UFC 143 Predictions: [Insert Witty Subtitle to Make People Click]
The first 'mega-card', but my definition, of the year is finally here. 142 wasn't bad, the first fight night on FX was very good, and UFC on Fox had the potential to be 3 decisions that weren't too exciting from the get-go. UFC 143 is the first mega-card in my book because there is no way in hell the main event doesn't deliver. Everyone knows the routine, below are my picks for the event.
Preliminary card (Facebook)
I'm not going to lie, I know very little about all members involved in these fights...so I literally am just going with a bit of a gut reaction.
Welterweight: Dan Stittgen vs Stephen Thompson - Thompson via something(The analysis gets better later, I swear)
Middleweight: Rafael Natal vs Michael Kuiper - Kuiper via TKO
Preliminary card (FX)
Welerweight: Matt Riddle vs Henry Martinez - Riddle is just plain not amazing, while Martinez is taking the fight on literally a few days notice. He did just fight on the 21st though, so he should be in shape...but he is also naturally a LW fighter. I don't know, something tells me Riddle is good enough to get a win here. Riddle via Decision
Welterweight: Matt Brown vs Chris Cope - Everyone likes to hate on how crappy Chris Cope is or this and that...I'm not saying he is great, but Brown has lost 4 of his last five and might simply be fading at this point and 'losing' whatever he had. Chris Cope via decision.
Bantamweight: Alex Caceres vs Edwin Figueroa - Bruce Leroy looked surprisingly good in his last fight against Escovedo and I think if he can continue to improve and ride the momentum of finally getting a win, that he should be able to take this. Figueroa is game...but I don't think it'll be enough. Alex Caceres via Decision.
Featherweight: Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway - Undefeated or not, taking a short notice fight against one of the best young guns in the division isn't a good idea, other than to get a freebie into the UFC. Dustin Poirier via Submission.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Middleweight: Ed Herman vs Clifford Starks - I'm not going to be as shocked as many will be if Starks pulls this off...but I honestly don't expect him to, he's a wrestler, which should play right into Herman's BJJ game. Ed Herman via Submission.
Bantamweight: Renan Barao vs Scott Jorgensen - The 'Baron' is on a hell of an unbeaten streak. Record wise, he's almost like a Bantamweight Fedor Emelianenko(I've been waiting for ages to make that crappy analogy). Jorgensen should have the edge wrestling, but nowhere else. BJJ, Striking, and I think overall grappling goes to Barao. Many of his fights have been against lower level competition(at higher weight classes, though) but going so many fights without every making a fatal mistake or even getting caught is crazy...he is either very talented, very smart, very lucky, or a combination of both. I don't think Jorgensen ends the streak with what he brings to the table. Renan Barao via Submission.
Welterweight: Josh Koscheck vs Mike Pierce - On paper, it would mostly seem like Kos simply does everything that Pierce does, but just a little bit better. Either way, I'm feeling the upset special and I'll say Mike Pierce via TKO
Heavyweight: Fabricio Werdum vs Roy Nelson - After his performance against Alistair Overeem, that could barely be called a 'performance' at all...I am just extremely skeptical of Fabricio Werdum's ability to, well, perform. I think Nelson is wary enough to not be submitted(far easier said than done against Werdum) and will actually do a good enough job of keeping it on the feet and will eventually land something big and put him away. Roy Nelson via TKO
Welterweight: The Interim Title is on the line as we truly have a battle of champions. Diaz was the Strikeforce WW champ with 3 defenses before heading over to the UFC and he still unofficially 'brings' the title he never lost into every fight. On the other hand, Condit would still have the clout of being the WEC champion with 3 successful defenses if not for a razor thin split-decision loss to Martin Kampmann in his first UFC bout.
These guys really don't know how to do anything but come forward and try to eliminate you. They both have shown all kinds of heart in comebacks wins where they overcame adversity, they've both shown incredible chins and a huge amount of tenacity. Niether of them are amazing wrestlers either...so we shouldn't have to worry too much about one getting into trouble and trying to stifle the other that way.
Carlos Condit has finished 26 of his 27 wins, which is a vicious statistic, while Diaz has finished 21 of his 26 wins. These guys are killers, no two ways about it. This is a fight I wish I didn't have to call. But forcing myself to do so, I'll go out on a limb that Condit suffers the same problem as Diaz's last 11 opponents and just can't handle the pace and style that Diaz brings to the table. I'll be happy with either guy winning, and I feel like it'll be a war that could go either way...but Nick Diaz via Decision in a Fight of the Year candidate.
The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.
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Wow
Our picks look pretty different
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by halitosis on Feb 1, 2012 10:34 PM EST via mobile reply actions
I'd love to hear yours that are different
Just out of curiousity.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
by Chris Groves on Feb 1, 2012 10:51 PM EST up reply actions
I agree with all, accept Caceres. He just plain sucks.
Fuck you, double fingers
- Nick Diaz
Clothes make the man. Naked people have little or no influence on society
- Mark Twain
Yup
He out kickboxed Escovedo, he’s not doing that with a serious muay thai guy
Please donate what you can to the Daniel James Miller Foundation.
