UFC 144: Quinton 'Rampage' Jackson Vs. Ryan Bader Dissection
Quinton "Rampage" Jackson returns to his old stomping grounds against Ryan Bader in the co-main event of tonight's UFC 144: Edgar vs. Henderson extravaganza.
Jackson rose up in Pride FC and immediately magnetized fans and amassed a strong following for his hemispheric personality. His thousand-yard stare and the oversized chain around his neck was gimmicky enough to draw attention, but his sincere humility and good-natured wisecracking made for an infectious contrast. Rampage also seemed to mature and evolve as a fighter throughout his tenure in Pride. It began with a submission loss to Japanese legend Kazushi Sakuraba in his debut, then, a few fights later, started to reflect A-level talent with a reputable wins over Igor Vovchanchyn and former UFC heavyweight champ Kevin Randleman before catching fire at the 2003 Grand Prix.
Rampage defeated another former UFC champion in Brazilian Top Team co-founder Murilo Bustamante, then added a third with a ruthless TKO over longstanding light-heavyweight champion Chuck Liddell. Even though he spoiled the highly anticipated showdown between Liddell and Wanderlei Silva and ended up losing to "The Axe Murderer" in the finals, Rampage etched his name into the annals of MMA that night.
Jackson was among the early waves of Pride fighters who migrated to the UFC and wasted no time: he stopped Marvin Eastman with strikes in his Octagon debut, knocked "The Iceman" out cold in the rematch and then unified the titles by defeating Pride's last welterweight (183-pounds) and middleweight (205-pound) joint champion, Dan Henderson. Forrest Griffin would dethrone Jackson and, in his six remaining fights, Rampage would only falter twice against the top-two light-heavyweights in the world (Jon Jones, Rashad Evans).
More UFC 144 Dissections
Shields-Akiyama | Hioki-Palaszewski | Gomi-Mitsuoka | Yamamoto-Lee
Fukuda-Cantwell | Okami-Boetsch | Mizugaki-Cariaso | Zhang-Tamura
Ryan Bader emerged with the double-edged honor of being a TUF champion; a creditable accolade, but one that required further success in the Octagon to authenticate. Validation came in the form of four consecutive wins in which the two-time D1 All American wrestler tackled increasingly prestigious competition: Camelo Marrero, Eric Schafer, Keith Jardine and perennial top-tenner Antonio Rogerio Nogueira.
His victories over Jardine (first round knockout) and Nogueira (unanimous decision) were highly definitive for such a young fighter, and Bader had maintained his perfect record while establishing himself as a legit contender. His first taste of defeat came against current champ Jon Jones, who was tearing his way toward a title shot and took another step in that direction with a commanding second round submission.
When Bader drew Tito Ortiz, the bout was assumed to be a step down in competition and the bon voyage affair for "The Huntington Beach Bad Boy." Defying the odds, Ortiz floored Bader with a punch and then sealed him off with a guillotine choke to make it two straight. Fast forwarding from contender to facing extinction with the risk of three consecutive defeats, Bader got back on track with a crushing first round knockout of Jason Brilz in his last.
Gifs and analysis in the full entry.
SBN coverage of UFC 144: Edgar vs. Henderson
I think it's obvious that Bader's chances are slim if he tries to either purely out-wrestle or out-strike Rampage, but promising if he conjoins those two strengths together as one. This leaves the blueprint Rashad Evans laid out, which is an agile in-and-out boxing routine complemented by timely double legs when Rampage is preoccupied with striking exchanges.
Bader does have the horsepower to replicate it as well. His stand up has definitely been forged into a sharp weapon and he's getting more comfortable feinting between wrestling and striking attacks.
Bader is a massive puncher and moves well for his size and strength, and he'll want use that movement to stay at angles while Rampage is walking him down.
The worst possible thing he could do is stand in front of Rampage, so I expect Bader to be in constant motion and only throwing short, straight punches like he did against Nogueira. That fight was also a good demonstration of how quick Bader's hands are and how he can take over by controlling distance with movement. The ace up his sleeve is faking takedowns, as Quinton will be forced to react, which usually results in lowering the defensive guard.
For Rampage, the mechanics of this match up closely resemble the Matt Hamill fight. Hamill is a strong and fairly agile wrestle-boxer with a similar skill set to Bader, and Rampage was on-point with his striking and takedown defense.
In fact, Rampage has spent most of his career polishing up a balanced release of his boxing to generate big power while maintaining the ability to sprawl. He immediately retracts his hips and controls Hamill's head in the front headlock position, switches to a right-side underhook for stability and then fires away.
As in the Hunt vs. Kongo Dissection, Rampage starts to rely more heavily on threatening with the uppercut when Hamill keeps dropping his head in the same spot. With a wide, low base, a simple uppercut from a power puncher can be an extremely effective deterrent against wrestlers.
Rampage has always had phenomenal takedown defense but is slightly more susceptible to quickly sprung shots from outside than trips and throws in the clinch. Dropping levels and rifling for doubles from the fringe is how Evans and Jones both grounded him.
