NEW YORK, NY - DECEMBER 02: Miguel Cotto of Puerto Rico, Top Rank CEO Bob Arum and Antonio Margarito of Mexico pose for the media during their weigh in at The Theater at Madison Square Garden on December 2, 2011 in New York City. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Miguel Cotto and Antonio Margarito step into the ring tonight in an HBO pay-per-view rematch. The card is loaded with action fights top to bottom and is one of the most talked about events of the year.
The PPV broadcast gets underway at 9 p.m. ET tonight. For those without the ability to order via cable or satellite, you can watch the PPV via Top Rank TV for $54.99.
Cotto has increased as a favorite since the weigh-ins moving from a -235 to -250 favorite at Bodog while Margarito went from +185 to +195. Both men looked very good at the weigh-ins, so the late money is likely coming from Cotto's fanbase more than any late information.
Bad Left Hook has predictions up from all of their staffers (and yours truly). Managing Editor, Scott Christ, sees the fight going down like this:
It is rare to see a fight this truly hate-filled. It is also rare to see a fight that is this stomach-turning. There are all kinds of reasons, and great ones, to be morally turned off by this fight, all centered on Antonio Margarito and the shameless men who promote and defend him. But while it does feel dirty, I'm really looking forward to this one. I picked Cotto in 2008 and he didn't come away with the win. But this time, I don't see the 2008 version of Margarito even more than I don't see the 2008 version of Miguel Cotto. Margarito is slower, in worse health, and though he dinged Pacquiao a couple times, he hasn't had much punching power in his last three fights. And I question if Robert Garcia has really done much for him at all, as good a trainer as I think Garcia is. Margarito seems amused by himself and this entire situation, almost just happy to be here, making more money. I believe he wants to win, and that he'll go to great lengths to do so, but I don't think he's on Miguel Cotto's level anymore. If Cotto has dipped to a B, Margarito might honestly be a C at this point. Cotto will out-box him, bang up that bad eye, and show he's still slick enough to avoid a Margarito who can't hunt the way he used to. Miguel Cotto by decision.
I have been covering the fight in depth at MMA Nation this week and in my full preview and prediction I predicted the fight going like this:
Margarito just seems like the more "far gone" of the two men, even if both are on their absolute last legs.
In my mind, Cotto should be able to move effectively enough and score with enough combinations to take a fairly comfortable decision on the scorecards. I do think he finds himself in trouble once or twice as Margarito finds space for an uppercut or powerful right hand, but he should be able to survive and win eight or nine rounds.
Miguel Cotto by unanimous decision.
We'll have much more on the fight tonight and the rest of the weekend.