Let's assume that judges score fights for winners proportionally similar to the boxing press and fans collected on Fight Score Collector
|Number of Judges Who Choose Bradley||Estimated Probability|
My two cents:
While the most likely outcome of the Pacquiao vs. Bradley fight would be a clean sweep for Manny, there's no immediate cause for belief that this fight was a set up. The one percent chance that two or more judges have an off night seems far more likely Bob Arum or the Mob conducting backstage deals at the highest level of an international sporting event in the twenty first century, especially (and unfortunately) when Keith Kizer of the Nevada State Athletic Commission shows little worry or resolve to fix the problems prevalent in the judicial systems in combat sports.