Gary A. Vasquez-US PRESSWIRE
Another fight card, another set of betting lines. There are some pretty good lines for the UFC on Fox 5 card main card, so I'm even more excited about it than I normally would be. The undercard isn't so pretty though. Anyway, I won't waste time with a snappy intro so let's get right to it.
On the main card, I'm staying away from the main event. I like Shogun at +190 in the co-main, simply because I don't think he should be written off yet and he has the power to finish anyone. I also like his clinch trips and if he wants it on the floor, he might be able to get it there and pound away. That's not a very good assessment of the fight, but +190 is a good price. Undoubtedly the best line on the main card is on Mike Swick at -145 though. That's an absolute steal, and I'd bet on Swick all the way up to -220 or so. Do it, and do it now.
On the undercard, my top two bets would be on Henry Martinez at +110 and Ramsey Nijem at -175, but they're not exactly barnburners. Easton at -225 is a pretty good price too. The rest of it is kind of lame though.
Recommended plays:
2 units on Swick at -145
.75 on Shogun at +190
.75 on Martinez at +110
.5 on Easton at -225
Last event - UFC 154: 3-1, +2.8 units
Total (6 events): 15-7, +8.7 units
Here's a look at all the lines:
Main Card:
Ben Henderson -160 vs. Nate Diaz +130
Alexander Gustafsson -240 vs. Mauricio Rua +190
Rory MacDonald -300 vs. B.J. Penn +240
Matt Brown +115 vs. Mike Swick -145
Preliminary Card:
Yves Edwards +160 vs. Jeremy Stephens -200
Raphael Assuncao +185 vs. Mike Easton -225
Dennis Siver -295 vs. Nam Phan +235
Scott Jorgensen -285 vs. John Albert +225
Ramsey Nijem -175 vs. Joe Proctor +145
Daron Cruickshank -140 vs. Henry Martinez +110
Tim Means -345 vs. Abel Trujillo +275
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