Ruining your special night roster: (mostly because I forget who's on my team)
Earl Montclair (Captain), Me, KJ_ZametovStPierre, AboveThisFire, RobertCowan, sunyue, Farthammer, trice, DirtyML, Rutager, and mountaineers101
by halitosis on Feb 1, 2012 10:50 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Have faitfh in the fro, my friends.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
by Chris Groves on Feb 1, 2012 10:53 PM EST up reply actions
What is this 'faitfh'?
Some kind of slang?
Please donate what you can to the Daniel James Miller Foundation.
Ruining your special night roster: (mostly because I forget who's on my team)
Earl Montclair (Captain), Me, KJ_ZametovStPierre, AboveThisFire, RobertCowan, sunyue, Farthammer, trice, DirtyML, Rutager, and mountaineers101
by halitosis on Feb 1, 2012 11:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Yes, like Dennis Bermudez being a 'fafessional'
I don’t just have faith, I have faitfh.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
by Chris Groves on Feb 1, 2012 11:46 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
No way Chris Cope wins. People complain about Bruce Leroy, Cope has the killer instinct of a teddy bear. Matt Brown is going to stomp that kid.
"UFC is so gay, pride is awesome!"
It won't shock me
But neither would Cope winning…which WOULD shock a lot of other people.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
by Chris Groves on Feb 1, 2012 11:47 PM EST up reply actions
No way in hell. Brown sure gets submitted a lot but he's much better than Cope on the feet.
Brown’s going to wreck him.
BECW season 2 member of the Intellegent Northern English Picking Team.
Draft number: 72.
by Sweet Scientist on Feb 2, 2012 5:36 PM EST up reply actions
Any particular reason for taking Kuiper over Natal?
Quietly leading Cecil Peoples Champs to victory and beyond.
All in the game yo, all in the game
by Our Bovine Public on Feb 2, 2012 9:41 AM EST reply actions
No not really
I mean, I could justify it with some stuff like his high finish rate, the fact that he is only 22, undefeated…all that jazz…but really, it’s just kind of a feeling.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
He's undefeated...
against guys who are a combined 30-44. With half those wins shared by two guys.
All in all, if your picks are good, mine are terrible. Except the Diaz/Condit, pretty sure you got that one.
Reppin' the 202 for The Voice's in Paul Harris' Head. BECW Season 12.
I know he's been beating nobodies
But that doesn’t necessarily mean he’s bad. He’s treating nobodies like a talented prospect should be treating them…by not losing and finishing the vast majority of them.
I heard so much crap about how Nurmagomedov wouldn’t be ready for someone anywhere near Shalorus’ level…and he dominated Shalorus.
The fun of it will be seeing just how it goes down. I know I’ve taken some risky picks here with upsets like Pierce and Nelson. Cacares probably SHOULDN’T win, and same goes for Cope.
Usually there is at least one solid upset on a card…so I’m not doing myself any favors by going with several…but oh well.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
Yeah never heard of him but as you mean below just because he has been fighting nobodies doesn’t mean he’s no good. I know I’ve seen Natal a few times but can’t remember him in any of the fights at all
Quietly leading Cecil Peoples Champs to victory and beyond.
All in the game yo, all in the game
by Our Bovine Public on Feb 2, 2012 3:03 PM EST up reply actions
Also, Thompson was originally a short notice replacement
but then the other guy got injured to…so Stittgen is an even shorter notice replacement.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
Did you see the piece at MMAFighting on Thompson?
There isn’t much footage of him available, but they’re raving about his striking, so I’m curious.
What's this war in the heart of nature? Why does nature vie with itself? The land contend with the sea? Is there an avenging power in nature? Not one power, but two?
by Kwisatz Haderach on Feb 3, 2012 5:08 AM EST up reply actions
Sounds cool
‘I be interested’
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
To be honest, the footage available doesn't match the hype to me.
BECW season 2 member of the Intellegent Northern English Picking Team.
Draft number: 72.
by Sweet Scientist on Feb 3, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah, I thought the same, but there's so little tape on him out there...
Looked like a lot of flash though, so should be fun to watch at least.
What's this war in the heart of nature? Why does nature vie with itself? The land contend with the sea? Is there an avenging power in nature? Not one power, but two?
by Kwisatz Haderach on Feb 3, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions
Pretty similar,
Though Cope, Cacerces and (maybe) Nelson ain’t winning. I hope.
As with Emperess above, I’m picking the percentages and sticking with Kos. Though Pierce has a shot.
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Then I win.
"You got Floyd Mayweather making 25 million dollars...he can't stop the double leg." - Nick Diaz
Pretty good picks.
I’ve got Brown, and while Caceres has looked better recently, I’m not taking him here. More than anything, I just keep thinking about the parallel courses Diaz and Condit have taken to get here. Last two WW champs of the smaller promotions, similar records, iron will, iron chin, and on and on. Similar strategically, if you can call it that, pretty different tactics. I’ve been thinking decision for a long time, but just this last week I’m seeing this differently. One of these guys is finally going to get stopped. Either Condit or Diaz is the only guy who can finish the other. I think Condit is cool under the pressure and stops Nick in the third.
What's this war in the heart of nature? Why does nature vie with itself? The land contend with the sea? Is there an avenging power in nature? Not one power, but two?
by Kwisatz Haderach on Feb 3, 2012 5:13 AM EST reply actions

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