UFC on FX 8: Belfort vs. Rockhold betting lines

Chris Trotman

A look at all the betting lines for this Saturday's UFC on FX 8 card in Brazil, and some recommended plays.

Well well well. I finally have a decent card in terms of betting, and the UFC goes and takes three weeks off. Thanks Zuffa. We're back with UFC on FX 8 though, and I hope to continue my way back to the mythical land of profit with some juicy bets on this card. There's a lot to look at, so let's get right to the lines for each fight (via BestFightOdds):

BestFightOdds.com

As usual, let's start with the main card. I can't remember the last time a UFC card had a pick 'em fight as a main event. Actually, I can - it was the last time Vitor Belfort was in a main event, against Michael Bisping at UFC on FX 7. I picked Bisping in that fight, but I won't make the same mistake here. Rockhold's kicks aren't going to be enough to keep him from getting KO'd here, and I think Vitor's an excellent bet at +109.

Elsewhere on the main card, I believe that Evan Dunham has some value as a dog around +175. Rafael dos Anjos has looked excellent lately, and Dunham starts slow, but I think it's a closer fight than the odds have it. I'd probably pick RDA outright, but I'd bet on Dunham.

On the undercard, a few things jump out at me - Gleison Tibau at under -200 is a pretty good bet. John Cholish is good, but he won't be able to handle Tibau's size and takedowns. John Lineker is pretty underrated right now and he's decently-priced at -140. People are putting Paulo Thiago out to pasture too quickly and he's good enough to defeat Michel Prezeres. The -160 range is a great price for him.

My favorite bet of the night (other than Belfort) is on Hacran Dias though. I don't think people really get how good he is yet and I think he can handle Nik Lentz's smother game a lot better than Diego Nunes did. Getting Dias as a dog is awesome in my eyes, and +125 will be one of my bigger bets on the card.

Recommended plays
1.25 units on Belfort at +109
1 unit on Dias at +125
.5 on Lineker at -140
.5 on Dunham at +175

Last event:: UFC 159- 3-1, +.83 unit
2013 standings: 13-23, -7.18 units

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Bloody Elbow

You must be a member of Bloody Elbow to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bloody Elbow. You should read them.

Join Bloody Elbow

You must be a member of Bloody Elbow to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bloody Elbow. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_5349_tracker