Living Up to the Hype: A Look Back at the Prospects of 2009
Last October, I wrote a series of articles outlining some of the top free agents and prospects in the market that were available for various promotions to incorporate into their rosters or build their rosters around. This eclectic mix of international prospects, isolated regional stars, former UFC veterans, and successful journeyman warriors have since been claimed by promotions such as Bellator, DREAM, Sengoku, Strikeforce, and the UFC, and they've been given the opportunity to shine against better competition.
While it would take quite a bit of time to go over every single prospect and free agent I laid out back in October, I've decided to focus on some of the more successful fighters in the weight classes along with a couple of rising stars to keep an eye on that were also mentioned on the list. Keep in mind that I didn't mention everyone, especially many of the European prospects like Rogent Lloret and Alexander Volkov because I really didn't want to spend hours compiling a seventeen page article. Below is simply a brief rundown of some of my favorites that managed to live up to the hype so far this year.
Check out the previous installments of the prospect and free agent series from back in 2009 here: Welterweights, Middleweights, Light Heavyweights, Heavyweights, smoogy's Lightweight piece
Boom: To grow, develop, or progress rapidly; flourish.
This category comprises of individuals who had rapid growth in the last nine months. They may not have progressed in terms of skill, but they've managed to string together quite a few wins along with some exciting performances along the way.
Gerald Harris (17-2, 3-0 UFC) is by far the most successful fighter out of the group. He fought at UFC Fight Night 20, a mere three months after I dubbed him one of the most desirable talents available in the middleweight division, against John Salter, winning via TKO in the third round. In his second appearance with the promotion, Harris knocked out Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt Mario Miranda inside the first round, proving he could avoid the grappling prowess of Miranda while also continuing a trend of finishing fights.
While his first two victories proved that he belonged in the UFC, his latest win over David Branch may have solidified him as a rising star within the minds of UFC brass as he spectacularly slammed Branch into unconsciousness in the third round of their battle at UFC 116.
After finding out he wasn't even going to be given the opportunity to fight on The Ultimate Figher 7 Finale, Harris has now rattled off nine straight victories and become a powerhouse threat lurking in the lower-to-middle echelon of the UFC's middleweight division. Solid submission defense, huge power, and great wrestling, he'll be a dangerous fight for anyone looking to progress to the top of the division, and his spectacular slam, which was featured on ESPN and commented on by Lebron James, certainly helps market him for the future. Check out the interview he did with our own Jonathan Snowden and the BloodyElbow.com community here as well, very entertaining stuff.
The other clear cut choice in the "Boom" category is two-time NCAA Division I wrestling champion and 2008 U.S. Olympic wrestler Ben Askren (6-0). Since dubbing him one of the best welterweight talents available in October, Askren has won three straight bouts, two against former UFC veteran Ryan Thomas and an impressive, dominant performance over highly-touted welterweight prospect Dan Hornbuckle at Bellator 19 in the welterweight tournament final.
Interestingly enough, he's also become the poster boy for a new generation of fighter -- a heavily credentialed, elite status wrestler who can actually work submissions and use Brazilian jiu-jitsu to his advantage on the ground in combination with his wrestling. Mark Coleman, Dan Henderson, and Randy Couture can never truly say they were diverse submission threats, but Ben Askren could potentially become one of the most dangerous welterweight fighters in the world if he can round out his striking.
Other Booming Prospects
- Alexander "Storm" Shlemenko (30-4): Some cause for concern came with his knockout loss to Jordan Radev a few days after we ran our piece pushing him as one of the better talents in the lean middleweight division, but Shlemenko has since gone 6-0 with victories over Sean Salmon, Matt Major, Jared Hess, and Bryan Baker to solidify a shot at Bellator's middleweight champion Hector Lombard. He's still relatively young, highly-experienced, a huge knockout threat, and... Vadim Finkelstein doesn't have him under contract. It's a win-win for everyone.
- Damian Grabowski (12-0): There were a few questions about whether or not Grabowski could be as dominant against better competition as of late, but punching out fellow prospect Michal Kita certainly answered any doubt. He also managed to submit Dion Staring for the second time in his career. He has signed on with Bellator to battle Scott Barrett in the first round of Bellator's heavyweight tournament, creating an unique opportunity for Grabowski to become well-known among fans in the States.
- Joey Beltran (12-3, 2-0 UFC): It's probably a given that Beltran will never vie for the UFC heavyweight title, but he's had an impressive, almost Cinderella-like run to get where he is today. Defeating Houston Alexander in a regional event back in January after losing a five-round title bout to Tony Lopez in October, the UFC added Beltran to the UFC 109 ticket, pitting him against Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt Rolles Gracie in what was deemed by many fans, including myself, as a squash match for Gracie to win. Beltran went on to upset Gracie, then win a decision over Tim Hague at UFC 113 roughly three months later. From regional prospect to successful UFC fighter in a matter of six months is definitely a feat deserving a mention on our list.
