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World MMA Featherweight Scouting Report: #1 - Antonio Carvalho

Antonio Carvalho celebrates after knocking out Rumina Sato. Carvalho ranks at #1 on our 2011 World MMA Featherweight Scouting Report.

We had a lengthy debate as to who our #1 ranked featherweight prospect would be on our countdown. Mark Adams, Alan Omer, and Taiki Tsuchiya all merited consideration with Omer being the most well-rounded between the three with a solid support system in place to mold him into a top notch featherweight prospect. Adams' victory over Omer, for obvious reasons, pushed him above Omer, but there wasn't an overwhelming feeling that either prospect was at a point in their careers in which we would deem them sure-fire top ten featherweights in the future.

Enter Antonio Carvalho. Carvalho was up for consideration, mostly due to the fact that he was out of the sport for nearly two years due to a myriad of injuries and personal issues. While we did exclude some fighters on our scouting report due to the same conditions, most of those fighters returned to major promotions while Carvalho is preparing himself for the jump to the big leagues through bouts in Canada's regional market.

Carvalho's track record certainly puts him at the apex of the heap, and his well-rounded, proven skill-set of grappling prowess and effective striking make him a desirable acquisition in the future. In our minds, he'll more than likely be the #1 guy that a promotion like the UFC will seek out later this year. A battle with highly-touted Canadian prospect John Fraser in April should help Carvalho's stock considerable.

Offensive Skills: Carvalho's major strength is his grappling game, but he's also well-versed in the stand-up department and brutally effective from top control. The Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt wasn't as effective on the ground in the latter half of his career, but he did face some of the stiffest competition that Japan had to offer in Hiroyuki Takaya, Yuji Hoshino, Hatsu Hioki, Takeshi Inoue, and Rumina Sato.

His most effective asset over the course of those fights was his ability to grapple his way to a dominant position and pound on opponents. He was also exceptional at escaping or reversing bad positions he had been put in as evident in his victory over Hatsu Hioki. While history doesn't necessarily mean "Pato" will be the same fighter as he was in the past, it's difficult to ignore his track record as an indicator of what he could be capable of against some of the best fighters the UFC has to offer.

Defensive Skills: As aforementioned, Carvalho's defense against grapplers is one of his greatest strengths. Combined with strong ground and pound skills, it is one of his best ways in which he can turn the tide of a losing battle into a winning one within a matter of seconds. Peep some of the footage below for a lesson in how to reverse positions and go on the attack immediately. You won't be disappointed.

As for the striking department, it's apparent that Carvalho has some holes to fill, and by his own admission in recent interviews -- he'd agree with the assessment. While he does possess some power in his hands, Carvalho has succumbed to better strikers who took advantage of slight openings in his defenses. His speed isn't as high as we'd like to see in a featherweight prospect, but he makes up for it in his quick transitions to the ground.

Progression: This is a somewhat irrelevant category for a fighter like Carvalho as he's highly experienced with a laundry list of impressive credentials. The real question for him is where he currently stands in his progress coming back from such a long layoff and whether he can compete with the upper-echelon fighters in the UFC. 

Environment: "Pato" trains out of Bruckmann Martial Arts in Oshawa, Ontario, a suburb of Toronto. The camp isn't a famous name that people immediately recognize, but the gym has some highly-credentialed grapplers and striking coaches along with a bevy of talented fighters who come through to help Carvalho train. Sean Pierson has been one of those fighters, and that should give him a sense of what he's up against if he happens to make the transition to the UFC. 

