UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs. Khabilov - Preliminary Card 'Just Bleed' Q & A Breakdown

Photo by Esther Lin of MMA Fighting

Bloody Elbow begins today's preliminary card preview on the same day as the Stanley Cup Finals between the LA Kings and the New York Rangers. Can Sergio Pettis continue his ascent in the BW division, among others?

LA vs. New York in the Stanley Cup Finals today. Who ya got?

Everyone's banking on LA because that's the smart pick. Not only has the Western Conference dominated the Stanley Cup Finals, but LA has a roster I'd argue is better than the one they won the cup with. Acquiring Gaborik turned into the type of free agent signing the Pittsburgh Penguins wish they were good at.

And yet two words make this competitive: Henrik Lundquist. For some reason Quick is still lauded by talking heads, and yet with a SV% of .906, I don't consider this a gimme. Sure Quick has faced some excellent competition, but New York took one of the more difficult routes an Eastern Conference team could-

Let's talk fights before BE readers check out. Nobody cares about hockey anyway.

Good point. Although that would make their give-a-shit-o-meter the equivalent of a modern UFC undercard.

So this one sucks?

Well, not really.

You're just trying to be nice aren't you?

Expectations, dear Watson. The undercard is solid because there are a lot of name fighters in reasonable matchups.

Like Sergio Pettis? Seems like a bust to me. He couldn't even beat Alex Cacares.

If we were dissecting Pettis as your typical prospect, there might be truth to Pettis as a bust, but this is woefully incorrect. Pettis is not your typical prospect. For one, he's had some tough matchups. Will Campuzano and Alex Cacares are both solid fighters. Campuzano less so, but Cacares is turning into a prospect in his own right. Two, Pettis is 20 years old!

This was the same year childhoods around the world were christened with Jurassic Park. Plus I'd expect him to beat Yaotzin Meza, who is good fodder for him. Even with Meza at +350, Pettis will continue to imitate his brother reasonably well. THe only thing worrying me about baby Pettis is that he's gonna have to develop a more potent and/or quality defensive wrestling game. He doesn't have the knockout power that his brother does, so he can't afford to let his opponents linger for three rounds.

Hey, it's Patrick Cummins! I remember that guy. He's the guy Dana picked at a traffic stop, begging for change, now destined for great things?

Not exactly. But you would come away with that impression if their promotion of him was any indication. Thankfully, Cummins no longer has to deal with these awful detours. Nor does he have to deal with the spotlight.

The Division 1 NCAA wrestler didn't get to show us much against Daniel Cormier, but this can hardly be held against him. While a "suicide gameplan" might have earned him some fans, he lost in a way that validates the term 'outclassed'. No shame.

His opponent is +265. Is Roger Narvaez to Patrick Cummings what Patrick Cummings was to DC?

No, but the UFC has found an opponent who Cummings shouldn't have trouble with. Narvaez is a top control wrestler with a far less impressive pedigree, which is to say, none to speak of.

He's been doing work for Legacy FC taking on middling competition. Narvaez may be able to pick up wins eventually in the UFC, but this is an awful matchup. Roger prefers top control, and has the unsure type of striking you see in wrestle boxers who haven't yet figured out the boxing part. He's a little slow with not much of a shot, but he's strong in the clinch, and knows how to aggressively pass guard. It's a good fight for Cummings, who at 33 needs the experience if he wants to call himself a prospect.

Jon Tuck vs. Jake Lindsey (+145). Scott Jorgensen vs. Danny Martinez (+215). Bobby Voelker vs. Lance Benoist (+125). Any good bets here?

None.

Jake Lindsey is a minor wildcard. With a 9-0 record over some ok competition, this sounds like the same exact description of Jon Tuck, who had a shot on TUF until his toe began pointing south instead of north. Lindsey is more project than prospect. There are some real, what I'd call 'primitive' aspects to his game. He fights like a novice in certain ways, but he really shines in close quarters where his knees and elbows can take over. His problem is that there's no real rhythm behind the violence. Tuck is more polished, but he's been plagued by cardio issues, so it's not a gimme by any stretch of the imagination.

Scott Jorgensen will get to do this thing finally. He's 1-5 in his last six, but he's had a dreadful schedule. And dreadful luck. The headbutt clearly didn't do him any favors against Jussier Formiga. I don't expect a lot from Scottie from here on out. He is who he is; a solid wrestle boxer who moves forward and throws 'them bungalows', as they say. Against a middling fighter like Martinez, he'll shine. Although Danny is talented enough that Scott may not want to test him too much on the feet.

As for Voelker, what can I say? I'm one of the few utter morons who thought Roger Bowling had potential, and longevity in the sport, and figured wins over Bowling meant something. Clearly, I was wrong. Voelker hasn't even had the toughest schedule, but has been soundly defeated in all of this bouts. Benoist is a reasonable bet because stylistically, he won't be looking to trade punches which is what Bobby wants. Then again Bobby hasn't been submitted since 2007, although you can easily argue Benoist is a much better grappler than Voelker is accustomed to.

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