UFC 115: Liddell vs. Franklin Betting Odds
by Nick Thomas on Jun 9, 2010 9:18 AM EDT
in MMA News
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PrintMain bouts:
Rich Franklin (26-5) -150 vs. Chuck Liddell (21-7) +125
Pat Barry (5-1) -165 vs. Mirko "Cro Cop" Filipovic (26-7-2) +140
Paulo Thiago (13-1) -215 vs. Martin Kampmann (16-3) +170
Ben Rothwell (30-7) -150 vs. Gilbert Yvel (36-14-1) +120
Rory MacDonald (10-0) -150 vs. Carlos Condit (24-5) +120
On Spike TV:
Tyson Griffin (14-2) -260 vs. Evan Dunham (10-0) +200
Mac Danzig (19-7-1) -135 vs. Matt Wiman (11-5) +105
Preliminary bouts:
Mario Miranda (9-1) -195 vs. David Loiseau (19-9) +155
James Wilks (6-3) -355 vs. Peter Sobotta (8-2) +275
Claude Patrick (11-1) -325 vs. Ricardo Funch (7-1) +250
Jesse Lennnox (11-2) -135 vs. Mike Pyle (18-7-1) +105
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If I were to really bet on these Id take Yvel fo sho, hes gonna KO Rothy.
Man Dana shouldve given us this card free since he said hed make up for the Silva fight.
Mike Goldberg: "You know Joe, When Matt and his brother Mark Hughes were growing up, they would pound each other behind the barn."
I'd take Rothwell myself,
He has a good chin and all he has to do in close the distance with Yvel beat him up on the inside and stay outta the plum. Also doesn’t beat fighters that are still relevant
Ride the Tiger!
by doonerthesooner on Jun 9, 2010 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Yvel doesn't beat fighters that are still relevant
Ride the Tiger!
by doonerthesooner on Jun 9, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Macdonald is the favorite over Condit?
I’m as unimpressed with Condit as the next guy, but I still think his experience and grittiness are going to carry him to a win here.
"Sometimes hype just ain't enough." - Jens Pulver on his win over BJ Penn
MacDonald is going to lose. He’s definitely got a bright future, but Condit will be the brick wall for him to go back to the drawing board and get stronger.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 9, 2010 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions
You could take every underdog on the main card and not feel too bad about those picks. They are all very small underdogs, but still it’s a bit of value.
by Hardcharger on Jun 9, 2010 9:40 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Parlays
Condit-Mirko-Liddell
Miranda-Danzig-Pyle
Single bets on:
Yvel
Thiago
Risky, but my DREAM wins put me way up this year. I’m willing to risk it for more glory.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 9, 2010 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions
I’ll probably throw down…
Condit-Danzig-Miranda as well.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 9, 2010 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions
Not bad on either. Parlays are tough when the odds are this close, but you could make some good $$ here.
They are tough.
Takaya-Gracie-Wicky was ballsy on my part, but I felt Gracie and Wicky were going to win. Takaya made me nervous, but pulled it off.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 9, 2010 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions
Parlays...
As I understand it, a parlay requires you to pick right on all 3 to win, but how is the payout done? Is it a multiplier? I’m not sure I’m using the right words, but how does a parlay of X Y Z net you more return than 3 single bets on each?
I haven’t done it by hand in a long time, but here’s what I remember… I could be wrong.
Example:
Carlos Condit @ +120
Mirko Filipovic @ +140
Paulo Thiago @ -215
I believe the formulas for favorites and underdogs are:
Favorites: (Odds + 100)/Odds
Underdogs: (Odds + 100)/100
In our case:
Condit: (120 + 100)/100 = 2.2
Mirko: (140 + 100)/100 = 2.4
Thiago: (215 +100/215 = 1.46
This gives you the parlay multipliers. Simply multiply them together to get the true odds of the parlay:
2.2 * 2.4 * 1.46 = 7.71
Now, that somewhat changes from site to site, but I haven’t actually done it by hand in forever. I normally use a site’s parlay calculator.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 9, 2010 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Great thanks.
I suspected it was something just like that, but I didn’t know the particulars. Are parleys always done in trios or are there places that allow you to string as many bets together as you want?
You can string loads of them together. I have buddies who throw 10 bucks down on 11 team parlays during NFL weeks. About three years ago, one of them hit for a friend… $40,000+. Made his year
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 9, 2010 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Well, you’d lose 10 bucks every week for the most part in that type of parlay. I think people generally underestimate MMA parlays. Yeah, unpredictability of knockouts is a factor, but I’ve had more success with MMA than anything else in parlay betting.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Jun 10, 2010 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions
Why do I want to say "Buncha Funch" every time I see Ricardo Funch's name?
Walking the line between intelligence and ignorance since 1985
@deowade
It's the hair
myspace.com/tbma <--- Give it a listen, let me know what you think.
Proud conductor of the Shane Carwin hype train.
Shane Carwin hits you and even if your payin the bill it doesn't matter. Your lights are gettin shut off.
by II SMASH II on Jun 9, 2010 9:48 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
UFC 115: Indifference
I don’t care who wins in any of these- I’d like to see either guy win in every single fight on the card. I can’t remember a recent card similar to this.
Even when I'm laying on my back I'm never backing down
myspace.com/tbma <--- Give it a listen, let me know what you think.
Proud conductor of the Shane Carwin hype train.
Shane Carwin hits you and even if your payin the bill it doesn't matter. Your lights are gettin shut off.
by II SMASH II on Jun 9, 2010 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions 5 recs
Couldn’t agree more. And I like any parlay involving Condit.
by Bryan Everson on Jun 9, 2010 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions
My thoughts
Parlays are for sure things or massive value bets based on odds. I don’t see any fights like that on this card, certainly not two or three.
I wouldn’t make any parlays, but I’m not really a gambler.
When I gamble I see it more as a skill based on information and probability.
500 there.
then split the other 500 on individual bets on Barry, Rich, and a small play on MacDonald (he’s +250, so I think he’s worth the bet)
by Anton Tabuena on Jun 9, 2010 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions
thats my parlay too
I think its a pretty good shot at some fake cash.
"When i get in there, in his face ,pressin the action,I'm RUFF NECKIN'EM,I'm throwin him around,I'm punchin him,hes punchin me, I'm eatin his shots and I'm Blastin him back in the face he's not goin to be able to handle it ." - Chris Leben on how his fight with Anderson Silva is gonna go.
by Rayce. on Jun 9, 2010 11:41 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I think Dunham will win,
but it’s risky, and Griffin can eek out another decision…
by Anton Tabuena on Jun 9, 2010 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions
Man, that's some good money on Condit.
If I wake up tomorrow and see that the world has ended, then that means God has finally granted my prayers.
GO Armageddon!!!
Good money on this card
Hmmm, what will I buy with this weekends winning?. Got the boat, Caye Island in Belize… Well, I guess Ill invest it this time!
not a particularly big-time card...
…but a really fun one. feel like I could just sit back and enjoy these fights, not a huge fan of any particular fighter, no titles/shots, but just good guys and good fighters.
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