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Pacquiao vs. Horn odds: Pacquiao favored, but betting line closer than recent fights

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Manny Pacquiao is the favorite over Jeff Horn Saturday night, but maybe not by as wide a margin as you might expect.

Manny Pacquiao & Jeff Horne Press Conference Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images

Saturday night’s marquee boxing match-up is the latest from Manny Pacquiao. Pacquiao has been in with a pretty steady stream of opponents that have failed to excite the public as of late, but Saturday’s is particularly lacking. The Hall of Famer takes on Jeff Horn, an Australian fighter with no notable wins on his resume.

As you would expect, Pacquiao is the favorite. Here are the latest odds, courtesy of Bovada:

Manny Pacquiao -600
Jeff Horn +400

Pacquiao is definitely the favorite here, and given Horn’s pedigree, he should be. But considering the degree of mismatch, these are actually pretty close odds. For comparison, in Pacquiao’s last fight he sat at -750 against Jessie Vargas - a fighter who, like Horn, did not stand much of a chance, but it seems fair to say Vargas is the superior fighter to Horn. Is this an indication that fans are losing confidence in Pacquiao, or that as an unknown, there’s a temptation to bet on the X Factor that is Horn? Either way, these are long odds to bet on the favorite, but it’s a pretty tempting one. If you do go for a Pacquiao bet, make it by decision, as he has not finished an opponent since Miguel Cotto in 2009.

Prior to the Vargas fight, Pacquiao was a slim favorite in the third Timothy Bradley fight at roughly -200, was the underdog to Floyd Mayweather, and -750 against Chris Algieri.

Here are the odds for the rest of the card:

Michael Conlan -10000
Jarrett Owen +1600

Jerwin Ancajas -2000
Teiru Kinoshita +900

No need to place action on either of these.

Finally, here are odds on the upcoming boxing superfights:

Gennady Golovkin -170
Canelo Alvarez +140

Floyd Mayweather -600
Conor McGregor +400

And yes, that does mean the Mayweather odds are getting closer - Floyd once sat at -3000, then hovered around -850 for awhile. How close they will get may end up being one of the most fascinating aspects of this megafight.

Join Bloody Elbow Saturday night for Pacquiao vs. Horn live fight night coverage starting at 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.