That's what Renan Barao is going to have to cope with in the face of his new post-apocalypse UFC on Fox 16 reality. He got blown up and has now been sent out into the radioactive wasteland to fight off the oncoming hordes. If he tears everything down and tries to rebuild from the ground up it may be more likely that he loses more than he gains. Barao's basic style of fighting, his skill set, his abilities are solid, they work. They beat most guys, just not the one in front of him on Saturday. Where he goes after this loss will be an interesting sight to see. On the other hand, Barao's loss took me to 8-4 on the night (7-5 if you want to be a jerk about it).
Disclaimer Time: I don't gamble, this isn't a gambling guide, I don't put that much faith in my fight picks. No matter how much work I put into picking fights, my goal is always to create narrative out of sporting contests and to weigh expectation against results. In that sense, odds are a great way of measuring public expectation and fight picks are a great way of measuring my own. I'm using Odds Shark for the odds on each fight and taking the mode for each fighter. So, on to the fights:
Takanori Gomi (+255) vs. Joe Lauzon (-300) (I picked Lauzon, I was right)
Renan Barao (+170) vs. T.J. Dillashaw (-200) (I picked Dillashaw, I was right)
Those are my collected thoughts from this week's UFC card. As always, so much of what I wrote seems obvious now, but that's the benefit of hindsight. Stay tuned for next week, when I take on Ronda Rousey and why she should find better things to do than cage fighting.
*This week's quote from the movie Panic in Year Zero!