- Phil Davis (6-0, 2-0 UFC): The 2008 NCAA Division I wrestling champion has had quite the climb. With only six fights currently under his belt, Davis seems to be a prospect that could rapidly become a threat in the shark tank that is the UFC light heavyweight division. A decision victory over Brian Stann and a submission victory over Alexander Gustafsson have made his year perfect thus far, but time on the shelf may be what Davis needs to become as threatening as the prospect of Ben Askren joining the UFC's welterweight division. Davis has the potential to add a vast submission game to his repertoire, and he could become one of the newest members of an expanding group of talented wrestlers who can submit opponents on the ground with ease.
- Raphael Davis (9-1): A win over Demetrius Richards during Bellator XXII's main card made the televised portion of the event, and it certainly doesn't hurt to get Davis a little buzz. The 6'3", 205 pounder out of California is a threatening Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist who could see some real offers from bigger promotions soon. I'm not exactly sure why he wasn't included in some sort of tournament field with Bellator, but any exposure on television is a good thing for Davis.
- Jan Blachowicz (11-2): Another Polish prospect makes the "boom" list so far this year as Jan Blachowicz hadn't fought since 2008, but came back into the mix rattling off two straight wins in tournament fashion at KSW 13 in May. He defeated Julio Brutus and Wojciech Orlowski via first round finishes, both in the same night. He turned around and defeated Nikolai Onikienko a little over a month later. Hopefully, we'll see Blachowicz take a step up in competition. I believe he'll take on Daniel Tabera in the KSW Light Heavyweight tournament finale in September.
- Hae Joon Yang (5-0) & Dong Yi Yang (9-0): Hae Joon Yang and Dong Yi Yang are both South Korean-born fighters who may possibly be the first of a generation of elite-level athletes coming out of Korea. Hae sits at around 230 lbs. in the heavyweight division while Dong Yi competes at middleweight. Both men have had impressive wins in 2010 with Hae knocking out Edmund Cavalcante Jr. in the first round at the M-1 Selection Finals, and Dong Yi punching out Bill Suares in May. Strength of competition is obviously a factor, but both fighters have shown some skill in their previous battles despite fighting sub-par fighters. Dong Yi Yang recently signed with the UFC, and I imagine Hae Joon Yang will have no problems punishing M-1's draftees for the rest of the year.
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Anyone know why Chris Wilson hasn’t fought in almost a year? I know he was released by the UFC, but he hasn’t fought at all since then.
Can’t wait to see how Grabowski does in the Bellator tourney.
http://www.instrength.com
He’s had some medical problems. There is some talk that he’ll never fight again.
by HonorableJudgeIto on Jul 13, 2010 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Leland the oracle
Has Leland been taking lessons from Paula the octopus?
I'm from Canada, and they think I'm slow eh!
by Simboy on Jul 13, 2010 11:08 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
That fucking Octopus can die! DIE, I SAY!
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions
Make Calamari out of it.
"Even the Swedes are getting mad."-Randy Hahn
"It's very cozy in the sin bin."-Randy Hahn
Thanks for the clarification
I’m more of an lobster and crap person.
"Even the Swedes are getting mad."-Randy Hahn
"It's very cozy in the sin bin."-Randy Hahn
by 49er16 on Jul 13, 2010 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
best typo of the day so far
http://www.instrength.com
by Tim Burke on Jul 13, 2010 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions 4 recs
lolz
Cause there's only one, and that's me
You understand? for all that fighting, you understand
That sucka think he good, that sucka think he can whoop me
And i know he can't whoop me, Ay boy, the n**** whole style is chump
by S.C. Michaelson on Jul 13, 2010 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Paul* correction
I'm from Canada, and they think I'm slow eh!
by Simboy on Jul 13, 2010 11:11 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I think Phil Davis is a slam dunk. I could see this guy wearing the belt someday. His wrestling is sick and he gives the impression of a guy that is more than willing to add striking and subs to his arsenal. Just a freaky athlete.
I didn’t feel the same about Askren, getting the picture of a guy who is a great wrestler, but would be stubborn to round his game out. I thought Hornbuckle would take him apart. Let’s go to Vegas!
And Harris…hard to believe that the UFC almost let him slip away. He looks better than most of the top guys from recent seasons of TUF.
What happens in 2012 Leland (not the movie!)???