I've grown to respect Bader quite a bit and I think he's still improving. His striking has developed a lot of power, but I don't think it's refined enough in the subtle details to wobble Rampage or land the greater amount of effective blows. If he's flawless in using angles and mixing his attacks, I could see him taking a close decision. I have a feeling that Rampage is going to make a strong statement, nullify the early takedown attempts and look for the finish.
My Prediction: Rampage by TKO.
Gifs via Zombie Prophet of IronForgesIron.com
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I hate to be the one to say it, but I think Bader wins now. Rampage had gone on record saying that he cares more about being entertaining and putting on a good show then winning this fight. As we all saw yesterday, he came in overweight and there was an article on bjpenn.com where he said that this was the biggest weight cut he had ever done and he still missed. Add on the fact that he has an injury, and I think this is gonna be a terrible night for Rampage.
Forrest Griffin would dethrone Jackson in his first title defense
His first was actually Henderson, like you pointed out earlier in the article. :p
Lost internet yesterday due to a snow storm
Been writing since about 10 pm last night, which puts me on my thirteenth straight hour.
Good enough excuse?
"I'm gonna go inside and get a shovel."
by Dallas Winston on Feb 25, 2012 11:24 AM EST up reply actions
Um
words?
"I'm gonna go inside and get a shovel."
by Dallas Winston on Feb 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions
Dallas
does your prediction change due to the weigh ins?
Quietly leading Cecil Peoples Champs to victory and beyond.
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by Our Bovine Public on Feb 25, 2012 11:33 AM EST reply actions
Ya know ...
It will change my opinion but not my overall prediction.
I actually started to ramble on about the significance of Chuck being invited to the Pride GP as a UFC rep, Dana doing commentary and talking about “the leg kick plan” and ginormous wager with Sakikabara on Chack x Wand, and then on the potential of Rampage’s near-retirement, motivation, etc … but I just cut it the fuck out and stuck to the fighting mechanics. Elements like that are so intangible that it leaves an obvious variety of unknowns.
"I'm gonna go inside and get a shovel."
by Dallas Winston on Feb 25, 2012 11:45 AM EST up reply actions
I was thinking originally that this fight would look like the Rampage/Hamill fight but now I’m not so sure. If Rampage doesnt end it in the first I think Bader could take it
Quietly leading Cecil Peoples Champs to victory and beyond.
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by Our Bovine Public on Feb 25, 2012 12:18 PM EST up reply actions
It’s a shame Rampage is attributing his weight cut problems due to an injury.
I wonder if Bader will try to exploit that, if he finds a situation to do so.
I think Rampage is going to take this, but after that whole weight cut ordeal i’m starting to think twice, it may be the hungrier younger fighter this time, although Baders skillset isnt the greatest toolkit to beat Rampage.
I am willing to test myself against the toughest fighters in the world, in front of hundreds of thousands or even millions of fans, over and over again. Sometimes I win, sometimes I lose, but I always come to fight. I've been doing this for the past fourteen years, and I have at least a few more strong years left in me. What have you done in the past fourteen years other than act like a moron on this forum and hang on Anderson's nuts? - Dan Henderson.
I like Rampage as much as the next guy.
But…I just don’t see him being at that top level anymore. I think he is mentally and physically checking out of the fight game. He may have the skills and experience to beat Bader, but I just don’t see it happening.
"Life is pain, Highness. Anyone who says differently is selling something"...The Dread Pirate Roberts
He did mention the "r-word"
When you start talking about retiring then you’re already retired as they say.
by HaterSlayer on Feb 25, 2012 12:35 PM EST up reply actions
Like Chris Lytle?
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by wonderfulspam on Feb 25, 2012 6:08 PM EST up reply actions
I thought Bader might get the surprise here initially, but picked Rampage
The weight cut and injury issues has me worried about his cardio. If Ryan Bader can survive a round then he should win the fight.
I can't help think of his UFC fight with Chuck
He said he was injured going into that fight and he knew that he wouldn’t win a long fight… so he got the first round KO.
I think he can do it again with Bader
Hampage gasses in the 2nd, gets caught in a submission and taps for a way out
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Jackson can look terrible and still stop Bader.
Bader is kind of chinny and too easy to hit. Get ready for crazy hype and unwarranted talk of a Rampage – Bones rematch.
Chinny as in a big chin/big target? He’s never been (T)KOd, so you must be talking about his anatomy.
Chael Sonnen has finished 1 of his 14 UFC & WEC fights.
by sexysassytravismmafan on Feb 25, 2012 3:45 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Got dropped by Old Tito
I’d say that qualifies as being “kind of chinny” and definitely “too easy to hit”.
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by wonderfulspam on Feb 25, 2012 6:22 PM EST up reply actions
Tito
I knew that was coming.
Chael Sonnen has finished 1 of his 14 UFC & WEC fights.
by sexysassytravismmafan on Feb 25, 2012 8:24 PM EST up reply actions
He'd need to do a lot more than miss weight and beat up Bader to get that hype going.
If he also strings together a couple finishes against the likes of Machida, Shogun and Evans then maybe we’ll get that train runnin.
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