USAT/SBN January 2011 MMA Consensus Rankings: Light Heavyweight


Rank Fighter % Promotion Last Rank
1 Mauricio Rua 100 UFC 1
2 Rashad Evans 94 UFC 2
3 Quinton Jackson 92 UFC 3
4 Lyoto Machida 89 UFC 4
5 Ryan Bader 79 UFC 6
6 Forrest Griffin 78 UFC 5
7 Jon Jones 69 UFC 7
8 Thiago Silva 63 UFC 8
9 Antonio Rogerio Nogueira 53 UFC 9
10 Gegard Mousasi 51 Strikeforce 10
11 Rich Franklin 46 UFC 11
11 Rafael Cavalcante 46 Strikeforce 12
13 Muhammed Lawal 40 Strikeforce 14
14 Dan Henderson 39 Strikeforce 13
15 Randy Couture 38 UFC 15
16 Phil Davis 31 UFC 16
17 Matt Hamill 27 UFC 18
18 Anderson Silva 25 UFC 17
19 Renato Sobral 23 Strikeforce 19
20 Alexander Gustafsson 19 UFC 20
21 Jason Brilz 16 UFC 21
22 Trevor Prangley 15 Shark Fight 22
23 Cyrille Diabate 14 UFC 23
24 Stephan Bonnar 12 UFC 29
25 Vladimir Matyushenko 11 UFC 27

Rankings compiled by Richard Wade.

#1 Mauricio "Shogun" Rua is still on the shelf recovering from his third knee surgery in four years. But faithful #2 Rashad Evans is content to wait until UFC 128 for his title shot.

#3 Quinton "Rampage" Jackson will battle #8 Thiago Silva at UFC 130. The winner will be in sniffing distance of a title shot.

Meanwhile #4 Lyoto Machida, the man who Rampage said beat him at UFC 123, is in a "must win" fight against #15 Randy Couture at UFC 129.

#5 Ryan Bader and #7 Jon Jones will face off in an epic clash of rising young stars at UFC 126. The winner will be hard to keep out of title contention.

#6 Forrest Griffin and #11 Rich Franklin will throw down on the same card. The winner might have to face the winner of Bader/Jones to get a title shot.

#9 Antonio Rogerio Nogueira will get the chance to send Tito Ortiz packing at UFC Fight Night 24 in March.

Based on the premise that all MMA rankings are subjective but that it’s still useful and informative to know who the online MMA community as a whole ranks as the best fighters in MMA, we collect and average the rankings of the top MMA websites to produce our consensus rankings. We compile the top MMA rankings from each of our sources and award 25 points for a first place ranking, 16 for a 10th place ranking, 1 for a 25th place ranking. A formula is used to "normalize" the data so all fighters are awarded points from those lists that do not include a full 25 fighters. This formula ensures that each ranking site awards the same number of total points regardless of how many fighters they choose to rank. Each fighter’s total is divided by the number of possible points to determine their standing in the Consensus Rankings.

We are now moving to what JCS of Fight Matrix has described as assumed rankings in an attempt to rank fighters who move between weight classes. This has been the biggest problem with the consensus rankings and we believe this new methodology will rectify that.

Let's take Anderson Silva for instance. 87% (13 of 15) of our panelists have him at Light Heavyweight and 100% (15 of 15) at Middleweight. On the 13 ballots that ranked Silva at 205, we took the average (21.2). We then reduced that number by half the percentage of Light Heavyweight ballots that he was not included on. Say he's not on 30% of them, then we do a 15% penalty on the average that we found in the previous step. That number is then used instead of the usual "normalization number" to provide points from those not ranking the fighter in the weight class in question. This avoids fighters being excessively penalized by confusion about which weight class they belong.

2011-1_205_medium

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