UFC 152: Jones Vs. Belfort Betting Lines

via cdn3.sbnation.com

The betting lines are out for the full UFC 152 card today, and I'm liking what I'm seeing. The main card has one line I'll be jumping on, and the undercard has two or three that you could make some money off of as well. The main one that jumps out at me is Michael Bisping at -175. I think he should be a much bigger favorite to win that fight, considering that he's better almost everywhere. I'll be putting the bulk on my UFC 152 money on him. Other than that, the main card looks pretty simple and there's not much value anywhere.

On the undercard, I like Evan Dunham at -205, Sean Pierson at +135, and Seth Baczynski at -145. Dunham's a bit on the high side at over -200, but he's dealt with better grapplers than Grant handily in the past and I think he's got this. Pierson is more of a gamble, but his wrestling is up to snuff and it should be a good, close fight. And I think Baczynski wins simply because he won't get submitted and he can do enough to take it otherwise.

So I'm gonna start something new here. I'll recommend plays, and keep track of how I'm doing so you guys can see how good/bad I am at this. I promise I'm generally good and have made good money betting on MMA, but this should be a fun way for you to follow along with me (and make fun of me when I lose). If it's dumb and I shouldn't do this, tell me in the comments. I can also explain the unit size thing (get your mind out of the gutter) in the comments for those that are new to betting.

Recommended plays:
3 units on Bisping at -175
1 unit on Dunham at -205
.5 unit on Pierson at+135
.75 unit on Baczynski at -145

You can check out the lines for the full card after the jump.

Lines via bookmaker.eu

Sept 22nd, live on PPV from Toronto, ON:

Main Card:

Jon Jones (16-1) -925 vs. Vitor Belfort (21-9) +625
Joseph Benavidez (16-2) -280 vs. Demetrious Johnson (15-2-1) +220
Michael Bisping (22-4) -175 vs. Brian Stann (12-4) +145
Matt Hamill (10-4) -365 vs. Roger Hollett (13-3) +285
Charles Oliveira (16-2, 1 NC) -255 vs. Cub Swanson (17-5) +205

FX Card:

Igor Pokrajac (25-8) -200 vs. Vinny Magalhaes (9-5, 1 NC) +160
Evan Dunham (13-2) -205 vs. T.J. Grant (18-5) +165
Lance Benoist (6-1) -165 vs. Sean Pierson (12-6) +135
Marcus Brimage (5-1) +325 vs. Jim Hettes (10-0) -425

Facebook Card

Seth Baczynski (16-6) -145 vs. Simeon Thoresen (17-2-1) +115
Mitch Gagnon (8-2) +175 vs. Walel Watson (9-4) -215
Charlie Brenneman (15-4) -220 vs. Kyle Noke (19-6-1) +180

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