Debating the Importance of a Consensus Number One Ranked Fighter
The UFC's middleweight division has been one of the most scrutinized divisions in the sport of mixed martial arts. After the two drubbings former champion Rich Franklin took at the hands of Brazilian sensation Anderson Silva, Dan Henderson, Patrick Cote, Thales Leites, and light heavyweights Forrest Griffin and James Irvin all took their shot at proving Silva wasn't invincible -- but all comers failed. Because of Silva's dominance, the middleweight division has been relegated to featuring battles between contenders who normally come up short in epic fashion when their shot at the title comes to fruition.
It's unlikely we'll see anyone dethrone Anderson Silva soon, but Michael David Smith over at MMAFighting.com points out the mess that the division will become if Maia can pull off the seemingly impossible feat of submitting Silva:
So if Maia beats Silva, does that make him the No. 1 middleweight in the world? Or would Marquardt have a case that he's No. 1, because he just beat Maia? Or would Chael Sonnen have a case that he's No. 1, because he just beat Marquardt? Or would it be crazy to call Sonnen No. 1 because Maia needed only 2:37 to submit Sonnen at UFC 95?
And if Maia became the champion, who would get the next title shot? Vitor Belfort, because he was declared the No. 1 contender when he beat Franklin at UFC 103? Sonnen, because he was declared the No. 1 contender when he beat Marquardt? Marquardt, because he already beat Maia? Silva, because an immediate rematch would probably be the biggest middleweight title fight the UFC could make?
Smith goes on to point out that in all the confusion, Strikeforce's middleweight title bout between Dan Henderson and Jake Shields could become a legitimate contender for ranking the #1 middleweight in the world. While I agree that it definitely creates a mess of confusion as to who is the #1 middleweight in the world, should we really care?
Most importantly, a huge upset like Maia defeating Silva would create some turmoil at the top of the division -- something it has needed ever since Silva defeated Henderson at UFC 82. It would likely create a rematch between Demian Maia and Chael Sonnen, and possibly give Nate Marquardt his rematch with Anderson Silva. Belfort would sit in the background healing from his shoulder surgery, and he would return against the champion.
Maybe I'm in a smaller subset of the MMA fanbase, but determining the #1 ranked fighter at a specific weight class seems rather pointless. Normally, we have definitive evidence as to who the #1 ranked fighter in the world is at the time.
Silva's winning streak as a champion is the most obvious piece of evidence, but it also depends on how someone would consistently rank top fighters. If you're using the leapfrog method, then Maia would technically be the #1 ranked fighter at middleweight, and Shields vs. Henderson could certainly determine a new #1 ranked fighter down the road.
The problem, however, is that these debates over #1 fighters will never cross over promotional lines unless the fighters have common opponents. Shields hasn't fought any of the competition currently amassed at the top of the division, and Henderson was defeated by Anderson Silva. Even if Belfort somehow wins the UFC title, Henderson's win over Belfort was at light heavyweight -- and every hardcore fan will dispute the #1 ranking claim because of that fact.
It's a pointless discussion that would spiral into the inevitable comparisons between Japanese lightweights and UFC lightweights, an argument that probably couldn't be solved by Albert Einstein himself. If Maia beats Silva, who will the #1 middleweight be in the world? Who cares. It'll work itself out in the next year. In the meantime, enjoy the mayhem at the top of the UFC's middleweight division.
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The possibilities are endless!
Good thing we won’t have to worry about them. I mean it’s Anderson vs Maia right?
by Myke25 on Feb 16, 2010 12:05 PM EST reply actions
isn’t that basically two options of ‘no’?
by cagefightonacid on Feb 16, 2010 12:08 PM EST reply actions
The last option is basically... I don't care.
The “No” option would be that you actually have an opinion.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:09 PM EST up reply actions
I’m in the “It’s important AND I like seeing great fights” camp
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by Brent Brookhouse on Feb 16, 2010 12:25 PM EST up reply actions
Then you would vote Yes.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:25 PM EST up reply actions
Or should I say YUS!