2012 prospect pieces will come down the pipe in the later part of the year. Some key fights for prospects coming up that I’d like to see pan out first.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
Askren started doing jiu-jitsu in college, and i thought he showed great jiu-jitsu against Hornbuckle. His striking is still atrocious though, and doesn’t seem like he could ever really be a feared striker. He’s basically a Jake Shields clone, which isn’t a bad thing
a life: it's the shit that happens while you're waiting for moments that never come -Lester Freamon
by eastcoastatlas on Jul 13, 2010 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions
Nice
didn’t realize that he did that in college.
There is a ton of speculation, well, pretty much proven now, that the next wave of MMA talent will be top wrestlers. It will be interesting to see, who never really picks up the other pieces of the game, who is a good wrestler with naturally heavy hands (Bader ie) and who will prove to be just a great learner and fighter (Davis?).
i actually think it helped with his much-heralded “funky” style that made him so good at wrestling, and vice versa. he’s never been an explosive takedown machine, but thrives on creating chaos then reacting to it better than the opponent
a life: it's the shit that happens while you're waiting for moments that never come -Lester Freamon
by eastcoastatlas on Jul 13, 2010 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions
It's a concept sometimes discussed in modern warfare circles
The concept of “organized chaos.”
Askren’s a purple belt, because of his insane top game. His guard got passed by Hornbuckle a bit too easily for two purples going at it though.
However, the man does not stop. The Hornbuckle fight had my jaw dropping over how fast and strong Askren was, how dogged he was and how talented he is. In my mind, Askren’s the best prospect out there now in any weight class, even with his bad stand-up. Harris is more well rounded, but he’s fighting in a round robin division with Anderson perched at the top.
What happened to Kiril Sidelnikov? Was his confidence smashed after those losses?
Ribbit.
Losses, steroids, M1. Not a good combination.
"...ride life straight to perfect laughter,
it's the only good fight there is."
by dancingChicken on Jul 14, 2010 4:13 AM EDT up reply actions
Askren really has a huge advantage over most fighters though. He isn’t in a major MMA boomtown in California or Florida. He’s in Columbia, Missouri, has a very talented BJJ coach who can probably devote more time to Askren than he’d be able to at the Coconut Creek ATT facility, and they also have a high-level Muay Thai guy in their camp as well. If Askren can get the time and develop himself, it isn’t inconceivable that he can become, at the very least, decent enough to defend well on the feet.
Right now, I feel like he could get broken on the feet against the technical striker with solid takedown defense.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions
Phil Davis and Askren are going to be great
High level wrestling with good jui-jitsu knowledge is going to be the dominant style in mma
Honestly, I am surprised it took so long to happen...
Almost every other elite wrestling convert has gone for either a sprawl and brawl or a straight forward ground and pound style. A great submission game based on positional dominance makes so much more sense. I am very curious as to how for these guys can go with this skill set.
I think the ones that can start off with good GnP and transition to a submission for the finish while their opponent is dazed or over committing to defending strikes are going to be the most successful. Fedor was awesome at switching back and forth with threatening subs and strikes. Having the high level wrestling base to take it to the ground and attack with both is going to be the big differentiator.
Agreed re: the strikes to force an overcommit
Reminds me of a “ground equivalent” to changing levels. There’s an old Judo Chop where Machida used the threat of an elbow (reinforced by actual preceding elbow strikes) to trick David Heath so that he could advance position.
i almost want bellator to go under so zuffa can buy up askren, lombard, and alvarez
We have a saying back home that if your coming on, COME ON!!!!
Zuffa
wants some place like Bellator for guys like Askren. Prospects need a promotion that gives them room to grow and learn and “big game” experience.
by Jonathan Snowden on Jul 13, 2010 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions
Agreed. Bellator is a not threat and it allows the prospects to get some serious seasoning.
The only problem for the UFC is that Bellator won’t their champions walk.
Lombard would have been in the UFC if he didn’t have all those visa issues. With those now ironed out, I’m sure he’s aiming at the UFC after Bellator. Askren will undoubtedly be scouted as well, and Alvarez is always a target.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions
how long does the bellator champions clause extend the fighters contract for?
i dont think its indefinately cause i cant imagine that being legal
We have a saying back home that if your coming on, COME ON!!!!
None of those guys will be available without a loss though.
A loss will undoubtedly kill some of the hype, unless it is some sort of BS decision. How does “after Bellator” come about is the big question for me.
I’m sure the UFC wouldn’t mind seeing a loss either, since they can negotiate for a lower contract.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions
That is a nasty catch 22 for the champions...
A win increases your market value, but you need to lose cash in on it.
