One of the best events of the year has been watered down a bit by some unfortunate injuries, but UFC on Fox 9 is still going to be pretty damn good. From top to bottom, the card features relevant fighters and intriguing matchups, which is all fans can ask for from these free cards. No Carlos Condit vs. Matt Brown hurts though - there's no two ways about that.
12 of the 22 fighters on the card are coming off a win, with two men making their debuts. One is a rematch of a no contest as well, which means that only six of the combatants on the card come in off a loss. In fact, only two are on multi-fight losing streaks (and they're on the main card). It's becoming a running theme that guys on Fox cards generally don't have much to worry about job-wise, and that continues here. But there are some on the fence, so let's get to it.
Likely to be cut with a loss
Mac Danzig - The UFC likes to take care of their TUF winners most of the time, and Danzig has been in some exciting fights. The problem is that he's come up on the short end of a lot of them. He's 5-7 in the UFC overall and has lost two in a row. He was also knocked out for the first time in his UFC career in his last bout. He desperately needs a win over Lauzon to keep plying his trade in the big leagues, even though it could definitely win fight of the night.
Roger Bowling - What happened in his last bout with Trujillo was just odd. But it doesn't change much in terms of job security from where he was at the last time - going 0-2 in the UFC, especially with a loss in his last Strikeforce fight, isn't going to keep Bowling on the roster. He absolutely needs a W here.
Possibly cut with a loss
Cody McKenzie - Somehow he's 3-3 in the UFC. He did beat up Leonard Garcia in his last fight, but that's going to be much tougher to do against Stout. He went down to 145 for 2 fights but is back at lightweight. I'm not sure how that affects anything, but if Stout blows him out I can see Joe Silva pulling the plug on his UFC run. Most fans aren't going to forget what Chad Mendes did to him.
Abel Trujillo - I don't think Trujillo is in the same spot as Bowling is because he has a UFC win at least. But going 1-2 with that NC won't look good if he does lose, and there's the possibility that they let him go. Especially after Khabib Nurmagomedov tossed him around like a rag doll.