FanPost

UFC 146: FINISH HIM!


UFC 146: The Heavyweights is still nearly 2 months away, but already the excitement is building. With these guys being heavyweights, some are wondering if this has the potential to be the fastest main card in UFC history. To hit that mark, the five main card fights would need to clock in at a total of less than 19:10. Each fight would have to average out to be 3:50 to match the record.

So, not only would be need most of the fights to have finishes, but they would have to be within the first round. When you start to consider the resume's of those involved, it doesn't become too hard to believe that could happen.

Junior Dos Santos - 14-1

  • Finishes - 12
  • Finish rate - 85.7%
  • Wins in the first round - 11
  • First round finish rate(relative to total wins) - 78.5%

Alistair Overeem - 36-11

  • Finishes - 34
  • Finish rate - 94.4%
  • Wins in the first round - 31
  • First round finish rate - 86.1%

Frank Mir - 16-5

  • Finishes - 13
  • Finish rate - 81.2%
  • Wins in the first round - 10
  • First round finish rate - 62.5%

Cain Velasquez - 9-1

  • Finishes - 8
  • Finish rate - 88.8%
  • Wins in the first round - 6
  • First round finish rate - 66.6%

Roy Nelson - 16-7

  • Finishes - 14
  • Finish rate - 87.5%
  • Wins in the first round - 9
  • First round finish rate - 56.2%

Antonio Silva - 16-3

  • Finishes - 14
  • Finish rate - 87.5%
  • Wins in the first round - 11
  • First round finish rate - 68.7%

Gabriel Gonzaga - 13-6

  • Finishes - 13
  • Finish rate - 100%
  • Wins in the first round - 8
  • First round finish rate - 61.5%

Shane Del Rosario - 11-0

  • Finishes - 11
  • Finish rate - 100%
  • Wins in the first round - 10
  • First round finish rate - 90.9%

Mark Hunt - 8-7

  • Finishes - 5
  • Finish rate - 62.5%
  • Wins in the first round - 2
  • First round finish rate - 25%

Stefan Struve - 23-5

  • Finishes - 22
  • Finish rate - 95.6%
  • Wins in the first round - 14
  • First round finish rate - 60.8%

Cumulative (all fighters) - 162-46

  • Finishes - 146
  • Finish rate - 90.1%
  • Wins in the first round - 112
  • First round finish rate - 69.1%

So there you have it, through the wonders of math...we are able to determine that on average, each fight has a 90% chance of being finished finished and a 69% chance of being finished in the first round. Of course, this is just dealing with some raw percentages...anything can happen in MMA. But it seems to me that the chances of the main card being one of the fastest in the record books is pretty good..

We're Gonna Need a Bigger Boat

\The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.

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