UFC on Fuel 9: Mousasi vs. Latifi betting lines


A look at the betting lines for the UFC on Fuel 9 card this weekend, and some recommended plays too.

We're back with another edition of UFC betting lines. I'm your host Tim B., and today we're going to take a look at a card that is...well, pretty bad on paper. Luckily for people that like to gamble on these here things though, it looks like there might be some value in a fair amount of the UFC on Fuel 9 fights. Here's a look at the odds for Saturday's fights in Stockholm (via BestFightOdds):


I won't even waste your time talking about the new main event and why betting on it is dumb. Actually, the same goes for the co-main too. That leads us to the featherweights. Brad Pickett is a marginal favorite over Mike Easton, and while I like Pickett's style, I actually think Easton is the better fighter overall. He looked horrible against Raphael Assuncao, but I believe he'll get back on track and take a frustrating decision over Pickett here. So I'm happy getting him in the +150 range.

Moving our way on down, I'm a big fan of Adlan Amagov and -155 seems like a good price to me. It's his first fight at welterweight so the weight cut could be a concern, but he has the striking and grappling chops to take out Chris Spang. I also think Michael Kuiper is a decent underdog against Tom Lawlor in the +170 range, and I think Marcus Brimage is worth it in the +150 range against a guy like Conor McGregor, who is taking a huge step up in competition.

My favorite bet on the card is undoubtedly Tor Troeng though. I don't think Adam Cella has anything to offer him on the feet and Troeng should get the quick finish. So he's the guy I'm putting most of my stock in.

Recommended plays:
1.25 units on Troeng at -215
.5 unit on Easton at +148
1 unit on Amagov at -155
.5 unit on Brimage at +150

Last event: UFC 158: 1-3, -1.07 units
2013 standings: 7-15, -6.08 units

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