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UFC 143: Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit Main Event Dissection

Fighter images via UFC.com

The main attraction of UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit is a scintillating match up for the interim welterweight championship that pits Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit.

The magnetic appeal of this surefire dogfight stems from its unusual brew. Excitement for a show is aroused when the centerpiece fighters bear just one of the elements that fight fans historically adore. Diaz and Condit do not merely exude a multitude of these electrifying traits, they embody them to the very core: stone-cold gameness, endless aggression, constant forward motion and fearlessly embracing precarious situations with absolutely no concept of the word "caution."

The icing on the cake is that Condit and Diaz both follow the most respectable and innovative philosophy on "defense" that mankind could ever imagine, which is offense, and a lot of it. If that doesn't work? More offense. The result is nothing short of unquenchable blood-lust that inevitably unfolds as mass carnage ... all for our viewing pleasure. Such are the ingredients boiling in this cauldron.

Nick Diaz (26-7) probably doesn't like you. He doesn't like the media or doing interviews either. He definitely doesn't like anyone who is audacious enough to sign a contract to fight him, which is the equivalent in his eyes of insulting everything he deems righteous and just in the world. In fact, there's only one thing I know for a fact that Nick Diaz genuinely likes, and that's fighting. He greets sportsmanlike handshakes with defiant middle fingers. If his opponent is within eye-shot, you can bet the meanest mug in MMA is trained directly on him, lip curled in a feral sneer and eyes radiating a maniacal and menacing glare that wordlessly conveys the taunt, "I can't wait to beat your ass." He might not say it aloud -- but you can still hear it.

Repping one of the most volatile arsenals in the sport, Diaz is one-half technical auteur and one-half brawling street thug. The base brutality of his incessant boxing stands in stark contrast to the elegant grace and fluidity of his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Since losing to K.J. Noons by cut stoppage back in 2007, Diaz has pieced together an eleven-fight roll and shows no intentions of stopping.


More UFC 143 Dissections

Koscheck vs. Pierce | Barao vs. Jorgensen | Herman vs. Starks | FX Prelims | Facebook Prelims

Nelson vs. Werdum


Carlos Condit (27-5) is more of a silent killer. Rather than vocalizing his desire to render people unconscious or twist their limbs into confusing angles that even math professors can't comprehend, Condit just beams a chilling and unsettling aura of steely conviction. The kind that makes you scan the room nervously for the nearest exits or clutch your cell phone dearly with the numbers 9-1-1 already dialed in, just in case.

The Greg Jackson trained Muay Thai artist was the longstanding welterweight champion in the WEC before the higher weight classes were folded into the UFC. His split-decision defeat to Martin Kampmann in his Octagon debut was Condit's first loss since 2008 and snapped an eight-fight streak. He responded with four-straight wins, one of which was over top contender Jake Ellenberger, and racked up a "Fight of the Night" bonus in his next and "Knockout of the Night" honors in the two that followed.

You know the score -- we'll reconvene with gifs and analysis after the break.

SBN coverage of UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit

Star-divide

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Striking in MMA is becoming more complex than ever. We're seeing an armada of flashy and atypical kicks from traditional martial arts, Nick Denis just treated us to the first one-shot standing elbow KO in the UFC since Bobby Hoffman circa 2001, Muay Thai fighters are purported to have eight limbs, Jon Jones is coming out of his corner crawling like a spider; all hell is breaking loose.

That makes it quite extraordinary that Diaz, a pugilist of the sweet science, is still one of the most dynamic strikers in MMA.

Penn_x_diaz9_medium It should be so easy to write off this volume-based style as destined for failure. No defense. No power. Chin's wide open. Diaz has been burdened with that criticism for years yet he continues to defy logic through success. Half of his wins are by TKO and he's never been knocked out cold. He eats power punches like they're potato chips.

The effective aspect of his boxing is that he's become a master of disrupting his opponent's rhythm by blaring his own louder, as he excels at taking over as the fight wears on.

Gomidiaz13_medium_medium_medium

To the right is the crafty gogoplata that Diaz used to ensnare Takanori Gomi, testifying to the creative malice of his serpentine guard skills. He's a complete package on the mat and excellent with scrambles, sweeps, defense, controlling posture, creating opportunities and snagging submissions.

The only area he doesn't specifically excel is wrestling, but he has slick Judo that provides adequate takedowns and takedown defense. Regardless, his lack of wrestling prowess is mirrored in Condit, so this match up will consist of pure offensive firepower colliding head on.

