USAT/SBN January 2011 MMA Consensus Rankings: Welterweight


Rank Fighter % Promotion Last Rank
1 Georges St. Pierre 100 UFC 1
2 Jon Fitch 96 UFC 2
3 Jake Shields 89 UFC 3
4 Josh Koscheck 86 UFC 4
5 Thiago Alves 85 UFC 5
6 Carlos Condit 75 UFC 6
7 Martin Kampmann 73 UFC 7
7 Nick Diaz 73 Strikeforce 8
9 B.J. Penn 62 UFC 9
10 Paul Daley 51 Strikeforce 10
11 Dan Hardy 46 UFC 12
12 Matt Hughes 42 UFC 11
13 Diego Sanchez 41 UFC 13
14 Chris Lytle 36 UFC 14
15 Paulo Thiago 32 UFC 15
16 Mike Pyle 31 UFC 16
17 Jay Hieron 30 Bellator 17
18 Ben Askren 27 Bellator 18
19 Mike Swick 23 UFC 19
20 John Hathaway 20 UFC 20
21 Dong Hyun Kim 20 UFC 26
22 Matt Serra 17 UFC 21
23 Jake Ellenberger 16 UFC 22
24 Rick Story 16 UFC 23
25 Anthony Johnson 13 UFC 25

Rankings compiled by Richard Wade.

#1 Georges St Pierre will face #3 Jake Shields at UFC 129. If he wins, Dana White may very well declare that GSP has cleaned out the division and go ahead and book the long awaited GSP vs Anderson Silva bout.

This will be a sore disappointment to the winner of UFC 127's fight between #2 Jon Fitch and #9 B.J. Penn. On the other hand if GSP leaves the division, the winner of Fitch-Penn will be in the catbird seat to take the belt.

No word on what's next for #4 Josh Koscheck, besides the extended lay off for injuries suffered at the hands of GSP at UFC 124.

#5 Thiago Alves will likely face #24 Rick Story next, possibly in May.

#6 Carlos Condit will take on #14 Chris Lytle at UFC 127. The winner will be in the title hunt.

#7 Martin Kampmann will get #13 Diego Sanchez at UFC on Versus 3.

The other #7 Nick Diaz defends his Strikeforce welterweight belt this Saturday against the unranked but legendary Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos. That should be an entertaining fight but says alot about how thin Strikeforce's welterweight division is.

#10 Paul Daley, Strikeforce's other top 10 welterweight, will risk his title shot against the winner of Diaz-Santos by fighting DEEP champ Yuya Shirai in England at BAMMA 5 in February.

Based on the premise that all MMA rankings are subjective but that it’s still useful and informative to know who the online MMA community as a whole ranks as the best fighters in MMA, we collect and average the rankings of the top MMA websites to produce our consensus rankings. We compile the top MMA rankings from each of our sources and award 25 points for a first place ranking, 16 for a 10th place ranking, 1 for a 25th place ranking. A formula is used to "normalize" the data so all fighters are awarded points from those lists that do not include a full 25 fighters. This formula ensures that each ranking site awards the same number of total points regardless of how many fighters they choose to rank. Each fighter’s total is divided by the number of possible points to determine their standing in the Consensus Rankings.

We are now moving to what JCS of Fight Matrix has described as assumed rankings in an attempt to rank fighters who move between weight classes. This has been the biggest problem with the consensus rankings and we believe this new methodology will rectify that.

Let's take Anderson Silva for instance. 87% (13 of 15) of our panelists have him at Light Heavyweight and 100% (15 of 15) at Middleweight. On the 13 ballots that ranked Silva at 205, we took the average (21.2). We then reduced that number by half the percentage of Light Heavyweight ballots that he was not included on. Say he's not on 30% of them, then we do a 15% penalty on the average that we found in the previous step. That number is then used instead of the usual "normalization number" to provide points from those not ranking the fighter in the weight class in question. This avoids fighters being excessively penalized by confusion about which weight class they belong.

2011-1_170_medium

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