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UFC on Versus 4 Fight Card: Marquardt vs. Story Betting Odds

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The betting lines for UFC on Versus 4 are out, and there looks to be some juicy stuff available depending on your perspective. The main card odds have been out for a little while now, but the undercard odds were just released today. A lot of close fights odds-wise makes this card particularly appealing if you're interested in wagering on it. In the main event, Nate Marquardt opened as a solid -180 favorite but the line has shifted in a big way, with Nate being offered at even odds now and Rick Story now being the favorite in the -130 range. In the co-main event, Cheick Kongo and Pat Barry opened up at close to even odds, but Kongo is now a healthy favorite due to a big shift in lines.

Jun 26th, live on Versus from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania:
Main card:
Nate Marquardt (31-10) EVEN vs. Rick Story (13-3) -130

Cheick Kongo -215 (15-6) vs. Pat Barry (6-2) +175

Matt Mitrione (4-0) -255 vs. Christian Morecraft (7-1) +205

Matt Brown (11-10) -+210 vs. John Howard (14-6) -260

Preliminary card:
Tyson Griffin (14-5) -225 vs. Manny Gamburyan (11-5) +185

Joe Lauzon (19-6) -255 vs. Curt Warburton (7-2) +205

Daniel Roberts (12-2) EVEN vs. Rich Attonito (9-4) -130

Joe Stevenson (31-13) -205 vs. Javier Vazquez (15-5) +165

Michael Johnson (8-5) -400 vs. Edward Faaloloto (2-1) +300

Matt Grice (13-3) +145 vs. Ricardo Lamas (9-2) -175

 Nik Lentz (23-3-2) +130 vs. Charles Oliveira (14-1) -160

http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/621661/UFC_on_Versus_4_Button.jpg

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There is some serious money to be made on John Howard

Sig betting against The-gentle-way is like playing Russian Roulette with a semi-automatic weapon. The only thing he knows more about than fighting is pleasing women, and my girlfriend is thankful for that.

by Earl Montclair on Jun 24, 2011 9:05 AM EDT reply actions  

that makes more sense

Sig betting against The-gentle-way is like playing Russian Roulette with a semi-automatic weapon. The only thing he knows more about than fighting is pleasing women, and my girlfriend is thankful for that.

by Earl Montclair on Jun 24, 2011 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

that just ruined my morning. I was about to run to the bank to take out a loan to bet on Howard

by Firebush on Jun 24, 2011 9:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

That’s true. My bad. Fixed now.

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Jun 24, 2011 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Damn.

I was about to lay down a Lentz/Gamburyan/Howard/Morecraft parlay. Papa needs some new tires!

by POW on Jun 24, 2011 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

You’d make fantastic money on that, but the chances of them all winning are just… Minimal to say the least.

"Rather than love, than money, than faith, than fame, than fairness... give me truth."
Chris McCandless A.K.A. Alexander Supertramp
1968-1992

by T.C. Engel on Jun 24, 2011 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Marquardt
Kongo
Meathead
Howard
Griffin
Lauzon
Stevenson
Johnson
Lamas
Lentz

www.scenepointblank.com
penguinsfromthenorth.tumblr.com

by Chad Raynard on Jun 24, 2011 9:09 AM EDT reply actions  

Personally I think Story is a great bet at even as a favorite. I just don’t see how Marquardt will look good at 170

by nastyem on Jun 24, 2011 9:12 AM EDT reply actions  

Kinda surprised that Kongo is the favorite

by kick_puncher on Jun 24, 2011 9:20 AM EDT reply actions  

I think it makes sense. They both have top-notch standup but Kongo’s mediocre grappling totally outclasses Barry’s grappling.

by Firebush on Jun 24, 2011 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed. I read an sherdog article about Barry though that he has spent his camp mostly with the Deathclutch guys, working hard on his wrestling and jiu-jitsu under the watching eye of Marty Morgan. It will be interesting to see how much he can have improved, and if it will be enough.

by Horselover Fat on Jun 24, 2011 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

I saw that too.

