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UFC Fight Night 24 Predictions: Bloody Elbow Staff Preview

Event: UFC Fight Night 24
: "Nogueira vs. Davis"
Date: Saturday, March 26, 2011, at 9 p.m. ET on Spike TV
Location: KeyArena in Seattle, Washington

Main Card (Televised):


Antonio Rogerio Nogueira vs. Phil Davis
Nogueira_davis_mediumKid Nate:  I’m a huge fan of Little Nog, always have been. Can’t wait to see him reprise his epic war with Shogun Rua after he loses this fight. Davis is too big, too fast, too good a wrestler to lose to Nog. The only way Davis can lose is if he tries to get cute and thinks he’ll submit Nogueira. Davis by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: Davis is suddenly being elevated too much by fans desperate to see another "hyperathlete" that can challenge Jon Jones for the light heavyweight championship. He’s a fine talent and someone that really could work his way up to a title run somewhere down the road. But right now he has very good wrestling and submissions but very rudimentary striking. Still, Nogueira doesn’t have the takedown defense to stay vertical and Davis has a good enough top game to stay out of submissions for three rounds. Phil Davis by decision.

Mike Fagan: Ryan Bader completed five takedowns against Rogerio Nogueira. Jason Brilz three. Mauricio Rua seven. Dan Henderson two. Kazuhiro Nakamura three. Phil Davis has completed just over three takedowns per fifteen minutes of fighting in the UFC. Davis is a better fighter than Bader and Brilz, who Nogueira had trouble with no matter what you thought of the judging. Some people were shocked that Davis opened as a heavy favorite, but there’s a pattern that’s going to continue here. Phil Davis by decision.

Nick Thomas: Davis is going to out wrestle Nogueira all three rounds. Davis by decision.

Leland Roling:
Rogerio’s stand-up game won’t be much of a factor if he can’t stuff takedowns, which he has proven time and time again that he can’t. Relying solely on defensive grappling abilities and opponents making mistakes isn’t MMA friendly, mainly because you take an absolute beating in trying to find holes. Rogerio is going to take a beating off his back, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he submits Nogueira late. I won’t bank on that though. Davis wrestles his way to victory. Phil Davis via decision.

Anton Tabuena: Phil Davis is not only facing the most dangerous and most experienced opponent of his young MMA career, he’s also doing it on short notice. The two have trained numerous times together, meaning there won’t be any surprises. This, I think makes the match up of styles even more important... Nogueira will be dangerous standing up, but Davis fights smart and hasn’t really shown that he would risk exchanging with people when he doesn’t need to... and as shown in his recent bouts against Jason Brilz and Ryan Bader, Lil’ Nog’s wrestling is a weak point that the former NCAA wrestling champ can exploit. Phil Davis by Decision.

Matt Bishop:
Could there been a worse possible matchup for Nogueira here? Brilz and Bader gave him problems and I’d say Davis is a bit more dangerous of a wrestler than those two. I hope we get to see Nogueira test Davis’s submission defense here, but I don’t see this being a good night for Nogueira. Davis by decision.

KJ Gould: Phil Davis was known throughout college for his top control, and he can certainly get Nogueira down and at the least run down the clock while on top of him. He’s yet to show a devastating Ground’n’Pound game and frankly it’s risky against the ever active BJJ black belt. But even on short notice he’ll have been working with Alliance MMA and possibly Lloyd Irvin so I can see Davis just shutting down Nogueira on his way to a unanimous decision. Phil Davis by Decision.

Dan Hardy vs. Anthony Johnson

Hardy_johnson_medium
Kid Nate: The statistics are pretty damning, nothing hurts a fighter’s chances of winning more than a long layoff from the cage. Johnson hasn’t fought since 2009 and has battled injuries, personal problems and a whole lot of excess weight. Hardy by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: Long layoff plus making a cut that has always been difficult to begin with should equal Johnson getting picked apart. If Hardy can survive the early part of the first round he should be able to have Johnson gasping for air the rest of the fight. Dan Hardy by decision.