3_medium

Condit oozes Muay Thai. His stance, clinch and collection of strikes all smack of the art.

As opposed to Diaz's constant stream of offense, Condit is more judicious in his selection but makes 'em count. He's prevalent from a distance, preferring to gather himself and spring in with volleys from the perimeter.

He employs the teep and front kick like a jab and often follows immediately behind it, such as the flying knee to the left.

2_medium

He's comfortable in either stance and switches back and forth freely. His left hook is strong and he complements it nicely with straight punches, commonly leading with a crisp one-two from the traditional stance.

Low kicks are popularly asserted as a keen tool against Diaz based on his match with Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos. Condit has attacked the leg with roundhouses in the past but mostly as an auxiliary weapon. Considering the way Diaz closes range in a hurry with the willingness to take one in order to give one, kicks lend a risk as well.

1_medium

This clever sweep is reminiscent of Diaz and just one of many reasons why these fighters are so eerily similar and evenly matched.

The clash of styles also draws many comparisons to Nate Diaz, Nick's younger brother, and his recent brawl with Donald Cerrone. Nate and Nick are nearly carbon copies of one another, and both Cerrone and Condit are Greg Jackson students who are long and lanky Muay Thai specialists with stellar BJJ and downright scrappers.

And when this fight plays out in my head, it goes a lot like Nate's fight with Cerrone.

The overall level of competition in the UFC is far better than Strikeforce, yet Diaz has tackled a pretty stout list of strikers there and throughout his career. Based on those performances, it's hard to see Condit out-gunning him in a straight shootout. In fact, even though it doesn't reflect how closely matched these two are, I don't see too many ways for Condit to win. A decision would require both matching and exceeding Diaz's obscene output or timing takedowns for an edge on the score cards. I don't see either submitting the other unless it's when pouncing after a damaging strike.

I'm in agreement with the betting lines that have Diaz as a narrow favorite and expect him to overwhelm Condit on the feet after an even first round.

My Prediction: Nick Diaz by decision.

All gifs via Grappo and Zombie Prophet of IronForgesIron.com

Poll
Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit
Diaz
1065 votes
Condit
615 votes

1680 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 51 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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Agreed again…love the dissections man, good work

by Afrotikiman on Feb 4, 2012 12:13 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

i agree

to me the big question is whether condit can score takedowns. if so, he may be able to squeak out a decision.

of course either guy could get knocked out at any time too

by Clifford J on Feb 4, 2012 12:17 PM EST reply actions  

He didn't say any of that

He said something like, “you have to love it so bad that it hurts” something something then you hate it. Something.

That’s word for word. Seriously though, you’re trying to say Diaz does NOT like to fight?

"In this clip, there's thirteen ways to say you're sorry."

by Dallas Winston on Feb 4, 2012 5:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Feply Rail

That was to Rollo.

"In this clip, there's thirteen ways to say you're sorry."

by Dallas Winston on Feb 4, 2012 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't believe him.

Nick is not exactly a reliable narrator.

Waterboy at Brock Lesnar's Cruelty-Free Pest Control.

by dribblebib on Feb 4, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Actions speak louder than words

He says he doesn’t like fighting but the guy is constantly in a struggle. Whether its in the cage, leading up to the fight, fighting with his boss, with the state athletic commission, or reporters that don’t visit Stockton enough, there is always someone Nick sees as his opponent.
Sure he says he doesn’t like fighting, and my ex said she doesn’t like drama.

by iddqd on Feb 4, 2012 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

As some character in some movie somewhere MUST have said once...

“It’s in your blood!”

"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz

by Chris Groves on Feb 4, 2012 1:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Both are tough as nails but I am rooting for The Natural Born Killer to get the (T)KO

"So what we get drunk So what we smoke weed We’re just having fun We don’t care who sees So what we go out That’s how its supposed to be Living young and wild and free."

by chavez_26 on Feb 4, 2012 12:21 PM EST reply actions  

Um....
Nick Denis just treated us to the first one-shot standing elbow KO in the UFC since Bobby Hoffman circa 2001

Have we forgotten about Ivan Menjivar at UFC 129?

by Marquis Brown on Feb 4, 2012 12:26 PM EST reply actions  

That was a nosebreaker that led to a TKO, not a turn-your-lights-out KO

"I want to tell me what you see, let's go ahead and see by the fight, what you saw, in the ring."

by Horselover Fat on Feb 4, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I think that was a TKO.