Gave me some hope that he has a future in the big show.

http://fightdrinker.blogspot.com

by some schmuck in texas on Jun 24, 2011 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, me too. I have been very doubtful after his last few fights, but he’s such a likable guy that I would much rather see him succeed. I don’t think he’ll ever be a top 10 guy, but maybe he can stick around at least.

by Horselover Fat on Jun 24, 2011 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

agreed

the ship has sailed on him being a contender, and probably even a gatekeeper (although if he gives Kongo a Nik Fekete Nap I’ll change my mind about that.)

With those damn tree trunks he calls legs though? A little takedown D training might completely change his UFC fortuntes.

http://fightdrinker.blogspot.com

by some schmuck in texas on Jun 24, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh yes, I would be very happy with a Barry knock-out! I will definitely be rooting for him. But the pessimist in me don’t really see it happening. Even if they do stay on the feet striking, Kongo does have very good striking himself + height and reach advantage. That’s another thing about Barry, he’s just so damn short for being a HW striker.. I mean it worked for Igor Vovchancyn back in the day, but times have changed.

About those legs, I just checked his record and it’s 6-2, with three of his wins coming from TKO by leg kicks! And it wasn’t far away with Beltran either. So yes, definitely massive power there.

by Horselover Fat on Jun 24, 2011 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Matt Brown vs. John Howard main card?

I would rather watch any of the prelims fights over this.

Opulence, I has it.

by Psychic Octopus on Jun 24, 2011 9:22 AM EDT reply actions  

How? Howard can’t sub Brown, and Brown can’t do anything to beat Howard. This has decision written all over it, IMO.

by Shnak on Jun 24, 2011 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

maybe so.

TKO for Howard would be my bet. Brown is s.h.o.t.

by POW on Jun 24, 2011 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe… but Howard hasn’t impressed me against Alves and Ellenberger… then again Matt Brown isn’t anywhere close to those two in striking, especially Alves. so it’s possibly. We’ll see. I just can’t get excited about that fight, haven’t been excited for any Matt Brown fight in a while, really.

by Shnak on Jun 24, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lentz, 5-0-1 in the UFC, matched up against some 2-1 greenhorn? Lentz is going to fence this guy so bad.

by Pyrgz Krum on Jun 24, 2011 9:31 AM EDT reply actions  

dude

that greenhorn is a pretty highly touted prospect who’s one loss is to jim miller.

not saying you aren’t right man, but it’s a very intriguing bout that will do a lot for the career for either of them.

also, in defence of lentz, i hear his last fight was pretty exciting.

by Clifford J on Jun 24, 2011 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

hehe yeah I was being silly

it’s interesting to think about how Oliveira will deal with Lentz’s flavour of fighting. if he hasn’t adequately prepared for the wrestling and cage clinch game of Lentz… he may find himself on the bad end of a decision

and if Lentz is smart (he seems to be) that is exactly what he’ll do. Oliveira will most likely be the one holding the traditional striking and grappling advantage.

by Pyrgz Krum on Jun 24, 2011 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

ha, yeah, i wondered if you were being sarcastic. i agree with your analysis.

by Clifford J on Jun 24, 2011 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nate, Meat, and Lentz pays 5.5:1

by Firebush on Jun 24, 2011 9:36 AM EDT reply actions  

That sounds like the worst lawfirm name ever.

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Jun 24, 2011 9:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

I mean, Lentz could drag a case on for years if he has to, so I can see why he’s a partner.

Not sure if the same could be said for Marquardt and Mitrione… I would most definitely not want Mitrione representing me!

by Pyrgz Krum on Jun 24, 2011 9:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Meathead as a lawyer would be pretty amusing.

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Jun 24, 2011 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

“Yeah, Brother! The dude’s not guilty. Totally not guilty. I mean…yeah bro like..these charges are erroneous as shit!”

And so on…

by POW on Jun 24, 2011 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d rec that if I thought Meathead had any idea how to use erroneous properly.

"Rather than love, than money, than faith, than fame, than fairness... give me truth."
Chris McCandless A.K.A. Alexander Supertramp
1968-1992

by T.C. Engel on Jun 24, 2011 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Picks:

Oliveira
Lamas
Johnson
Vasquez
Roberts
Lauzon
Gamburyan
Howard
Morecraft
Barry
Marquardt

Let the fighters fight, let the referees ref, but dear God, don't let the judges judge.

by halitosis on Jun 24, 2011 10:16 AM EDT reply actions  

this is an okay free card

but it would be way, way better with kampmann

by Clifford J on Jun 24, 2011 10:27 AM EDT reply actions  

This is a great free card

Based upon the Main – Event alone.