Mike Fagan: Both guys insist that they’re going to keep it standing, but Johnson would be foolish to eschew his wrestling here. It’s not difficult to imagine him playing the fool after starting camp well north of 200 pounds, though. Given the questions surrounding Johnson I like Dan Hardy by decision, but I reserve the right to change my opinion if Johnson misses weight.

Nick Thomas: If Johnson has any problems on the feet, he'll take this to the ground asap. Johnson by decision.

Leland Roling:
I’m betting money on Johnson to obliterate Hardy’s chin in this contest, mainly because he has an immense reach advantage, proven power, and a solid chin. Hardy is going to have all sorts of problems wading through that. But I can’t pick him here. Ring rust continues to plague my predictions, so I’m changing it up. I’ll go with Hardy’s technical prowess on the feet catching Johnson. Dan Hardy via TKO.

Anton Tabuena: Dan Hardy is coming off the first KO loss of his career, so there are a few unknowns on this one. Anthony Johnson though, hasn’t been inside the cage since 2009, and is reported to have started his 8-week camp severely overweight at around 230 lb. As Rampage Jackson learned on his fight against Rashad Evans, spending your entire camp trying to get back in shape isn’t really a good thing... On top of that, Hardy is also the more technical striker of the two. Dan Hardy by TKO.

Matt Bishop:
This should be an interesting fight. Both are promising to stand and bang, but I don’t see that being the case the entire fight. I bet one of these guys looks to take it to the ground after feeling the other’s power. If Johnson’s going to win this fight, he needs to paste Hardy real early. I think Hardy’s too good for that. This is a solid fight and Hardy needs a win real bad here. He gets it. Hardy by TKO, round 3.

KJ Gould: I just haven’t understood how a lot of people think Johnson is a better striker then Hardy. More power, sure, but I thought it was clear Hardy is the more technical and accomplished striker. I’d be surprised if this fight didn’t come down to Johnson’s offensive wrestling and Hardy’s ability to defend against it and from what I hear Hardy has been really focused on this area since the GSP fight. Training daily with Daley (ugh) should also mean Johnson shouldn’t have anything in his arsenal that could surprise Hardy though it will be interesting to see if his KO loss to Condit will make him conservative in this fight. Dan Hardy by Decision.

DaMarques Johnson vs. Amir Sadollah
Sadollah_johnson_medium
Kid Nate: Sadollah has the advantage of getting a full camp. Sadollah by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: Sadollah’s stand-up game is fine, but it’s not that good. Regardless, it’s better than Johnson’s. Johnson’s path to victory is takedowns and top work, Amir’s is to keep it standing and scramble when he gets taken down. I can’t shake the feeling that Amir is going to get taken down over and over for at least two rounds and I don’t think he has the finishing power to ever really put Johnson in danger of being stopped. I’ll be the guy who goes the different direction with this one. DaMarques Johnson by decision.

Mike Fagan: I might be rooting for Johnson just to avoid having to hear Sadollah’s corny schtick. Amir Sadollah by decision.

Nick Thomas: On the feet, Sadollah has the edge. Sadollah by decision.

Leland Roling:
I think Sadollah’s stand-up holds the key to victory. Johnson has the skills to win, but Sadollah has proven he can take a beating and still produce considerable offense later in fights. I think he outlasts Johnson and beats on him for three rounds for the victory. Amir Sadollah via decision.

Anton Tabuena: Amir Sadollah is just the more impressive fighter overall. Plus, Johnson is also coming in on short notice. I think Sadollah wins the battle of TUF vets by decision.

Matt Bishop: Johnson is coming on on such short notice it’s hard to pick him. At this level, Sadollah can win fights and his skills are good here. It’ll be interesting to see how this plays out, but I like Sadollah by decision.

KJ Gould: Johnson has a great top game and Sadollah is good off his back. Assuming they end up neutralising each other if it goes to the ground it could come down to the stand up in which Sadollah has an obvious advantage. Sadollah by Decision.

