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UFC 179: Aldo vs. Mendes 2 - Idiot's Guide and Preview for Carlos Ferreira vs. Beneil Dariush

Carlos Diego Ferreira and Beneil Dariush fight to decide which lightweight to separate themselves further from their wild bouts with Ramsey Nijem. Here are the three things you need to know about this bout.

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Lightweight Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Beneil Dariush

Not the biggest stakes in this matchup. Ferreira is 11-0, and undefeated in the UFC with 2 wins with both being finishes that earned him an extra pat on the back paycheck. Beneil is 8-1, and has only ever won by decision once. This bout is pretty typical of most PPV openers: stakes may not be high, but it's a certified action film.

3 Things You Should Know

1. The action against their common opponent, Ramsey Nijem, is more telling than you'd expect about what it predicts for this fight.

Beneil was finished inside of a round to Nijem while Ferreira was able to finish Nijem in the 2nd. MMath is the key right? I can't imagine more dramatically different outcomes yielding the exact same observations.

Just to catch up those who don't remember how these two fights went down, it was like this. Carlos got caught in a striking war with Nijem, and after some dramatic back and forth, knocked Nijem out in the 2nd. Beneil got caught in a striking war with Nijem, and after some dramatic back and forth, got knocked out by Nijem in the 1st.

In other words, when pressed, both men can get sucked into striking wars. Both guys were hurt by Nijem, which doesn't bode well for their future in the shark tank (not that anyone cares, but I have trouble spelling 'shark tank' correctly the first time thanks to Gus Johnson) of a division.

Their bout with Nijem is a good example of the role "luck" plays in professional sports, which is too often ignored in favor of the head down, work hard narrative.

2. Beneil's southpaw stance won't benefit him the way southpaws usually do against orthodox strikers.

It's a cliche at this point, but southpaws carry inherent advantages against orthodox strikers. They're more experienced fighting orthodox strikers than orthodox strikers are, fighting southpaws, and footwork becomes more complicated along with the orthodox fighter's ability to comfortably throw their right hand.

However, this doesn't mean that southpaws possess magic boxing dust. In Beneil's case, his problem is that he's a lot like Nijem. Rather than establish a jab, and follow it up with a straight left, he lunges in with power strikes, and therefore takes away the complexities of fighting in such a stance to begin with. Ferreira isn't a gifted striker. He throws a standard one-two, and doesn't move his feet well, but he does a good job of committing to his strikes during his exchanges. You don't need to move a lot to be effective with your boxing, and Ferreira is often effective. At the same time, Beneil is athletic enough that he can get away with his wild movement.

3. Beneil Dariush's training with Romulo Barral is enough to avoid being a +180 underdog.

The odds in this card in general are all over the place. A lot of bouts are more competitive than they look, and this one is no different. Ferreira, either throughout his career or against Nijem, has never displayed real striking chops (his TKO over Nijem was his first), nor does he have especially good wrestling whereas Beneil makes this bout a wash on the ground.

More than a wash, I think he has a slight advantage. He didn't look out of place against Kron Gracie two years ago, after all. This is a close fight because I think Beneil is still early in his development, whereas Ferreira is more polished during his current plateau, but Beneil is capable of finding opportunities on the feet not counting any potential improvements he's made to his game.

Prediction

Beneil Dariush by TKO, round 3.