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:26 PM EST up reply actions
The way I see it, styles make fights
Maia beat Sonnen, but Sonnen has a far better chance at beating Anderson, so making two guys fight for a #1 contender, doesn’t mean you’ll get the guy who’s most likely to take the title
I won the signed Matt Serra Tee!!!! whoop whoop
In the name of the Fedor, the Anderson and the GSP. Amen.
by Spinning Fat Kick on Feb 16, 2010 12:30 PM EST up reply actions
Shouldn’t that be the other way around? Sonnen has the chance to keep Silva down for 25 minutes and avoid being either knocked out, or submitted: two things Silva is more than capable of doing to elite fighters. Maia has the chance of submitting Silva, which he’s more than capable of if he gets the fight to the ground which again, he’s more than capable of.
by David Castillo on Feb 16, 2010 12:34 PM EST up reply actions
I don't see Maia beating Silva
But in the event he does, Maia would have to be the consensus #1 MW. Also, Silva would deserve an immediate rematch IMO.
OD is incredibly handsome, coureagous and self sacrificing in his endeavour to educate me on MMA and evolve my primitive understanding of the sport; I salute you sir.
But the problem is that the promotion is the boss… and they don’t give a shit about rankings. So, if they’re making the match-ups… rankings really don’t matter.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:25 PM EST up reply actions
As they shouldn't.
Unfortunately, this is a business first and when unexpected things like injuries can derail a fight/card that has been planned for months or longer, it isn’t practical to expect a promotion to strictly adhere to rankings as a method to determine challengers for title shots.
I honestly couldn’t give a shit. Champion is the guy with the belt. Everybody else is the challenger. One way or other everybody is going to fight everybody. Well Unless your Fedor j/k lol
"Frank Mir had a horseshoe up his ass. I told him a year ago. I pulled it out of him and I beat him over the head with it." Brock Lesnar
It’s fun to argue about, but fights among the top fighters are just great, being number 1 is cool, but not necessary.
Also, The winner of Maia/Silva has to be number 1. If Anderson wins, it’s obvious, but if Maia wins, he will have the best win. The winner of Hendo/shields will be either a guy who definitively lost to Silva, or a guy with 2 or 3 MW fights and 1 top 10 win.
Strikeforce’s middleweight title bout between Dan Henderson and Jake Shields could become a legitimate contender for ranking the #1 middleweight in the world.
Sorry but this is just incredibly dumb. Shields has one official fight at MW (the Lawler fight was at a catchweight if I’m not mistaken), with a win over Miller. This is like saying if Hardy beats GSP, the outcome of the Diaz/Zaromskis fight could become a legitimate contender for ranking the #1 WW. Diaz fans might like that logic, but even if Maia did beat Silva, he would have two MW wins (Silva/Sonnen) that surpass anything both Hendo and Shields have done at that weight: Hendo fought Franklin at LHW, and his best wins at MW are over Bisping, Palhares, and Misaki back in 2006 which would go on to be avenged by Misaki (!).
Hendo’s a great fighter, but the brilliance he’s shown at LHW reveals quite a gap compared to what he’s done at MW.
While I agree rankings are largely irrelevant, it serves as a nice little merit based system for those who put in the work and get results as opposed to fighters that coast on success at other weights or who looked brilliant against sub par competition (like Kid Yamamoto). This might sound like Zuffa-centered logic, but I say the guy who wins the belt in the deepest division available gets the benefit of the doubt in terms of rank regardless of who looks better in some ma-and-pa organization.