Leonard Garcia vs. Chan Sung Jung
Jung_garcia_medium

Kid Nate: This won’t be anything like the first fight. Jung by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: A few things, 1) Jung is going to try to change his style? That’s going to be hard to do against a guy who is, if nothing else, relentless. 2) It is no longer a mere theory that "throw punches and be aggressive regardless of if they land" is a legitimate path to victory now. Garcia is like a kid who has found a cheat code in a video game. He doesn’t have to be good at it, but he has figured out the loophole that lets him win at least half the time. Leonard Garcia by decision.

Mike Fagan: Garcia throws a bunch of punches that miss, gasses by the middle of the second round, and takes a decision. Leonard Garcia by decision.

Nick Thomas: It's going to be hard for this fight to live up to the first one. Garcia via decision.

Leland Roling:
Sigh... if Jung comes out in that ridiculous zombie stance and mimics Roger Hollet vs. Emanuel Newton for three rounds, I’ll stab my eyes out. I don’t expect it considering Jung’s training camp with Alpha Male, but who knows. I should go with Garcia via Cecil. Leonard Garcia via split decision (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

Anton Tabuena: Jung has recently been KO’ed for the first time, and has promised to never fight with that "zombie" style again. How does that look like? I don’t know, but unless his chin has gotten severely weaker from that, I don’t think Garcia can stop him. He’s always hyped for his power, but even though he throws with maximum force every single time, Garcia has only stopped 3 out of the 22 guys he faced by (T)KO, with the last one was back in 2008, against an aging Jens Pulver. Chan Sung Jung won the first fight, but apparently, the judges score points for people who just wildly throw punches regardless if they connect or not... Unless they repeat that non-sense, I think the Korean Zombie takes this by decision.

Matt Bishop:
I think Mike Fagan just copied and pasted his prediction from Garcia’s last three fights here and really, who can argue? Jung is coming in on short notice but he is the better fighter. There’s no doubt in my mind. I think we see a focused Zombie and he comes out and takes care of Garcia. Chan Sung Jung by TKO, round 2.

KJ Gould: I’d hope something like karma catches up with the luckiest Featherweight in the game today but Jung’s surprising KO loss to George Roop doesn’t fill me with confidence in this rematch. This fight could end up a carbon copy of the first encounter, but I’ll say fate favours the Korean Zombie this time around. Chan Sung Jung by decision.



Star-divide


On Facebook.com/UFC:


Alex Caceres vs. Mackens Semerzier

Kid Nate: Semerzier has the wrestling to shush Bruce Leroy right up. Semerzier by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: Alex Caceres isn’t all that impressive, Semerzier is more impressive than most people realize. Mackens Semerzier by decision.

Mike Fagan: This really is an atrocious non-televised card. Oh, and we get to watch this one on Facebook? Hooray. Mackens Semerzier by decision.

Nick Thomas: Semerzier takes this on pure experience. Semerzier by decision.

Leland Roling:
I read some analysis from other fans regarding this fight. According to most, Mackens Semerzier sucks and shouldn’t be a favorite. Apparently, nobody watched the Swanson fight, or the other two losses he had inside the WEC. Semerzier isn’t a bad fighter by any means. He’s developing, and he’s shown solid skills. Mackens Semerzier via decision.

Anton Tabuena: Not that interested in this bout, but I think they want Bruce Leroy to win this one, so Alex Caceres by Decision.

Matt Bishop:
Semerzier by decision.

KJ Gould: I completely blanked on the name Alex Caceres. Maybe he should go by Bruce Leroy as a stage name the same way Kevin Ferguson goes by Kimbo Slice. At least it’s not Warmachine. Anyway, sidetracked … Semerzier has lost 3 in a row but at least two of those can be considered to ‘good’ guys. His triangle choke win over Wagnney Fabiano also sticks out and is vastly more impressive then anything Caceres has done. Mackens Semerzier by submission.


Jon Madsen vs. Mike Russow

Kid Nate: Full-time fighters beat part time fighters. Madsen should dominate. Madsen by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: I’m not going to stop saying it. Mike Russow is terrible. Surviving a beating and knocking out a flawed fighter isn’t something where I get impressed. Jon Madsen by decision.

Mike Fagan: What a barnburner to put on Facebook. Jon Madsen by decision.

Nick Thomas: Madsen by being a better wrestler and stronger. Madsen by decision.

