Tommy Toehold’s UFC 211 main and co-main event predictions

UFC 211 kicks off later today and is, hands down, one of the best cards, if not the best card, we’ve seen in 2017—at least on paper. It’s no UFC Summer Kickoff press conference, but it’ll do in a pinch.

With two titles on the line and a stacked bout sheet from top to bottom, there’s absolutely no way we don’t get at least a few great fights out of this event. Let’s not forget the title-eliminator match-up between Jorge Masvidal and Demian Maia that will surely mean the winner has to fight four more times before actually getting to compete for the strap. There is literally (and I see that word with all the force of a Michael Johnson threat of death) something for everyone.

In celebration of today’s event, Bloody Elbow content partner Thomas J. Toehold, Esquire has a couple great breakdown/prediction videos, and one focuses solely on the main and co-main events. That’s the one I’ve chosen for you guys and gals. I’ve taken the liberty of transcribing a small portion of the Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. Jessica Andrade prediction for you:

“The big stats here are in defense. With a 69.4% strike defense rate, Joanna simply gets hit less than Andrade does. Factor in the 47.9% takedown defense rate, and you’ve got a problem for the challenger. I think the champion keeps this fight on the feet. This fight is definitely going all five rounds.”

You can check out who Mr. Toehold is picking to win this fight, as well as who he’s chosen to be victorious in the main event by checking out this short (just 3-and-a-half minutes long) video.