Then again I say leave the top 10 rankings for contenders, and give whoever has the belt a nice little spot called “Champion”.
by David Castillo on Feb 16, 2010 12:28 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
I really don’t see it as legitimate either unless Anderson loses two straight by some miracle. Hence why I stated “down the road”
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by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:33 PM EST up reply actions
also, the shields/ lawler fight was for the middleweight belt, lawler has been ranked, as has miller, and shields beat okami a while back. so as much as don’t like him, he’s definitely a legit MW.
by Austin Martin on Feb 16, 2010 12:36 PM EST up reply actions
Yea, but unless Silva’s next two fights are against Brock Lesnar and Fedor, we won’t be crossing that road, like, ever. I do think Maia is a legit threat to Silva insofar as once he gets the fight to the ground, it could be over. While I don’t agree with the premise of the article per se (a lot of subpoints I do think are valid), it’s weird that people scoff at the possibility of this becoming an “issue”. I mean, are the chances of Silva landing the one punch he needs out of necessity really that much greater than Maia scoring a takedown (which he’s done on brilliant wrestlers like Sonnen), and submitting Silva? I certainly don’t think so.
by David Castillo on Feb 16, 2010 12:39 PM EST up reply actions
Well… you’re delving into it way too deeply.
The possibility of this happening is highly unlikely. That’s why I turned this into a debate as to how relevant is that #1 consensus ranking to fans. To me, I couldn’t care less. For the most part, we already know who the #1 consensus ranked fighter is… and if there is debate, it’ll sort itself out within the year.
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"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:47 PM EST up reply actions
And furthermore...
Do we really think Hendo vs. Shields would legitimately compete with a UFC title fight for #1 consensus ranked anyways? Probably not. So, in my mind… the UFC champion is the decided #1. No debate.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 12:49 PM EST up reply actions
While I agree that it definitely creates a mess of confusion as to who is the #1 middleweight in the world, should we really care?
- contender is a marketing tool only. The rankings will always be subjective unless you have beaten everyone below you, which never happens as a non-champ. Promoters always need to keep a viable challenger.
The only people who should really care are the owners. Spider losing makes the UFC middleweight division viable again. That translates to more PPV buys to determine the “true” #1 and that means more money in their pockets. Same goes for GSP and BJ. The UFC needs one of these “unbeatable” champions to lose to generate greater interest in those divisions.
Who would’ve though the UFC HW division would be more competitive than LW, WW and MW?
Your idea is great in theory, but...
It’s not exactly the case..
People tune in to watch Lesnar because he is a polarizing figure above anyone else in MMA. People tune in to watch GSP because they enjoy is work ethic and willingness to face all comers. People tune in to watch BJ because it’s without a doubt that BJ is, and has always been the top LW in the world. When BJ is focused and in shape, he’s pretty much unbeatable in his weight division. These same reasons are the reasons people have grown attached to Silva too. Silva has already done things that no other fighter in the history of the sport has done. He’s won 10 straight fights in the UFC, he’s held a title longer than any other fighter in UFC history. This fight will make him the 1st fighter in UFC history to defend a title 6 times, if he gets past Maia and also put him at 11-0 inside the UFC.
People tune in because of the “invisibility aura” he has grown. It’s no different than in boxing when the Tyson’s, Ali’s, Louis’, Jones Jr. etc.. Silva is far and above the best MW in the world. Even if he loses to Maia, he’s still the top fighter out there. Everyone can get caught. It doesn’t diminish the body of work prior leading up to that moment. The only way Silva loses his position is if he loses multiple fights in a row. I don’t forsee him losing to Maia or multiple fights in the MW division..
8-29-09
Keith Jardine is now known as "The Dean of Antihistamine" because he is always sleeping early in fights..
Your boxing analogy doesn’t quite work. The greatest interest in the men you named came when they had viable challengers. Ali had his bouts with Frazier/Norton and the “unbeatable” champion in George Foreman in Zaire. Louis’ fight with Billy Conn actually awakened the masses after Louis’ period of the “bum-of-the-month club.” Tyson who had that invincibility aura, you speak of, fought in a weak period of heavyweights in comparison to Ali/Frazier/Foreman/Holmes era, but more people tuned in when he fought and lost to his “nemesis” Evander Holyfield. Jones Jr., I never liked, so no comment.
