USAT/SBN February 2011 MMA Consensus Rankings: Heavyweight

 

Rank Fighter % Promotion Last Rank
1 Cain Velasquez 99 UFC 1
2 Brock Lesnar 90 UFC 2
3 Junior dos Santos 89 UFC 5
4 Fabricio Werdum 89 Strikeforce 4
5 Shane Carwin 81 UFC 6
6 Antonio Silva 79 Strikeforce 10
7 Alistair Overeem 75 Strikeforce 7
8 Frank Mir 75 UFC 8
9 Fedor Emelianenko 67 M-1 Global / Strikeforce 3
10 Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira 64 UFC 9
11 Josh Barnett 36 Strikeforce 11
12 Roy Nelson 35 UFC 14
13 Brett Rogers 35 Strikeforce 12
14 Brendan Schaub 34 UFC 13
15 Sergei Kharitonov 32 Strikeforce 29
16 Cheick Kongo 29 UFC 15
17 Ben Rothwell 25 UFC 16
18 Pedro Rizzo 23 Impact Fighting Championship 18
19 Cole Konrad 21 Bellator 19
20 Mirko Filipovic 20 UFC 20
21 Mike Russow 18 UFC 23
22 Gabriel Gonzaga 18 UFC 21
23 Stefan Struve 18 UFC 24
24 Travis Browne 17 UFC 27
25 Matt Mitrione 15 UFC 27
25 Jon Madsen 15 UFC 25

 

 

Strikeforce’s heavyweight tournament kicked off with two dominant wins by lower ranked fighters. #3 Fedor Emelianenko fell to #10 Antonio Silva and #17 Andrei Arlovski was put to sleep by 29th ranked Sergei Kharitonov. The losses dropped Fedor to 9th and Arlovski  out of the top 25 altogether.

#4 Fabricio Werdum will rematch #7 Alistair Overeem on April 9 at a to-be-determined location. That card will also feature #11 Josh Barnett vs. #13 Brett Rogers assuming Strikeforce is able to find a commission willing to let the Babyfaced Assassin compete in their state. 

This might be more up in the air than I thought.

#8 Frank Mir is set to face #12 Roy Nelson at UFC 130 in Las Vegas.

#2 Brock Lesnar and #3 Junior dos Santos are expected to headline UFC 131 following completion of their stint as coaches on The Ultimate Fighter 13. #5 Shane Carwin is also rumored to be on that card against a to be announced opponent.

 #14 Brendan Schaub will take on #20 Mirko "Cro Co" Filipovic at UFC 128 on March 19.

Based on the premise that all MMA rankings are subjective but that it’s still useful and informative to know who the online MMA community as a whole ranks as the best fighters in MMA, we collect and average the rankings of the top MMA websites to produce our consensus rankings. We compile the top MMA rankings from each of our sources and award 25 points for a first place ranking, 16 for a 10th place ranking, 1 for a 25th place ranking. A formula is used to "normalize" the data so all fighters are awarded points from those lists that do not include a full 25 fighters. This formula ensures that each ranking site awards the same number of total points regardless of how many fighters they choose to rank. Each fighter’s total is divided by the number of possible points to determine their standing in the Consensus Rankings.

We are now moving to what JCS of Fight Matrix has described as assumed rankings in an attempt to rank fighters who move between weight classes. This has been the biggest problem with the consensus rankings and we believe this new methodology will rectify that. 

Let's take Anderson Silva for instance. 87% (13 of 15) of our panelists have him at Light Heavyweight and 100% (15 of 15) at Middleweight.  On the 13 ballots that ranked Silva at 205, we took the average (21.2).  We then reduced that number by half the percentage of Light Heavyweight ballots that he was not included on. Say he's not on 30% of them, then we do a 15% penalty on the average that we found in the previous step.    That number is then used instead of the usual "normalization number" to provide points from those not ranking the fighter in the weight class in question. This avoids fighters being excessively penalized by confusion about which weight class they belong. 
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