Denis put his dude to sleep.

by The Hamburger Pimp on Feb 4, 2012 12:40 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Um ...

"In this clip, there's thirteen ways to say you're sorry."

by Dallas Winston on Feb 4, 2012 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I can't believe so many are going for Diaz

I think Condit is going to shock alot of people in this fight.

by Meek Mill on Feb 4, 2012 12:29 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed.

Nick is fighting someone taller with a longer reach. Condit also likes to use his feet. If Nick can take it to the ground he’ll have the advantage and the win but if they keep it on their feet, Carlos has more than a fighting chance at taking the victory and the belt.

In Schwartz I Trust

by craigdetroit on Feb 4, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

This is seriously a dream match up

I’m cool with either guy winning.

I think promotionally, and as far as ‘which fighter would attract more attention going forward’…I believe Nick Diaz would be better.

I mean, the fan in me doesn’t care…but the part of me that wants to see the sport grow and get more fans…I’m always looking for what the ‘biggest’ matchup is…what is going to possibly get a little bit more coverage from a few more places?

What fight is going to get more people more excited? What has the best chance at expanding the fanbase…even by a tiny margin?

Fights like Jones vs Evans and Diaz vs GSP, if you ask me.

"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz

by Chris Groves on Feb 4, 2012 12:30 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Silva vs Sonnen 2, Cruz vs Faber 3

Those kind of fights…

"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz

by Chris Groves on Feb 4, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Great job on all the dissections for this card Dallas! You the man.

"I want to tell me what you see, let's go ahead and see by the fight, what you saw, in the ring."

by Horselover Fat on Feb 4, 2012 12:36 PM EST reply actions  

Thanks man

Ended up pulling an all-nighter for the last 3.

"In this clip, there's thirteen ways to say you're sorry."

by Dallas Winston on Feb 4, 2012 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow, that is some serious dedication, kudos for that. I’ve only done all nighters when there were large amounts of narcotics involved. Here are some funny cats as a reward. That’s right, while you were busy cat breading emerged as a trend.

"I want to tell me what you see, let's go ahead and see by the fight, what you saw, in the ring."

by Horselover Fat on Feb 4, 2012 5:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Phenomenal comment

I’m still half asleep and don’t fully understand it, but studying it furiously to make sure I soak in all the biblical parallels.

"In this clip, there's thirteen ways to say you're sorry."

by Dallas Winston on Feb 4, 2012 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Good, good. There are always multiple references and hidden messages in all my posts, and at least five or six when images are included. So far nobody has been able to break the code, but needless to say great things await for all of mankind when such a time arises.

"I want to tell me what you see, let's go ahead and see by the fight, what you saw, in the ring."

by Horselover Fat on Feb 4, 2012 6:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I've been wanting to see this fight since before Diaz came back to the ufc

But I can’t understand why everyone is counting Condit out. I think that he’s got more power and isn’t gonna stand in front of Diaz and let him hammer him with shots. Plus I think that he’s faced better competition and is a better, more well-rounded striker. NBK for the mafuckin win, y’all.

by mthom on Feb 4, 2012 12:45 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

I think some are flat out counting him out

But with others…I think it’s just a matter of ‘this fight is close as hell, but if I HAVE to pick, I’ll go with Diaz’

That’s how it is for me…and of course, if you have everyone BARELY picking Diaz…that’s still no votes for Condit.

I don’t think too many people will be utterly shocked if Condit wins.

"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz

by Chris Groves on Feb 4, 2012 12:53 PM EST up reply actions  

and the winner is

the fans

should be an epic fight

Do you pick every UFC winner? Then get into Fantasy MMA! on SB Nation

by Ben Bauman on Feb 4, 2012 1:02 PM EST reply actions  

Diaz takes this one.

Condit’s defense against punches just isn’t good enough. He’ll eventually get worn down.

Share for share, share alike, you'll get struck each time I strike.

by gzl5000 on Feb 4, 2012 1:23 PM EST reply actions  

I think Diaz said it best

Its not gonna matter what Condit does because he’s going to be backing up the whole fight

Quietly leading Cecil Peoples Champs to victory and beyond.