The point is without viable contenders, people lose interest. Do you really think that Maia, Hardy or Edgar are viable challengers to these guys? Or Sonnen/Marquardt/Belfort, Kos/Fitch/Alves, Maynard/Gomi/Florian? The UFC will reach a pinnacle, like boxing did, when they have multiple contenders in alot of weight classes that consistently fight each other and have epic bouts. Ali/Frazier, Ali/Foreman, Hagler/Hearns, Leonard/Duran, Leonard/Hearns, Leonard/Hagler are some quick examples of these types of bouts. All-time fighters fighting each other for supremacy during their prime.
We are currently blessed to have some of the best individual talent that MMA has ever seen in guys like BJ, GSP, Spider and Aldo. Without viable contenders, we will never know how good these guys could truly be.
And I agree with you on the invisibility aura of Silva. If people had actually paid to watch him fight, not Forrest, they would be impressed with his skills. (Sorry, had to make the crack)
Who really cares....
Look I for one just wanna see the best matchups that can be put together. If my grandma is a good matchup for Anderson then imo she’s the no#1 contender.
Same situation with Torres
In my mind, Torres is still the #1 bantamweight. I imagine that the current #1’s get caught in sparring all the time, and anything can happen in the ring. Does that mean that the guy who beat them should de-facto take over the #1 crown? If we were talking about sports teams, where statistics/records determine rankings, then absolutely not. It really shouldn’t apply to MMA either.
the gold standard
Quick addendum: One way to think about this question — if you would give the fighter who lost favorable odds in a rematch, he should probably still be considered the #1 in that division. Would Torres have favorable odds in a rematch against Bowles? Would Silva have favorable odds in a rematch against Maia? Absolutely.
No. if anything the fight would be even or HAS to have odds towards bowles, because he is undefeated and decimated torres. Its like the first brown/ faber fight, it couldve been a fluke, but until the rematch no one can say for sure, and bowles won pretty viciously. I would think that the odds on the rematch would depend on how the first fight went, so if maia submits him convincingly in the fight then perhaps he would be favored. you forget how fickle the oddsmakers and fans are. Its almost like saying nate would be favored in a rematch against sonnen in writing, and yet, people would be very weary of putting their money on nate again.
by Austin Martin on Feb 16, 2010 1:21 PM EST up reply actions
That’s not really how odds work though. Just because Bowles stopped Torres does not mean he’d do it again. There are so many factors involved; injuries, style matchups, bad game plans, having a bad night. Even after a three round domination, if Nate and Sonnen fought again, I think it’d be perfectly legitimate for Nate to be a (slight) favorite. A bookmaker would base this on him not having fought a smart fight and worrying more about getting a stoppage to secure the #1 contender spot. On the flip side, Sonnen has one gameplan he uses for every fight and took more damage than Nate did.
At a certain point it comes down to style matchups and loops like Sonnen > Marquardt > Maia > Sonnen which make it hard to compose a perfect hierarchically ranked list.
by HarmlessNinja on Feb 16, 2010 1:43 PM EST up reply actions
This makes sense to me. We’ve heard so many times about guys “getting caught” and styles making fights that it doesn’t make sense to discredit all of Anderson’s (for example) previous dominations because he gets caught by someone who’s lost to a guy he stopped.
by HarmlessNinja on Feb 16, 2010 1:28 PM EST up reply actions
There are so many problems with rankings...
and due to the unexpected nature of MMA in general, sometimes it’s pretty tough to come up with a consensus #1, but I understand the need to have such rankings. Personally, I’d rather see interesting or new fights.
You have to be the man... you have to be very, like, alpha male with her. You know? Decide what you do and everything. So, show her who's the boss, you know? - GSP
Smith goes on to point out that in all the confusion, Strikeforce’s middleweight title bout between Dan Henderson and Jake Shields could become a legitimate contender for ranking the #1 middleweight in the world.
Smith needs to lay off the drugs, Shield isn’t even a top 10 MW and Hendo was already handled by Silva neither guy is in a position to even be in the discussion.
