Tonight, Saturday May 4, Bloody Elbow presents live fight coverage of the Floyd Mayweather vs. Robert Guerrero PPV presented by Showtime Boxing. May Day Mayweather vs. Guerrero airs this Saturday, May 4 live on pay-per-view with a fight time of 9:00 p.m. ET / 6:00 p.m. PT. Bloody Elbow will have live fight night coverage, including results and discussion.
Oddsmakers have Floyd Mayweather as the heavy favorite in this fight, and for good reason. He's the undefeated fighter, the #1 top dog in boxing. He's barely been challenged for years, and seems just miles above virtually every other fighter out there. He's also the kind of fighter who brings in a much wider audience - fans will tune in tonight who have not watched another boxing fight all year. And for many of those fans, challenger Robert Guerrero is a complete unknown. All of this adds up to an important question - similar to the one that has to be asked every time Floyd Money Mayweather fights:
Does Robert Guerrero have a chance?
Obviously, Floyd is the smart money pick, but that's not the question. The question is if Guerrero even has a shot at winning this, or making it a competitive, close fight. Guerrero does have his supporters, and there will always be those who argue that a challenger to the dominant champion does have a chance. So let's take a look at the pro-Guerrero arguments and see if they hold up.
1. He just beat Andre Berto, who was using the Mayweather style of defense. Yes - this is true. Against Guerrero last fall, Berto employed the famed Mayweather shoulder roll, and Guerrero blasted right through it, getting inside, roughing Berto up, and taking the win in an underrated fight. So that means Guerrero has the formula to defeat the shoulder roll, right? Not even close. First, we must state the obvious - Andre Berto is no Floyd Mayweather. He's a talented fighter, and Guerrero's win over him is a notable accomplishment, but to suggest that Berto's use of the shoulder roll is even remotely on par with Mayweather's is ridiculous. What's more, Berto gave up this style partway through the fight as it wasn't working for him. Berto vs. Guerrero showed us that Robert Guerrero is tough, no doubt. But it didn't show us that he has any answer for the uncrackable riddle of the Mayweather defense.
2. Mayweather's record is completely padded anyway. OK, time to face facts. Floyd Mayweather did not face Manny Pacquiao, and I doubt he ever will. He faced Miguel Cotto, Shane Mosley, and Oscar De La Hoya all past their primes. And yes, he does seem to be intent on picking opponents who will keep his undefeated record intact. All of this is fair. It also ignores the sheer brilliance we have seen from Mayweather time and time again. Whoever he has faced, Mayweather has steamrolled them, and he has indeed faced some serious competition - but like all true greats, he makes tough challengers look like amateurs. And there's absolutely no reason to believe that Robert Guerrero is the man to expose this.
3. Mayweather has slowed down, and he's past his prime. The Cotto fight tends to be exhibit #1 here, as Cotto didn't exactly threaten Mayweather, but he did have more success than anyone has for roughly 5 years. Add in the jail time served by Mayweather since his last fight, and there's an idea that maybe we have seen the best of Floyd Mayweather. And as Manny Pacquiao showed last year, even greats do eventually stumble. So is Guerrero ready to play Marquez (or, at least, Timothy Bradley) to Mayweather's fading Pacquiao? Honestly, this is the best argument for a Guerrero win. Because I think they're right - we have already seen the best of the now 36 year old Mayweather. And perhaps the Cotto fight will be looked back on as the beginning of the end. But again, I don't see Guerrero being the man to take advantage of that. Because even if Mayweather has lost a step, he was still so many miles above Robert Guerrero, and pretty much every other possible opponent, that he can still dominate.
So does Robert Guerrero stand a chance? Sorry Ghost, but no, I don't think he does.
Prediction: Floyd Mayweather by decision
Of course, neither did Buster Douglas. Neither did Timothy Bradley. And that's why I'll tune in anyway.
Join us here at Bloody Elbow for Showtime Boxing Mayweather vs. Guerrero PPV results, discussion, and live fight coverage this Saturday, May 4. And get more fight night coverage from MMA Mania and SB Nation.
MAYWEATHER VS. GUERRERO FIGHT CARD:
Floyd Mayweather (43-0; 26 KOs) vs.
Robert Guerrero (31-1-1; 18 KOs)
Daniel Ponce de Leon (44-4; 35 KOs) vs.
Abner Mares (25-0-1; 13 KOs)
Leo Santa Cruz (23-0-1; 13 KOs) vs.
Alexander Munoz (36-4; 28 KOs)
J'Leon Love (15-0; 8 KOs) vs.
Gabriel Rosado (21-6; 13 KOs)