"All the time he's boxing, he's thinking. All the time he was thinking, I was hitting him." - Jack Dempsey

www.badlefthook.com

by Drunken cutman on Jun 24, 2011 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd put money on Morecraft too

Let the fighters fight, let the referees ref, but dear God, don't let the judges judge.

by halitosis on Jun 24, 2011 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

My picks

Nate the Great
Cupcheck Congo
Morecraft
John Howard
My gut says Griffin but Im going to pick Manny for the upset
SHMEAGLE.. err i mean Joe
Rich Attonito
Joe daddy
Ricardo Lamas (just going with the odds here, dunno about either fighter)
and Oliveira, and I REALLY hope he jumps back from his jim miller loss.

by elmojo on Jun 24, 2011 10:52 AM EDT reply actions  

I want Barry to win

But my Brain is telling me Kongo is the sure pick.

Hopefully all of his Morgan wrasstlin’ will show through.

Tweet!

"eat a dick" - Chris Barton

by BeardedNerd on Jun 24, 2011 11:51 AM EDT reply actions  

I would rather see each and every fight on the undercard than fucking Mitrione/Morecraft

And I would like to see half of them before Barry/Kongo, which will either devolve into gassing or groin shots.

by The Ghost of Spike Owen on Jun 24, 2011 11:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Has he finally been outed?

Kongo’s picture looks very similar to TBA’s. Notice that both fighters are gatekeepers who have hit-and-miss records. I think the mystery’s solved. Now, onto Batman’s secret identity…

by Wonderjudas on Jun 24, 2011 11:54 AM EDT reply actions  

No, I think it’s Thiago Alves.

by Horselover Fat on Jun 24, 2011 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hmm.. maybe. He does have that same sized neck as head.

Hmm.. maybe. He does have that same sized neck as head.Couldn’t find a bigger picture:

Hmm.. maybe. He does have that same sized neck as head.Couldn’t find a bigger picture:
No, I think Thiago is more likely, if you compare these pictures Serra’s chin goes all the way down to the lower frame, which I don’t see with TBA.

by Horselover Fat on Jun 24, 2011 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

fuck.. how did that happen.

by Horselover Fat on Jun 24, 2011 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

idk

but it is AWESOME.

1. Anderson Silva is waiting for you to punch him.
2. That guy is Anderson Silva.
3. Don't fucking punch that guy.

by Chris Barton on Jun 24, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

i don’t think the ears and right side (our left) of his head match up. can somebody shadow-out Alves’ headshot? that would help.

the more and more i think about it, I’m starting to get convinced that it’s Dana White

"now i'm too fucked up to dance, so i'ma sit with my hand down the front of my pants" - Atmosphere

by eastcoastatlas on Jun 24, 2011 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

So just because Kongo is black and TBA is black they look alike? That’s racist!!!!

by DCJon. on Jun 24, 2011 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

How in the world is Rich Attonio a favorite over Daniel Roberts?

"Rather than love, than money, than faith, than fame, than fairness... give me truth."
Chris McCandless A.K.A. Alexander Supertramp
1968-1992

by T.C. Engel on Jun 24, 2011 4:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Because Roberts has shit awful stand up

and probably can’t get the fight to the ground. That is my guess anyways

Sig betting against The-gentle-way is like playing Russian Roulette with a semi-automatic weapon. The only thing he knows more about than fighting is pleasing women, and my girlfriend is thankful for that.

by Earl Montclair on Jun 24, 2011 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t know. Attonio isn’t exactly an amazing striker with lights out KO power, and I think that if, and when, the fight hits the ground, it’ll take Roberts about ten seconds to tap him.

"Rather than love, than money, than faith, than fame, than fairness... give me truth."
Chris McCandless A.K.A. Alexander Supertramp
1968-1992

by T.C. Engel on Jun 24, 2011 7:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Surprised to see people picking Manny

I think Griffin is going to dominate

"EVERYTHING IS HAPPENING"
- Bob Cole

by kellly on Jun 24, 2011 7:47 PM EDT reply actions  

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