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Bellator XV Preview - Jacob McClintock and Dan Hornbuckle Look to Advance

Bellator returns this week with arguably its best card yet.  Top welterweight prospects Dan Hornbuckle and Jacob McClintock are in action, Ryan Thomas attempts to right the wrongs of his last fight, Tylor Stinson gets a chance to shock the world after fate placed him against the tournament favorite, top featherweight prospect Patricio Pitbull jumps in the cage, and two heavy handed welterweights aim to steal the show.

Let's break it down.

WELTERWEIGHT TOURNAMENT BOUTS

Dan Hornbuckle vs. Tylor Stinson

Dan Hornbuckle made quite the name for himself in 2009, scoring stoppages in DREAM over Akihiro Gono and Nick Thompson.  Possessing good height for 170 pounds at 6'2" Dan is able to use his long limbs to unleash damaging strikes from a distance.  His willingness to dictate the fight by using aggressive striking has been a major benefit in his career to this point.  With the recent string of stoppages via strike, some are overlooking that Hornbuckle also has a solid ground game that helps round out his game and makes him one of the top prospects in all of MMA.

Tylor Stinson won the open tryout for a spot fighting on this card.  It wasn't originally supposed to land him in the tournament, but when Sean Pierson was forced to pull out of the fight Stinson was given the chance to make a huge splash against the tournament favorite.

Stinson has good height himself, and as a southpaw he can provide some difficulties for opponents.  In his fight with Drew Fickett he was able to showcase some very good takedown defense and positional awareness as well as powerful left hooks that repeatedly dropped the more experienced Fickett.

Stinson is no slouch but I just don't see him as being on Hornbuckle's level quite yet.  Still, he's a kid who may make a little noise and if he can find a way to land a left hand maybe he can change the entire tournament.

Ryan Thomas vs. Jacob McClintock


Ryan Thomas gets his second opportunity in the Bellator welterweight tournament after losing in controversial fashion to Ben Askren.  In the first fight Thomas was able to land a few punches while the fight was standing prior to being taken down by the former Olympian.  Thomas was able to threaten from his back including a brief moment where it looked as though he may finish Askren with a deep triangle choke.  In the end Askren was able to lock up a "Japanese Necktie" and the ref stopped the fight despite Thomas being concious and not tapping out.

Thomas will face a similar opponent Thursday evening in Jacob "Tick Tock" McClintock.  McClintock has many of the same holes in his striking game that plague Askren.  McClintock's ground game is extremely good though.  He can play off his back well looking for submissions or sweeps and when he is on top he can dominate positionally en route to stopping his opponent with strikes.

This is a very big test for McClintock. Thomas isn't great standing but he is better than Jacob.  If McClintock can find a way to get the fight to the ground he should have the advantage.  But Thomas isn't likely to make things easy when it's time for grappling either.

If it wasn't for the very quick turnaround and late notice for Thomas I'd be interested in him as an upset pick, but there is just too much going on with everything over the past week and as such I'll have to take McClintock to advance.

Brett Cooper vs. Steve Carl

Brett Cooper trains with Antonio McKee but has an extremely different style from his head trainer.  Cooper has solid hands and throws powerful strikes.  Brett has been able to add solid wrestling to his striking which enables him to control the placement of the fight.  Since starting his career 2-3 he has gone on a run of 9 wins and 2 losses.  In his last loss Cooper fell via TKO to Spiritwolf in what amounted to little more than a trap fight.  Without that loss it's possible that we'd be seeing Cooper getting a crack in the UFC.

There is one thing that stands out as a place where Brett can get caught in this fight and that is his defensive striking.  When pressured Cooper tends to fall into the trap of going straight backward which can lead to bad, bad things.

Steve Carl has solid wrestling and a good killer instinct.  Carl has one career loss, which came to the UFC's Brian Foster.  He has heavy hands but does leave himself a bit wide open when throwing.  Carl's top control is also solid and he works a good ground and pound game while looking for openings for a submission.

Carl certainly has the ability to win here but this fight could come down to who can land the heavy shot first.  I'm seeing a TKO victory for Cooper.

FEATHERWEIGHT TOURNAMENT BOUT

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire vs. William Romero

A battle of unbeatens that could be one of the sleepers for the best fights of the first round.  Romero is a finisher, he hits hard and once he has you in trouble he will find a way to finish you off.  Patricio Pitbull is also a finisher, once he locks in a submission it is very hard to get out.  Also, Pitbull has the ability to explode with strikes.

Romero comes out of the gates ready to go all out while Freire usually takes a good three minutes or so to get going.  If Romero can pressure him early he may be able to find some success.

I've been saying that Pitbull is my pick to win the tournament and I'll ride with that pick, especially after seeing Joe Warren look less than great in his first round fight.  However, Romero is a very dangerous opponent and could make something happen.

Your homework for these fights is after the jump.  Study up and we'll see you on the liveblog!