FeatherweightLightweightWelterweight
#1 - Antonio Carvalho
#2 - Taiki Tsuchiya
#3 - Mark Adams
#4 - Alan Omer
#5 - Koichiro Matsumoto
#6 - Tom Niinimaki
#7 - Marcos Vinicius
#8 - Matt Fiordirosa
#9 - Isaac DeJesus
#10 - Michel Gagnon
#1 - Thiago Michel
#2 - Ricardo Tirloni
#3 - Magno Almeida
#4 - Ui Cheol Nam
#5 - Henrique Mello
#6 - Reza Madadi
#7 - Alexander Sarnavskiy
#8 - Ole Laursen
#9 - Guillaume DeLorenzi
#10 - Al Iaquinta
#1 - Yuri Villefort
#2 - Alex Garcia
#3 - Erick Silva
#4 - Douglas Lima
#5 - Luis "Sapo" Santos
#6 - Jesse Juarez
#7 - Gunnar Nelson
#8 - Quinn Mulhern
#9 - Alberto Mina
#10 - Joe Ray
MiddleweightLight Heavyweight
#1 - Papy Abedi
#2 - Chris Weidman
#3 - Vitor Vianna
#4 - Vyacheslav Vasilevsky
#5 - Bruno Santos
#6 - Costantinos Philippou
#7 - Jordan Smith
#8 - Uriah Hall
#9 - Victor O'Donnell
#10 - Assan Njie
#1 - Marcos Pezao
#2 - Gian Villante
#3 - Jimi Manuwa
#4 - Glover Teixeira
#5 - Jan Blachowicz
#6 - Yoel Romero
#7 - Ryan Jimmo
#8 - Nik Fekete
#9 - Marcus Vanttinen
#10 - Ronny Markes

Scouting_report_medium

Star-divide

Potential: Carvalho has all the tools to succeed in the UFC. Phenomenal grappling ability, above average striking, brutal ground and pound, and solid conditioning. He's one of the most well-rounded, if not the most well-rounded, fighter on our countdown, and his proven track record vaults him into the #1 spot.

While I'm almost certain there will be some feedback regarding his status as a known fighter, I've talked with many fans who did not realize he was on the comeback trail. That's unfortunate, but his name will surely get the eyes it deserves in the coming months, especially if he defeats Fraser in April. At 31 years old, some may say he's staring old age in the eyes. Here's to hoping he can succeed in the future as Carvalho is one of the classiest athletes out there. Look for him to get some attention from the UFC very soon.

Video:

Antonio Carvalho Highlight

Antonio Carvalho vs. Hiroyuki Takaya



Antonio Carvalho vs Rumina Sato

Hatsu Hioki vs. Antonio Carvalho



Antonio Carvalho vs Juan Barrantes

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I really like antonio carvalho. I think he is a intelligent, well spoken and mannered fighter with a lot of upside.

I don’t think he is the number 1 FW prospect though

by TheBiggertheyare... on Feb 16, 2011 12:04 PM EST reply actions  

To be perfectly honest, I think he beats Adams, and I think he probably beats Omer at this point. Tsuchiya could eat him alive if he kept it standing, but Antonio is way too smart for that.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

He could beat all 3 of them, but he also has trouble sometimes being mentally in the zone, so i think he would lose to Omer or adams. Probably Omer

by TheBiggertheyare... on Feb 16, 2011 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I think he’s been fighting at a high level for almost a decade.

by Jonathan Snowden on Feb 16, 2011 12:18 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed. I think our initial thoughts were that he had basically left the sport due to injuries and personal issues, and his return has been somewhat unnoticed by a lot of fans. Working his way up in the regional scene in Canada, we considered him on the list, mainly due to the fact that he was a major player in Shooto during the days in which it was fairly big.

For our list, we didn’t consider Shooto the “A” league, thus Carvalho gets consideration not only for that, but his reemergence into the sport.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't see much fault with the decision.

That said, we were close to having Tsuchiya at number one here. I guess the real question is who was the eleventh man? What unfortunate featherweight was just barely left off the list and left to fight on in relative anonymity in light of Carvalho’s inclusion? Inquiring minds want to know.

by Brent Ducharme on Feb 16, 2011 12:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, we must know!!

by KAN0 on Feb 16, 2011 12:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Surprisingly, FW is a bit shallow due to the plethora of smaller promotions grabbing talent, I.e. Bellator, DREAM, SRC

There isn’t anyone that stands out of the top of my head, but I’ll have to check.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 1:59 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Doo Ho Choi was on our shortlist, and we had a number of guys who, after talking to their management, were deemed Bantamweights as they are dropping down in weight.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 4:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Off topic, and this may have already been covered, but

Gian Villante man. I know he was out of his natural weight class and all but damn he got massacred. Any regrets on where you placed him in hindsight?