Leland Roling:
Can lightning strike twice? No. Jon Madsen via epic beatdown.

Anton Tabuena: Madsen will do what he always does... Grind. Jon Madsen by Decision.

Matt Bishop:
Man, everyone is so down on Madsen here. He won his last fight in under two minutes! Now, there’s no way he gets on Russow like that, but hey, Russow took a beating from Todd Duffee in his last fight and came back with a miracle KO. Let’s go with Russow by decision.

KJ Gould: Madsen takes Russow down and stays on top until the end of the round. Lather, rinse and repeat twice more. I’d like to see more out of Madsen considering who he trains with and will be cornered by but I’m not going to hold my breath on that. It’ll also be interesting to see if people start un-liking UFC on Facebook as the fight progresses. Jon Madsen by Decision.


John Hathaway vs. Kris McCray

Kid Nate: McCray’s only hope is that his wrestling is the stylistic solution to Hathaway. I’m guessing it’s not. Hathaway by TKO.

Brent Brookhouse: This is a slightly better fight but still should be pretty one sided. McCray just doesn’t seem UFC quality. John Hathaway by TKO, round 2.

Mike Fagan: Hathaway’s progression in the UFC looks a lot less impressive if you buy Diego Sanchez’s story about UFC 114. Still, McCray isn’t very good, and probably gets cut after this. John Hathaway by decision.

Nick Thomas: If John Hathaway can beat Rick Story, he can beat Kris McCray. Hathaway by decision.

Leland Roling:
If McCray is actually competitive in this fight, it’ll be a nice surprise. Unfortunately, I expect him to get hammered from range and probably out grappled if he gets it to the floor. John Hathaway via decision.

Anton Tabuena: More awesome matchmaking from Joe Silva. I think Hathaway can use his length and take this by decision. If I’m right, sadly, Kris McCray probably gets cut after. John Hathaway by Decision.

Matt Bishop:
Hathaway rolls here. He’s going to be way too much for McCray. Hathaway by TKO, round 2.

KJ Gould: Hathaway is a strong, in shape kid who can bounce back from the Pyle loss and treat it as a learning experience. He’s also at a great gym by UK standards when it comes to wrestling and he has pretty good hands too. McCray is a little older but never struck me as a prospect to look out for who could go on and achieve great things. Hathaway should take this and it’d be a nice recovery form the first loss of his career. Hathaway by Decision.


Michael McDonald vs. Edwin Figueroa

Kid Nate: Figueroa is short-notice chum. Hopefully he’ll get a second chance to dive into the shark tank. McDonald by TKO.

Brent Brookhouse: What everyone else said. Michael McDonald by TKO, round one.

Mike Fagan: Good luck on short notice, Edwin. Michael McDonald  by TKO, round one.

Nick Thomas: McDonald by TKO.

Leland Roling:
Figueroa has brutal power for the weight class, but he hasn’t faced a competitor like Michael McDonald. This will be bad. McDonald via TKO.

Anton Tabuena: Figueroa is going to make his UFC debut on extremely short notice, against a young and well regarded prospect. McDonald is one of the youngest guys in the UFC, but I expect him to make some waves. McDonald by TKO.

Matt Bishop:
This should be a good one. McDonald by TKO, round 2.

KJ Gould: McDonald is definitely a prospect to keep an eye on and providing he doesn’t make a silly mistake the late replacement in Figueroa should provide a perfect showcase for his UFC debut. McDonald by TKO.


Sean McCorkle vs. Christian Morecraft

Kid Nate: Morecraft has more of everything except keyboard skillz. Morecraft by TKO.

Brent Brookhouse: McCorkle is a one-trick pony without much of a gastank and no stand-up. I don’t really see this going well for him. Christian Morecraft by TKO, round two.

Mike Fagan: Back to the prelims, Sean McCorkle. I don’t think I could care less about this fight. Sean McCorkle by something.

Nick Thomas: McCorkle via submission.

Leland Roling:
Who cares. Morecraft via inverted triangle choke.