All in the game yo, all in the game

by Our Bovine Public on Feb 4, 2012 1:27 PM EST reply actions  

haha

Ala the Aldo Dissection?

"In this clip, there's thirteen ways to say you're sorry."

by Dallas Winston on Feb 4, 2012 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder what adjustment Jackson might have Condit working on for this fight after Cowboy’s loss to Nate.

by traydawg on Feb 4, 2012 1:55 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

I don’t think that fight is really comparable to this one. For one, Nate had a size and reach advantage over Cerrone. Condit will have the reach advantage against Nick. Condit, while I suppose you can label him a muy thai striker, is a superior puncher to Cerrone and should be able to get off a lot more. The thing that’s similar is that both Diaz brothers are showing their very best recently. Since I’m picking Condit, I hope that the Cerrone fight is instructive to the camp. You cannot move backward against the Diaz brothers. I see Condit going left a lot and using that hook or throwing low kicks.

by Charlie Custer on Feb 4, 2012 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

I think there's a fair comparison.

Cerrone and Condit are both Jackson-trained Muay Thai strikers who don’t focus on leg kicks. Condit is a superior version of Cerrone, but still has the same structural problem against a Diaz.

My take: Condit’s best bets bets to a) try to take away Diaz’s bicycle with leg kicks; or b) try to open up facial cuts with elbows/knees in the clinch. Honestly I think Evangelista Cyborg, of all people, really showed how to be Nick Diaz.

by Sabate on Feb 4, 2012 4:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Except Cyborg was on his way to getting knocked out

He only forgot Diaz was leagues ahead of him on the ground and got tapped when Cyborg tried to steal a round with a takedown.

by discoandherpes on Feb 4, 2012 4:28 PM EST up reply actions  

No argument there.

But Cyborg’s leg kicks were taking their toll. Cyborg just kept getting baited into trying to trade with Diaz.

I won’t say that Cyborg would have one if he kept up the leg kicks, but he was clearly damaging a far superior overall fighter.

by Sabate on Feb 4, 2012 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I remember watching some sort of countdown show or behind the scenes vlog when Condit dropped Guillard during sparring. I was like “Wtf?” cause it was so quick and random. Good times.

WAR DIAZ!

Jon Fitch via Decision

by Dustin Luff on Feb 4, 2012 3:10 PM EST reply actions  

Nevermind, found it. What a hard fucking punch.

Jon Fitch via Decision

by Dustin Luff on Feb 4, 2012 3:12 PM EST reply actions  

Damn...

"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz

by Chris Groves on Feb 4, 2012 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

yes but don't forget one of the verrrry few Condit has lost to is Jake Shields

he must have had a few advices to Nick ..

This fight will be like the fight in the great movie " Snatch" with that great Oasis song in the background. I think its gonna be a hell of a fight indeed.

By the way it was the one and only primetime of UFC in which we saw 3 people feaured ( as to my knowledge ) and to me GSP seemed the most dreadful ,,,

Follow me on Twitter: @szanpan
BE Civil War 2 Team: krcambell
"Maybe I m high.. maybe I'm not... maybe fuck you? Nick Diaz"

by szanpan on Feb 4, 2012 3:21 PM EST reply actions  

and DAMN what a Primetime that was with the 3rd part toppling its predecessors

it was really GREAT!!!

Follow me on Twitter: @szanpan
BE Civil War 2 Team: krcambell
"Maybe I m high.. maybe I'm not... maybe fuck you? Nick Diaz"

by szanpan on Feb 4, 2012 3:53 PM EST reply actions  

Hey the fight primers disappeared. They were a little redundant with the dissections anyway.

Waterboy at Brock Lesnar's Cruelty-Free Pest Control.

by dribblebib on Feb 4, 2012 4:01 PM EST reply actions  

The primers are basically useless IMHO, not sure of their purpose. But I suspect the powers that be have some clever thought behind them.

"I want to tell me what you see, let's go ahead and see by the fight, what you saw, in the ring."

by Horselover Fat on Feb 4, 2012 5:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Google

"I don't know where this term "training camp" in MMA came from. There's no campground. There's no tents." - Nick Diaz

My twitter: @TB_Money

by Tim Burke on Feb 4, 2012 6:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Right, gotcha. As I said for me as a regular the value is unclear, but it’s alright.

"I want to tell me what you see, let's go ahead and see by the fight, what you saw, in the ring."

by Horselover Fat on Feb 4, 2012 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

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