BJJ > Sambo

by lowellthehammer on Feb 16, 2011 12:22 PM EST reply actions  

No. He basically came in with a ridiculous gameplan to bang with a guy who had one thought in his mind… knock out Villante with whatever I can throw at him. Once Villante got caught, he basically stood toe-to-toe with Griggs despite being hurt.

I think Villante will be a solid guy at LHW, especially with guys like Weidman helping him. At heavyweight, he isn’t a huge threat, but that isn’t to say that Villante did some very stupid things in that fight against Griggs.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s a stretch to call Carvalho a prospect. He has already faced top-level competition while in Shooto. That said, he looked good in his last fight against Barrantes, and I think he would make a great to addition to the UFC’s FW division.

by KAN0 on Feb 16, 2011 12:42 PM EST reply actions  

He would be an excellent addition

by TheBiggertheyare... on Feb 16, 2011 1:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey Leland.

You might have covered this already but is there any chance you might do a monthly update on the status of these prospects? Kind of a where are they now type piece. Obviously it wouldn’t be on every fighter but the ones that maybe won/lost some fights or signed with a promotion. And upcoming fights.

by Crazynutts on Feb 16, 2011 1:04 PM EST reply actions  

We will have a number of posts updating readers of the situations of all fighters on our lists

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 2:00 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Check my fanshots for a couple of small updates from the past couple weeks

by smoogy2 on Feb 16, 2011 4:33 PM EST up reply actions  

carvalho has been around for years

and hes 31, i dont really consider him a prospect. i like mark adams the best personally, how old is he btw?

"I have smoked weed with alot of UFC champions" - Joe Rogan
"Você ta fudido. Se vai levar muita porrada, ta ligado?" - Anderson Silva

by milk72 on Feb 16, 2011 2:52 PM EST reply actions  

What is next?

HW, BW, Featherweight??? Whats it gonna be?

by Fedorable on Feb 16, 2011 3:40 PM EST reply actions  

And by Featherweight, I mean flyweight…duhh

by Fedorable on Feb 16, 2011 3:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Bantamweight, Heavyweight.

Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein

by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2011 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Just to clarify, this isn’t strictly about young prospects who might be good someday. The idea is to highlight ten fighters in each division who we feel are capable and deserving of a place in a major league event. Carvalho is a bit of an odd duck not only because of his break from the sport, but also due to his previous life as a top level Shootor who was in contention for the recognized world title in the division. But considering his long layoff, his inability to win the Shooto title and the fact that many followers of the FW division today have never even heard of him, it was appropriate to include him here. When he signs with UFC, it will be his first opportunity on the world stage.

by smoogy2 on Feb 16, 2011 4:32 PM EST reply actions  

Wow surprised by this, I guess I just dont consider him a prospect but by your definition of judging he isnt a guy signed to a major org so he can be included.

So its a good choice and def I hope to see him get a chance in the UFC or Bellator soon.

Leland maybe you cant answer this since you probably didnt dive deep into this fighter since he wasnt eligible for your list but if Ronnie Mann was eligible for your list where do you think he would have been ranked?

Top 3?

by Aldo27 on Feb 16, 2011 4:35 PM EST reply actions  

So BW is next, assume Jimmie Rivera, Abel Cullum Dudu Dantas, Mike Eastmon, I hear he is looking for a UFC contract and wants a fight vs Faber. Sharipov probably makes the list as well, Yusup, Tyson Nam maybe?

Leland I know these guys are already in the UFC so they wont be listed but do you think Renan Barao and Michael McDonald are the two best “prospects in the BW div”? To me they are the top two prospect at BW in the sport.

by Aldo27 on Feb 16, 2011 5:06 PM EST reply actions  

Mike Easton, my bad. I hate that you cant edit comments.

by Aldo27 on Feb 16, 2011 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Interested to see heavyweight.

Gugenshivili is the only lock, I think. And hes just decent. Jared Rosholt makes his pro debut this month so he’ll be elligible. :)

by Tag01 on Feb 16, 2011 7:11 PM EST reply actions  

what about bruno carvahlo…good muay thai guy who now fights mma….from brazil..holds a muay thai win over edson barboza…i think he fights at 145…might be 155

by fightfan531 on Mar 10, 2011 1:24 PM EST reply actions  

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