Anton Tabuena: McCorkle probably has better submissions to go with his much better keyboard and marketing skills, but Morecraft is younger, stronger and has better cardio. Either way, I think Morecraft will come out and dominate in this battle of the Stefan Struve victims with weird nicknames. "World of Morecraft" by TKO.

Matt Bishop:
The battle of those who lost to Stefan Struve in their last fight. Because of the base McCorkle has built for himself with the Internet and such, Morecraft needs a win more. He’s not going to get it. McCorkle by submission, round 1.

KJ Gould: Morecraft had a tough debut against Stefan Struve, but a loss to McCorkle would be devastating for his UFC career. I think McCorkle’s worth keeping around as a litmus test for fighters to see if they’re ready for the big stage even in a division which is still one of the shallowest despite vast improvement in recent years. The last thing we should want is for the Heavyweight division to become full of bad fighters. No thanks. Anyway, it’s a pick ‘em but I’ll go with Morecraft this time out. Morecraft by TKO.

Under card (May not be broadcast):


Johny Hendricks vs. T.J. Waldburger

Kid Nate: Waldburger is being thrown in really deep here. Hendricks by whatever he wants.

Brent Brookhouse: I’m firmly in the "Waldburger gets trucked" camp. Johny Hendricks by TKO, round one.

Mike Fagan: If Hendricks loses to Waldburger, he might join Jake Rosholt in the Team Takedown Hall of Shame. Johny Hendricks by decision.

Nick Thomas: Hendricks wins this on the feet. Hendricks by TKO.

Leland Roling:
Heh. I find it funny that people are giving Waldburger no chance. This is a fun fight, and it should have been pushed up a few slots to the Facebook stream. This is by no means a cakewalk for Hendricks, but I do expect him to edge out Waldburger here. Hendricks via decision.

Anton Tabuena: Hendricks will walk through Waldburger I think. Hendricks by TKO.

Matt Bishop:
Power of the beard. Believe it. Hendricks by TKO, round 1.

KJ Gould: I expect Hendricks to be able to channel the souls of Leonidas and Arlovski into his fists and put out Waldburger in spectacular fashion. Johny Hendricks by KO.


Mario Miranda vs. Aaron Simpson

Kid Nate: This is a last chance for both guys. I have to go with Simpson just based his better wrestling. Simpson by TKO.

Brent Brookhouse: Simpson may not be as good as a lot of people thought he was, but he is probably a step above Miranda. Aaron Simpson by TKO, round three.

Mike Fagan: Simpson needs to show up like he did in the Munoz fight, not the Leben fight. Aaron Simpson by TKO, round two.

Nick Thomas: I always pick Miranda for some reason. Here we go again. Miranda by TKO.

Leland Roling:
Love this match-up. I think Miranda has the strength and grappling ability to be a menace on the ground, but Simpson’s relentless drive and better stand-up game should get him to the promise land. Aaron Simpson via decision.

Anton Tabuena: Great fight, and I think it’s almost a toss up with their styles. Miranda has always been underrated, but I think Simpson’s wrestling is enough to dictate where this fight takes place. Aaron Simpson by Decision.

Matt Bishop:
Both men badly need to win and hopefully that creates a good fight. I liked Simpson a lot but then the Tom Lawlor fight happened. He really hasn’t been the same since. Still, his wrestling, should he use it, is a great weapon. Simpson by decision.

KJ Gould: Aaron Simpson may be getting on in sporting years but he’s still in great shape, and a tough nut to crack as Mark Munoz and Chris Leben found out. Mario Miranda proved more of a challenge then most expected against Demian Maia and is also another fighter who comes in shape. Very similar fighters so it’s a great match up but I’m wondering if Miranda’s being a bit younger will be an X-Factor. I like Simpson but I’ve a feeling this might be his last fight and Miranda takes it. Miranda by Decision.

Nik Lentz vs. Waylon Lowe

Kid Nate: This one could actually be fun since it’s hard to layNpray or wallNstall a wrestler. Lentz by decision.

Brent Brookhouse: Seriously, what the hell did Lentz do to deserve the bounce down the card? Oh, he keeps beating guys they want to win while being pretty painfully boring to watch? Gotcha. Nik Lentz by decision.

