Let's face it - the UFC 163 card isn't very good. After the top two fights, there's a steep drop off in talent and relevance. In addition to that, a lot of late replacements and lopsided matchups makes the event pretty unpalatable from a betting perspective. I may have given that particular vice up, but I can still tell whether a card has a lot of redeeming betting qualities or not. This one falls on the very bad side. Here, see for yourself.
Eight of the twelve fights feature one fighter that's over +300. What is this, Strikeforce? And of the four bouts that are relatively close, there's isn't much to pick between the combatants. Is Thales Leites worth a bet as a slight favorite over Tom Watson even though he's coming off major knee surgery? Is the pseudo-hype behind Ednaldo Oliveira enough to risk a bet in the -130 range? Can any of these dogs come though?
Of all the underdogs, the one that I think has the best chance of winning is Jose Maria Tome. While I think Lineker is a great fighter, Tome is 33-3, finishes a lot, and has the ground game to exploit Lineker's weaknesses.
Other than that? All I see a big dose of "wait until the next card".