I would love to hear from someone with actually knowlege of the "champions clause"
Legally speaking, I am not sure they could keep them indefinitely…maybe for ‘X’ fights or over a certain time frame.
by BigDNotDallas on Jul 13, 2010 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions
there also seems to be a nice influx of korean talent coming in
while the japanese fighters are struggling there seem to be many more korean prospects emerging being led by dong hyun kim and of course the korean zombie himself chan sung jung
We have a saying back home that if your coming on, COME ON!!!!
Korea is up-and-coming, and fans need to pay close attention to some of the talent coming out of Seoul. They do have a boxing culture there in the niche combative sports community, hence why we see two of the prospects I mentioned popping chins left and right.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions
it also helps that they dont have the expectations japanese fighters have
the japanese want to have champions to compete with the brazilian and north american fighters who so dominate the sport and if they dont it causes a massive drop of interest in japan for mma
korea is building slowly though and kim looks like he could be a contender while jung will more than likely only be an extremely entertaining fighter at fw who still could become a huge star
We have a saying back home that if your coming on, COME ON!!!!
They also have a culture that is all about dedication.
I generally don’t like making generalizations, but as a cultural they don’t like to do things half assed.
korean wrestlers
Korea does produce world and olympic medalists every year so if they develop those athletes, their is an upside there. Other countries that always produce world medalists that could produce strong mma fighters (in theory) are Iran and Bulgaria. Kamal Shalorus ( Iranian olympian) just fought Jamie Varner to a draw during WEC.
To be clear Kamal Shalorus never represented Iran in any international competition.
by Jonathan Snowden on Jul 13, 2010 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions
To add to what Snowden said
He’s Iranian by birth but received British citizenship and competed for Britain at an Olympic qualification… where apparently he placed 19th.
Tyron Woodley
May be the brightest left off this brief list.
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The list is comprised of guys we had on our initial list. Woodley was 4-0 at the time of that list, and really hadn’t beaten anyone notable. Zach Light was his more recent win at that time.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Yep.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions
Not at the beginning of 2009. Woodley signed in June 2009 w/ SF, but yeah he does miss your prospect notebook deadline
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The article was in October, that’s why we didn’t include him.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 14, 2010 8:26 PM EDT up reply actions
ah I see good boom list though. Only guy I’d remove is Joey Beltran, quality roster filler but may not be a prospect who has any staying power
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The list doesn’t actually comprise of fighters with staying power. It’s simply a list of guys who have risen quickly. Beltran deserves, at the very least, a nod. Most people wrote him off as mincemeat, and he came through in a big way. As I said in the analysis, he’ll never vie for the title, and he’ll never be a middle-echelon guy without some major improvement. But he deserves kudos.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Know what would be cool?
Prospect busts list. Though that may be harder to compile… but do it anyways.
i was also hoping that article would be next
We have a saying back home that if your coming on, COME ON!!!!
Already in the making, my friend.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions
well I’m not your pal, buddy.
uuuh yeah I write for the Cincinnati Enquirer. Thanks?
by "Mr. NC-17" on Jul 13, 2010 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions
I can explain Raphael Davis
He wasn’t included in a light heavyweight tournament for Bellator because Bellator couldn’t find enough light heavyweights to create an 8 man tournament. As you know, the UFC has almost all the top light heavyweights in the world and there simply weren’t enough talented prospects out there to create the tourney. Bellator is only doing 3 tournaments in season 3.
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by Brian Hemminger on Jul 13, 2010 12:26 PM EDT reply actions
Yeah, that was kind of disappointing...
I was looking forward to another four tourney’s, but I guess that goes to show the dedication they have to finding top level prospects.
I'd like to see Harris vs Dan Miller
I think that would be a great matchup and would really put either in contention for a top 5 fighter.
No?
Semper Fi
Honestly, I think Harris wins that one quite destructively.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions
yup
If you get out boxed by Demian Maia, you are in some trouble.
uuuh yeah I write for the Cincinnati Enquirer. Thanks?
by "Mr. NC-17" on Jul 13, 2010 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Well, he did completely destroy his thumb in the first round, which would explain the tentativeness.
http://www.instrength.com
Great recap with the added benefit of making me feel smart for concurring with most of your selections. I was confident Phil Davis, Gerald Harris and Korean Fedor would flourish, but I’m a bit suprised how well Askren, Shlemenko and Beltran have fared.
I think Shlemenko is my biggest surprise. After that Radev knockout loss, a lot of luster was lost. He came back well though.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jul 13, 2010 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Phil Davis will be the anti-Jon Jones
You’ll see.
why?
I think Davis perhaps has the biggest upset of anyone on the boom list
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oops
upset = upside
Davis has the biggest upside
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Uh oh, mainstream sports prospect terminology creeping into MMA
Next you’ll be telling us they both have “freakish length”

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