Fedor Emelianenko vs Dan Henderson
Despite winning his last 2 fights in convincing fashion, Dan Henderson still has a lot of convincing to do. Unfortunately, thats not going to be possible against Fedor. Henderson doesnt posses any of the skills needed to put Fedor in trouble. No world class BJJ or gorilla strength. There isnt a single place where Henderson is better than Fedor. I know some of you may be thinking about Hendo’s wrestling, but he hasnt relied on that skill in years. He’s turned into a brawler lately, which plays right into Fedors strenghths IMO. Once Hendo starts to lose the striking game he’ll try to take Hendo down, and much like a lot of the MMA community he’ll get reminded that Fedors real strength is in the grappling department. Henderson will get submitted here.
Marloes Coenen vs Miesha Tate
I was going back and forth with this fight, but then I decided to re-watch Coenen vs Carmouche, eventhough Coenen was able to come back and win that fight, her weakness was exposed. Coenen will have a nice advantage in the stand up department but Tates superior wrestling is the key to this fight. Tate is also savvy enough on the ground to avoid Conens slick guard game. This fight is going to go five rounds, which is probably best for Coenen since she’s been the more active fighter as Tate had to sit out with an injury. Tate will spend the first 2 or 3 rounds of this fight dominating Coenen with her wrestling, but after she gasses she’ll get caught in a submission.
Robbie Lawler is known for ignoring the grappling side of MMA, but I dont think that will matter much in this fight. If Kennedy had a bit of trouble taking Melvin Manhoef down, he may have trouble dragging Robbie to the mat. Kennedys stand up relies on technique and solid combinations, Lawlers relies solely on brutal, vicious and disgusting KO power. Kennedy may find early success here by staying on the outside with solid footwork and technique, but its hard to avoid Robbies power for 3 rounds. All he needs is one punch. I know Im in the minority here, but Im going with Robbie Lawler by TKO.
Tyron Woodley will be great one day, but not today. He’s a big, strong and talented wrestler with some decent punching power. The problem for Woodley is that Paul Daley has stuffed takedowns from wrestlers who are much better than he is. Daley is one of the few strikers in MMA whos punching power is matched with fantastic technique and precision, not to mention the fact that he’s just fought better people in bigger fights. Woodley is being thrown to the sharks here, he’s not ready. Daley by TKO
I like Scott Smith, but his heart has always been bigger than his actual skill set. After you take so many beatings, heart isnt enough to beat people with actual skills. He might put up a good fight here early, but wont be able to resist his urge to get into a brawl. The minute he gets careless (and he will) Tarec will take him down and submit him.
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