Mike Fagan: Nik Lentz beats Rob Emerson, Andre Winner and Tyson Griffin, and he gets Waylon Lowe. As the opening fight. Of a Spike TV show. I don’t think Zuffa likes you. Nik Lentz by decision.

Nick Thomas: Lentz by decision.

Leland Roling:
There were plenty of fans via Twitter saying they wanted to see this fight. Why? I have no idea. I think this has the chance of being a cage-hugging fest, a type of fight that Lentz is "pro" at. Nik Lentz via decision.

Anton Tabuena: Lentz will Lentz another decision... Nik Lentz by Wall-N-Stall. (PS: Yes, I invented that term long ago.)

Matt Bishop:
Nik Lentz is 4-0-1 in the UFC. And he’s fighting in the opener of a Spike TV show. It seems like the UFC is just waiting for Lentz to lose so they can cut him. Well, sorry, but that’s not coming this weekend. Lentz by decision.

KJ Gould: Lentz is essentially a lightweight version of Jon Madsen, and again it frustrates me neither have shown more considering who they train with and under. Lowe’s going to be the latest filling in a Fence’n’Lentz sandwich. Nik Lentz by Decision.

Comment 64 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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I took the bait

and your site predictions were good awful and hahhaha not funny, keep trying

by sportquips on Mar 25, 2011 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

dude...

just say “you can read my predictions here” and post your link. You don’t need to pretend that people are going to get something special

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.

by Brent Brookhouse on Mar 25, 2011 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought...

the predictions were decent.

by TheNowMMA on Mar 26, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

I asked 2 of my buddies and two of us agreed that I should rec this

by IRodC on Mar 26, 2011 1:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

RE: Leland's Johnson/Hardy predition

Maybe i’m a bit confused, but it sounds like you plan on betting money on a guy you don’t think is going to win. That’s kind of silly, especially since Johnson is the favorite.

by hoohoofred on Mar 25, 2011 4:21 PM EDT reply actions  

No. I think Johnson has a more than good chance of winning, but I fear the ring rust might do him in. Regardless, I’m betting on Johnson. I’ll go with Hardy as my safe pick though. I won’t bet the boat on Johnson though.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Mar 25, 2011 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, say you were in a situation where you absolutely had to bet a form of transportation on Johnson… what would it be?

by Pyrgz Krum on Mar 25, 2011 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL.

Bet a form of transportation? I’d go with Johnson if it were a car. I think he has more upside here with the reach and power.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Mar 25, 2011 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Betting is more about finding appropriate value than simply “bet on the guy who you think will win”

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.

by Brent Brookhouse on Mar 25, 2011 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, but that can’t be the case here, at all. Leland thinks that Hardy, the betting underdog is going to win… but he’s going to bet money on Johsnon, who’s almost a 2 to 1 favorite? Where’s the value in that?

by hoohoofred on Mar 26, 2011 4:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

sounds accurate enough

Legendary lay-up Jordan with the right-left switch.
Hang time, Hand glide, Stir fried, Chinky-eyed, Shanghai

by AndersonSativa on Mar 25, 2011 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Standings

Leland 41-25
Brent 40-18
Fagan 40-26
Nate 40-26
Anton 39-17
Nick 36-20
Duane 28-22
Matt 24-10
Luke 21-11

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Mar 25, 2011 4:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Winning percentage

Matt 70.6
Anton 69.6
Brent 69.0
Luke 65.6
Nick 64.3
Leland 62.1
Fagan 60.6
Nate 60.6
Duane 56.0

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Mar 25, 2011 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Main Card Only (UFC/SF)
Nate (25-11-2)
Fagan (23-13-2)
Roling (23-13-2)
Tabuena (22-10-1)
Brookhouse (22-12-2)
N. Thomas (18-14-1)
Finley (15-13-1)
Bishop (12-10-1)
L. Thomas (10-4-1)

Prelims Only (UFC)
Brookhouse (23-10)
Roling (23-16)
Tabuena (22-11)
Fagan (22-16)
N. Thomas (21-12)
Nate (20-19)
Bishop (16-5)
Finley (14-13)
L. Thomas (11-7)

Main/Prelims (UFC/SF)
Roling (46-29-2)
Brookhouse (45-22-2)
Fagan (45-29-2)
Nate (45-30-2)
Tabuena (44-21-1)
N. Thomas (39-26-1)
Finley (29-26-1)
Bishop (28-15-1)
L. Thomas (21-11-1)

"[UFC]’s a great rush, eh? It makes your sphincter get real tight." - Harold Howard

by lowellthehammer on Mar 25, 2011 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

WHO'S THE MAN? WHO'S THE MAN?

