It's been a pretty disappointing string of events for the UFC, but all that looks to change with UFC Fight Night 50's excellent lineup. Here's a glance at where, it seems, everyone's UFC careers stand heading into this weekend.
Likely Cut With a Loss
Chris Camozzi (19-8, 6-5 UFC) - A four-fight win streak from 2012-13 has, unfortunately, given way to three straight losses for Camozzi. It's hard to imagine his UFC career enduring a fourth.
Possibly Cut With a Loss
Sean Soriano (8-1, 0-1 UFC) - It wouldn't be unheard of for an 0-2 fighter to be kept for a third turn in the Octagon, but Soriano was finished in his last time out, and more of the same this weekend could put him at risk. It's debatable what role, if any, a last-minute change in opponents could play.
Rodrigo Damm (12-7, 3-2 UFC), Al Iaquinta (8-3-1, 3-2 UFC) - Both of these guys have seen modest win streaks come to a close, but I think the biggest threat to either of them, really, is apathy. They make for solid undercard competition, but neither has made much noise in the division, and their performances have been largely forgettable. There are a lot of UFC events, but there are also a lot of fighters out there, and it's possible that the powers-that-be would give up either Damm or Iaquinta's position on the roster to a potentially explosive up-and-comer.
Rafael Natal (17-6-1, 5-4-1 UFC) - His UFC career has been a bit up-and-down, marked by a couple decent upset wins as well as one or two unexpected losses, and he's now dropped two in a row. As his opponent Chris Camozzi demonstrates, it's possible to be kept around despite a third loss in a row, but it's not all that common.
Likely Safe Regardless of Outcome
Chas Skelly (12-1, 1-1 UFC) - Between his recent upset win and the fact that he's stepping in on short notice, I'm sure that Skelly would be given another fight even if he does drop below the .500 mark.
John Moraga (14-3, 3-2 UFC), Justin Scoggins (9-1, 2-1 UFC) - Moraga made a big splash with a first-round KO in his UFC debut, but has been pretty underwhelming since. He's 1-2 in his last three and hasn't won convincingly since 2012. Still, his two losses came against the champ and a perennial contender, and he's a flyweight with a demonstrated potential for the finish. They'd probably keep him,
Tateki Matsuda (10-5-0), Chris Beal (9-0, 1-0 UFC), Derrick Lewis (11-2, 2-0 UFC) - Both Beal and Lewis are at the start of winning UFC careers and have demonstrated a knack for impressive knockouts. And Matsuda, as the only fighter making his promotional debut this weekend, is likely guaranteed another shot, too.
Nik Lentz (25-6-2-1NC, 9-3-1-1NC UFC), Charles Oliveira (18-4-1NC, 6-4-1NC UFC), Joe Lauzon (23-9, 10-6 UFC), Michael Chiesa (11-2, 4-1 UFC) - There may be some concerns about the current trend of Lauzon's career, but otherwise these guys have all ensured their place in the UFC, either by being dependable action fighters or, in the case of Lentz, by getting undeniable results.
Matt Mitrione (7-3, 7-3 UFC) - Given the potential for a 1-4 run, things were looking a little dicey for him heading into his last fight, but a KO win over Shawn Jordan in that bout has, I think, secured Mitrione another shot beyond this weekend.
Alistair Overeem (37-13, 2-2 UFC), Ben Rothwell (33-9, 3-3 UFC), Ronaldo Souza (20-3-1NC, 3-0 UFC), Gegard Mousasi (35-4-2, 2-1 UFC) - The headliners are, as usual, all safe. The heavyweights are in a slightly more precarious position, as both Rothwell and Overeem have, each in their own way, had somewhat underwhelming UFC careers. Still, Rothwell's coming off a win would should give him some breathing room, and Overeem is enough of a spectacle that I think the UFC will want to hold on to him for a while longer if they can.