. So far, here are the overall standings:

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Official UFC 281 Fight Poster

LIVE STREAM UFC 281 PPV ON ESPN+ HERE!

BLOCKBUSTER TWO TITLE-FIGHT SHOWDOWN! Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to MSG (Madison Square Garden) in NYC, NY, on Sat. NOV. 12, 2022, with a must-see thriller that will see perennial fan favorite, No. 1 ranked Israel ‘The Last Stylebender’ Adesanya (23-1), battle No. 3 division ranked contender, Alex ‘Poatan’ Pereira (6-1), for the UFC Middleweight Championship. Meanwhile, in UFC 281’s pay-per-view (PPV) co-main event, we get the current and two-time UFC Strawweight Champion, Carla ‘The Cookie Monster’ Esparza (19-6), defending her title opposite Zhang Weili (22-3). These bouts will be preceded by an exciting Lightweight barnburner between Dustin ‘The Diamond’ Poirier and ‘Iron’ Michael Chandler, in a must-see barnburner.

Don’t miss a single second of EPIC face-punching action!

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