-- photos via bellator.com

Star-divide

Brett Cooper vs. Rory Markham - Round 2

Dan Hornbuckle vs. Joe Alexander

Dan Hornbuckle's KO of Akihiro Gono

Tyler Stinson vs. Drew Fickett



Patricio Pitbull vs. Jhonny Iwasaki

Jacob McClintock vs. Sultan Tikhaev

William Romero vs. Guillaume Lamarche


Comment 28 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I could be wrong, but I thought Brett Cooper was on the first episode of TUF this season, and lost, by tko or something. I’m pretty sure it was him.

by p0wn on Apr 22, 2010 1:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Nope...

that was Brent Cooper

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great preview Brent.

http://www.twitter.com/TB_Money

by Tim Burke on Apr 22, 2010 1:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Jacob “Tick Tock” McClintock..badass…dig the nickname

"Justice is the whim of a judge, check his chest density
It leaves much room for error, and the rest left to destiny."
-Sage Francis

by DamnSevern on Apr 22, 2010 1:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Tick Tock

is a for real badass. I saw him from cage side at UWC and the dude is positively frightening.

Follow me on Twitter @KidNate

by Nate Wilcox on Apr 22, 2010 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nope...

there are probably plenty of illegal online streams but we can’t link to those. Sorry.

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

i tried the illegal thing last time… it was surprisingly difficult for bellator.

funnily enough, the fact that it starts at different times in different places makes it hard to stream as well.

by ruckus on Apr 22, 2010 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh god…I forgot about the change in how the draft runs now

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just want to point out...

that for all the bitching people have done over the last week or so about how we need to focus more on breaking down fights and talking about upcoming fights and fighters that when we do write pieces like this they get 10-30 comments vs. 200-1000 for more “media” stories.

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 3:49 PM EDT reply actions  

it's hard to have long discussions pre-fight

the “media” stories draw a select group of commenters who get into long back-and-forths about all the possible nuances of every PR move, racking up a lot of comments from not that many people

theres less teeth-gnashing to be done about about fights before they happen. the post fight analyses seem to get a ton of comments

by Stillberry on Apr 22, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good. It gives the 10-30 of us who aren’t enamored with that other bullshit a nice, quiet place to converse like adults.

by smoogy2 on Apr 22, 2010 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Who you liking tonight?

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with all your picks. And I also have Freire winning the FW tourney. Once he does, and Sandro takes the belt from Kanehara, Brazilians will have the entire division on lockdown:

WEC – Jose Aldo
Sengoku – Marlon Sandro
DREAM – Bibiano
Bellator – Freire
Pancrase – Sandro

The only legit world title left will be the Shooto LW belt, which Hioki will presumably snatch from Takeshi next month.

by smoogy2 on Apr 22, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Here is a more specific prediction:

Brett Cooper wins via his trademark right cross/right uppercut KO pattern. I’ve seen him do this at least 3 times now… I forgot how awesome the end of Cooper-Markham was.

Miletich: “He’s just got to… FUCK! SHIT! NO!”

by smoogy2 on Apr 22, 2010 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

There is nothing better than when a fighter’s corner is being talked to as he gets KO’ed.

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

But is it only about how many comments you get?

You should of course put out articles about “Shocking news: Dana said Y, but did X!” to get a lot of comments, sure. But it’s also about what kind of blog you want to be in the long run and what image you want us readers to of you.

The really hard thing with blogging is that it is all about consistency to the extreme and it’s not only about grasping for new big hits, but also about detirmining what you want to be and be that.

I think a lot of us really thrives on reading these kind of breakdowns. And additionally, having them certainly gives me a much better image of you as a place that really cares for the actual sport and not only the ruckus around it.

There is not always so much to say about a breakdown of this sort, especially when in cases like this when I don’t know too much about the fighters.

by Sventsh on Apr 22, 2010 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also, these collections with fight links as study material is excellent work.

by Sventsh on Apr 22, 2010 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

We do both and I’m very happy to do both. I just thought it was funny that yesterday we had people bitching that we weren’t covering the WEC or BFC shows as heavily as they wanted. And I don’t see any of those people commenting on this or the WEC preview.

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe they are busy watching tape?

by Sventsh on Apr 22, 2010 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve been looking forward to tonight’s fights since that Hornbuckle/Gono fight. It sucked that he didn’t fight New Year’s, but I’m so glad he signed with Bellator. I think he kinda got screwed over after he took Gono’s head off.

"We don't need no water, let the Badr Hari burn!" - Michael Schiavello

by Jackie Maden on Apr 22, 2010 7:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Watch Dan Hornbuckle's KO of Akihiro Gono ASAP

I watched it again and again, he falls flat like tree, a devastating kick right on the chin, it was sick. And the crescent kick against Alexander, I’m looking forward to see him fight, if I found a way to watch it that is.

I'm a lover not a fighter

by spectaa on Apr 22, 2010 7:04 PM EDT reply actions  

I have FSN Detroit. They aren’t showing Bellator live…but they did just put up an “alternate” channel FSND ALT which is showing Bellator when it starts. I’ve heard from other people that they are doing this in multiple markets.

Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.
MMA Editor - SBNation.com

by Brent Brookhouse on Apr 22, 2010 7:18 PM EDT reply actions  

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