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Fun With Numbers - P4P Title Defense Comparison

I was bored today, so I put together this comparison of recent title defenses of Anderson Silva, Jon Jones and Georges St. Pierre. I was motivated to do so because I wanted to see whether there was any substance to the stance that GSP's recent low finish rate is the result of his competition, and whether he has historically faced the tougher competition.

I don't really have a horse in this race. I think all three fighters are amazing, and whether it's Silva toying with his food or GSP systematically dismantling his, I love their fights. My personal top 3 PFP is: 1. Silva, 2. GSP, 3. Jones - but I think you can justifiably have those three in any order.

I think the data here is pretty interesting, but I'm mostly presenting it for others to draw their own conclusions.

A quick explanation of the data.

1 - "MP" means major promotion (that generally means WEC, UFC, Strikeforce, Elite XC and PRIDE, but there are a few exceptions). I stuck to that data because this is intended to compare fighters at the highest levels, not when they were learning the chops on the regional circuit.

2 - The opponents listed are each fighter's title fights since UFC 100 (the beginning of GSP's decision streak), not all of their fights (Silva fought twice at LHW, and Jones didn't have a title until 2010).

3 - I put this stuff together by hand from Sherdog's DB, so there are probably some small errors.

4 - This is obviously a very small sample size, and as such, any statistical analysis really needs to be taken with a grain of salt.

Here be numbers:

GSP

Fighter

MP Record at Fight

MP Times Finished Before

Finished By

MP Record Post-fight

MP Times finished after

Finished by

Thiago Alves

11 - 2

2

Fisher, Fitch (!)

2 - 3

1

Kampmann

Jake Shields

10 - 0

0

NA

1 - 1 - 1

1

Ellenberger

Josh Koscheck

13 - 4

2

Thiago, Fickett

2 - 2

1

Lawler

Dan hardy

4 - 0

0

NA

2 - 3

2

Condit, Lytle

Carlos Condit

10 - 1

0

NA

0 - 1

0

NA

Nick Diaz

14 - 2

1

Noons (Doc)

NA

0

NA

Total

62 - 9

5

7 - 10 -1

5

SILVA

Fighter

MP Record at Fight

MP Times Finished Before

Finished By

MP Record Post-fight

MP Times finished after

Finished by

Demian Maia

5 - 1

1

Marquardt

6 - 2

0

NA

Chael Sonnen

5 - 2

2

Maia, Filho

2 - 1

1

Silva

Vitor Belfort

16 - 8

3

Couture (x2), Overeem

3 - 1

1

Jones

Yushin Okami

10 - 2

0

NA

3 - 1

1

Boetsch

Chael Sonnen

7 - 2

2

Maia, Silva

NA

0

NA

Totals

43 - 15

8

17 - 6

3

JONES

Fighter

MP Record at Fight

MP Times Finished Before

Finished By

MP Record Post-fight

MP Times finished after

Finished by

Mauricio Rua

15 -3

2

Coleman, Griffin

2 - 2

0

NA

Quinton Jackson

19 -7

4

Sakuraba, Silva (x2), Rua

0 - 2

0

NA

Lyoto Machida

9 - 2

1

Rua

2 - 0

0

NA

Rashad Evans

12 - 1 - 1

1

Machida

0 - 1

0

NA

Vitor Belfort

19 - 9

4

Couture (x2), Overeem, Silva

1 - 0

0

NA

Totals

74 - 22

12

5 - 5

0


A couple of my takeaways, and I'll let you folks decide if anything else is worth mentioning.

First, I was very surprised that GSP has actually defended his title more times than Silva in that time-frame. Silva has fought more, but two of his were at LHW, so weren't included in this comparo.

Second, Jones has been INSANELY active for a UFC champ, considering he didn't have a title to defend until 1.5 years after the start date for this comparison.

Third, the Major Promotion record for GSP's opponents is hella impressive. 85% winning percentage, vs. 65% for Silva and 70% for Jones.

Fourth, if you're the type to put much stock in a fighter forever breaking their opponent (I'm not), it seems like GSP is king of the hill in that regard. In fact, I was really surprised to see how well Silva's opponents have done post-Silva (even Griffin is 3-1).

Fifth, GSP is the only guy to have fought multiple opponents who had never been finished in the big leagues.

Anyway, I'm not here to change anyone's mind about anything, but I thought it be cool to put this data out here for others to see. Let me know what you think.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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