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The MMA Vivisection - UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz picks, odds, & analysis

Zane Simon & Connor Ruebusch are back to break down this week’s UFC event in Las Vegas, NV. With picks and odds for every fight on the card. From Nate Diaz vs. Khamzat Chimaev in the main event down to Darian Weeks vs. Yohan Lainess in the opening prelim.

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The UFC is back again on PPV this week, but it doesn’t feel like the matchmakers got the memo. UFC 279 is headlined by a much-maligned bout between Nate Diaz and Khamzat Chimaev—a fight that seems primed to send Diaz packing from the promotion with a swift kick in the ass. In the co-main, former interim lightweight champion Tony Ferguson tries his hand at welterweight against China Top Team star Li Jingliang. At least the catchweight bout between Kevin Holland and Daniel Rodriguez has all the look of a fascinating challenge.

MMA Vivi, The MMA Vivisection, Zane Simon, Connor Ruebusch, UFC Podcast, MMA Podcast, June M. Williams

For fans interested in diving deeper into the undercard, check out the prelims Vivi below.

The MMA Vivisection is brought to you by ‘The Fine Art of Violence’, a collection of art and essays recapping the year in MMA by Chris Rini, featuring the most talented artists and writers in Mixed Martial Arts. The book is available in both hard copy and digital formats at

Here’s a look at the UFC 279 fight card as it stood at the time of recording (8/31/22):

PPV MAIN CARD | 10pm/7pm ET&PT
Khamzat Chimaev vs. Nate Diaz — At 6:42, Odds 11:47, Picks, Both: Chimaev
Li Jingliang vs. Tony Ferguson — At 15:39, Odds 25:21, Picks, Both: Jingliang
Irene Aldana vs. Macy ChiassonAt 26:00, Odds 30:32, Picks, Both: Aldana
Johnny Walker vs. Ion CutelabaAt 31:56, Odds 40:51, Picks, Both: Cutelaba
Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez — At 41:40, Odds 52:51, Picks, Both: Rodriguez

Hakeem Dawodu vs. Julian ErosaAt 1:05, Odds 13:21, Picks, Both: Dawodu
Jailton Almeida vs. Anton TurkaljAt 13:54, Odds 20:15, Picks, Both: Almeida
Denis Tiuliulin vs. Jamie PickettAt 20:39, Odds 24:58, Picks, Both: Tiuliulin
Jake Collier vs. Chris BarnettAt 26:31, Odds , Picks, Both: Collier

Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle WolfAt 34:44, Odds 40:11, Picks, Both: Dumont
Chad Anheliger vs. Alateng Heili — At 41:57, Odds 44:27, Picks, Both: Heili
Melissa Martinez vs. Elise ReedAt 45:21, Odds 49:33, Picks, Zane: Reed, Connor: Martinez
Darian Weeks vs. Yohan Lainesse — At 51:00, Odds 55:53, Picks, Both: Lainesse

For those of you following the picks made on the show, we started tracking them with the July 13th, 2020 Vivisection shows for UFC Fight Island 1: ‘Kattar vs. Ige’. So far, here are the overall standings:

  • Zane went 11/12 for 91.7%, while Connor went 8/12 for 66.7% for our last event, UFC Paris: Gane vs. Tuivasa.
  • Zane is now at 714/1101 for 64.9% and Connor is now at 671/1101 for 60.9% overall from UFC Fight Island 1 through UFC Paris.
  • Zane is at 245/364 for 67.3% and Connor is at 229/364 for 62.9% so far for 2022.
  • Zane went 305/493 for 62% and Connor went 285/493 for 58% for 2021.
  • Zane went 164/244 for 67% and Connor went 157/244 for 64% for July-Dec 2020.
    Reference: Vivi Picks Stats_9.8.22.pdf

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LIVE! Watch UFC 279 PPV On ESPN+ Here!

BLOCKBUSTER WELTERWEIGHT SHOWDOWN! Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Sat., Sept. 10, 2022, with a must-watch updated Welterweight thriller that will see perennial fan favorite, Nate Diaz now battles former top-ranked Lightweight contender, Tony Ferguson, who will return to the 170-pound weight class for this last minute, upgraded assignment. Meanwhile, In UFC 279’s pay-per-view (PPV) co-main event, we now get the undefeated No. 3-ranked contender, Khamzat Chimaev, opposite Kevin ‘Trailblazer’ Holland.

Don’t miss a single second of EPIC face-punching action!