I’M THE BEST EVA! EVA!

Host of Bloody Elbow Radio
Follow me on Twitter

by Matt Bishop on Mar 25, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

You can pick prelims like a motherfucker.

Main card though…

"[UFC]’s a great rush, eh? It makes your sphincter get real tight." - Harold Howard

by lowellthehammer on Mar 25, 2011 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

No one giving Lowe a chance?

Thought he looked pretty good in his last fight, though I’m admittedly not that familiar with Lentz’s fights.

by woooburn on Mar 25, 2011 4:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Trust me

you’re better off staying not familiar.

by av1o3 on Mar 25, 2011 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pretty good before he gassed harder than a heavyweight.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Mar 25, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

If Chiquerim had actually opened up and unloaded on him, Waylon would probably be looking for a job right now.

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Mar 25, 2011 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Heh, opened up? Chiquerim is one of the most overrated prospects out there. He never opens up against anyone who threatens with takedowns.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Mar 25, 2011 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s what I’m saying. Lowe was so gassed that he wasn’t a takedown threat in the 3rd anymore. Chiquerim still wouldn’t get on him.

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Mar 25, 2011 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

weird. i don’t remember that at all. will have to rewatch it.

by woooburn on Mar 25, 2011 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

wow, a davis sweep?

contrary to reports, pride does die.

i like davis but i think that’s a competitive fight. although, it’s not so much the loss to bader that worries me, it’s the “win” over brilz.

by Clifford J on Mar 25, 2011 4:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Great read

But Gould, I don’t think Leben had much trouble with Simpson beyond one slam and a brief LNP.

I don’t know much about Waldburger but I definitely wouldn’t be all over Hendricks like you guys, he has questions to answer because he was absolutely afraid to strike with Story and offered nothing besides crap takedown attempts leading to tie-ups, which we know how that worked out.

And who said Simpson’s stand-up was better than Miranda’s? Come on!

by ProfoundTechnique on Mar 25, 2011 4:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Uh, Hendricks v Story was really close.

And then God created Saturn ... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
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by James Brady on Mar 26, 2011 4:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Are you sure you are thinking of the right fight

regarding Story and Hendricks.

"Sometimes I wonder if the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on, or by imbeciles who really mean it." -Mark Twain
"Life is tough, but it's tougher if you're stupid." -John Wayne

by The American Ronin on Mar 26, 2011 8:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just read the rest...

What more could Madsen show (considering who he trains with) in his last fight?

And whoever spelled Maia’s first name “Damian”….makes you look like a newb…or someone that needs to know we don’t spell names on how they sound, we spell them how they’re spelled.

by ProfoundTechnique on Mar 25, 2011 4:39 PM EDT reply actions  

I really want to know his name now :|.

Boys becoming men...Men becoming wolves

by spectaa on Mar 26, 2011 7:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

war nik lentz

All aboard The Carny’s train! Waylon Lowe is a real Hammer-Squash for accepting a fight with Mr. Lentz!

Choo choo!

by Pyrgz Krum on Mar 25, 2011 4:51 PM EDT reply actions  

thats exactly how i'm feeling right now

Lentz ftw

Legendary lay-up Jordan with the right-left switch.
Hang time, Hand glide, Stir fried, Chinky-eyed, Shanghai

by AndersonSativa on Mar 25, 2011 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bambergen Predicts: Rumble via Brutal K.O.!

by Bambergen! on Mar 25, 2011 4:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Can’t believe any of you picked McCorkle. Morecraft is nothing special, but he did beat Stefan Struve within an inch of his life. McCorkle is a guy who turtled up as soon as things started not going his way against Struve. I think Morecraft lands a big shot, and that’s it.

