Ah...no...

Anyone who puts monies on Shibata will wake up on the 12th with less monies than they had on the 11th.

I think Hansen is a very bad matchup for Alvarez. His awkward southpaw stance could give Eddie fits. and Hellboy is dangerous standing, especially if you're not ready for an unconventional attack. Plus Alvarez' wrestling usually allows him to decide where the fight takes place but since I give Hellboy the edge standing AND on the ground (even from his back), I don't think that will help Eddie. Alvarez/Kawajiri would be an interesting match that I think Eddie has a better chance to win, but que sera sera.

Don't listen to my boy Nate.  You're right on.  I've had Alvarez as my dark horse since the tourney was getting started.  I've got money on him to win the whole thing (I don't think he will...but those odds were even better before the tourney started...and it's a fun play).  I'm also putting a little on him to take out Hansen, but I will agree with Nate that Hansen may be the worst match-up style-wise for Alvarez.