In the clearing stands a boxer And a fighter by his trade And he carries the reminders Of ev'ry glove that layed him down Or cut him till he cried out In his anger and his shame "I am leaving, I am leaving" But the fighter still remains

by Brian Mayes on Mar 25, 2011 5:24 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Lil Nog by UD
Hardy by SD
Sadalah by triangle round three

by J smooth 420 on Mar 25, 2011 5:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Zombie by TKO in the third

by J smooth 420 on Mar 25, 2011 5:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Kinda off-topic.

Does anyone remember/have the Chael Sonnen quote where he said something along the lines of “Big Nog is old and washed up, and Lil Nog is only around because he looks like someone famous”? I vaguely remember reading it, but I can’t find it anywhere.

Or did I just make this whole thing up in my head?

None more gangster.
Tweeter!

by alicks on Mar 25, 2011 5:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Climbing in your windows!
@BigSexyMcCorkle @bloodyelbow has been trashing me for years. Their site and “writers” are a joke.
about 1 hour ago via Mobile Web

by TooLegitToQuit on Mar 25, 2011 5:33 PM EDT reply actions  

LOL

Years? He was never mentioned once on this site by a even a commenter until May 2010. He’s probably just referring to Fagan’s always-subtle Worst Co-Main of the Year story.

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Mar 25, 2011 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL

Watch out Wanton, he’s coming for you again!

Conducting an experiment on knocking people out in particular ways would be unethical.

by Chris Hall on Mar 25, 2011 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh yeah, I forgot about the whole Anton thing!

Still a Beer Monster.

http://www.instrength.com

by Tim Burke on Mar 25, 2011 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

My fav part

was a guy named MCCORKLE making fun a guy for his last name

Conducting an experiment on knocking people out in particular ways would be unethical.

by Chris Hall on Mar 25, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

“Full-time fighters beat part time fighters. Madsen should dominate.”

Lytle and Carwin comes to mind for me. Mir is a ‘full time’ fighter, Carwin has his engineering job, and he smashed him.

That being said, I DO agree with your pick.

Alistair Overeem - StrikeForce Heavyweight Champion, K-1 2010 World Grand Prix Champion, DREAM Heavyweight Champion
June 18th, 2011:
Fabricio Werdoomsday
Game Overeem

by Chris Groves on Mar 25, 2011 6:15 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't think you quite understand the statement.

I didn’t think it needed to be explained that they mean “When all else is up in the air, the guy who dedicates the most will win.”

And then God created Saturn ... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
SaberCats Examiner | SB Nation Bay Area | Niners Nation | Twitter

by James Brady on Mar 26, 2011 4:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

You guys are never angrier then when you’re predicting fights.

When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are in a confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift
Editor, HeadKickLegend.com
Contributor for CagesideSeats.com and Bloody Elbow Radio
Still Subo at Fightlinker.com

by Derek Suboticki on Mar 25, 2011 9:29 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

lol, rec’d. that’s so true, half of these writers seem to try to find reasons to hate the fighters.

by minotauro11 on Mar 26, 2011 12:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

everyone counted lil nog out, can’t wait till he wins the upset!
Phil Davis is gonna take him down, but thats only half the story.

by elmojo on Mar 25, 2011 10:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Nick Thomas: I always pick Miranda for some reason.

If you ever figure out why, let me know. I’m exactly the same.

Video blog updated every Sunday with exciting MMA fights from smaller shows:
Bro, check out this fight!

by Simco on Mar 25, 2011 10:48 PM EDT reply actions  

I'll go

Lentz-Decision
Simpson-TKO Rd 2
Hendricks-TKO Rd 1
Morecraft-TKO Rd 1
McDonald-TKO Rd 2
Hathaway-TKO Rd 2
Madsen-Decision
Semerzier-Decision
Garcia-Decision
Sadollah-Decision
Hardy-KO Rd 1
Davis-Decision

Twitter Blog
My Son Drafted Your Son

by Gobroks on Mar 25, 2011 11:39 PM EDT reply actions  

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