If Maia beats Anderson he becomes number 1 and Anderson becomes number 2 everyone else can fight for their position but there won’t be any chaos in the rankings unless you’re out of your mind.
It would also make a giant mess of the MW division if tomato monsters ate Anderson
…but I don’t see that happening either.
Don't believe a word I say, I don't train BJJ.
I blog at TangleBones - you should follow me on Twitter here.
If you like it, you should put a rec on it.
Tomatoes are not to be trifled with...
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0080391/
'He built his whole reputation as a waffle house chef. They’ve been serving him up ham and eggs with a side of canned tomatoes' - Don Frye on Fedor Emelianenko
by Well Read Idiot on Feb 17, 2010 5:22 AM EST up reply actions
Sure, but my trifle recipe doesn't even use tomatoes.
Oh, wait.
Regardless: Maia ain’t gonna win.
Don't believe a word I say, I don't train BJJ.
I blog at TangleBones - you should follow me on Twitter here.
If you like it, you should put a rec on it.
I feel like “I just like great match-ups” was a loaded option in the poll.
just 'cause you pour syrup on shit, don't make it pancakes
It's an "I don't care" answer.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Feb 16, 2010 3:21 PM EST up reply actions
Rankings should be qualitative instead of based on MMA math, but that relies on people to be reasonable and not intellectually lazy when analyzing fighters. Even if so-and-so beat this guy and the other guy beat the first guy, you can still look at each fighter, as a whole, and determine the objective truth about who is the more complete, better fighter, regardless of who got caught by who when.
Any and all kinds of objectivity needs multiple evaluators. BE rankings is a good way to do it – averaging out several credible rankings.
by Monday Morning Martial Artist on Feb 16, 2010 3:12 PM EST up reply actions
complete doesnt mean better.
Shields boxes like a little girl, however he is a trained killer on the ground. Still awesome and top 10 in the world and SF champ. Not complete just the winner. He’s got one pitch ,you know its coming, now can you hit it? If not he is a better fighter that day.
by Raycetpfl on Feb 16, 2010 3:59 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Maia beats Anderson, Maia is #1. To be The Man, you have to beat The Man – and right now, The Spider is The Man.
by Monday Morning Martial Artist on Feb 16, 2010 3:11 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
I don't see the turmoil being referred to here..
Personally, I like having Silva at the top of the mountain. He’s a good fighter, he comes in and does what’s expected of him (majority speaking) and stays out of trouble in his personal life.
What more do people want ? He’s exciting to watch. Many people weren’t following his career prior to his UFC stint, so they think he just came out of nowhere when he got to the UFC. He’s been this good for his entire career. He has 4 losses on his record. (3 official and 1 unofficial). The unofficial loss was a DQ in the Okami fight, that Silva was winning. One of them was a hail-mary flying heel hook in Pride that he got “caught” in.. He’s never been dominated in a fight and almost everyone of his fights has ended before the final bell.
People forget that Silva beat Lee Murray when Murray was considered one of the best strikers in the division. Even though it went to a decision, Silva was never in danger in that entire fight. The biggest part of what makes Silva so good and so dangerous is that his skill matches his size. He’s bigger than most guys in the division and his skill matches every bit of his size.
8-29-09
Keith Jardine is now known as "The Dean of Antihistamine" because he is always sleeping early in fights..
Also just to add to that..
“IF” Maia beats Silva, that makes him have a valid argument for the number one spot. But that is just a temporary setting. Silva doesn’t fall below 2nd in any rankings because his body of work prior, far outweighs a single loss.
Silva will get an immediate rematch unless he was “dominated” for the entire fight, much in the way that Marquardt was by Sonnen. If he loses a decision or gets subbed quickly, then he deserves the right to redeem himself instantly. He’s earned as much.
Personally, I don’t see Maia doing much to Anderson.. Maia is smaller and will get tagged in the first round.. Silva is pretty slick himself at staying out of trouble on the ground. Maia would have to land in a hold otherwise Silva will lock the body triangle (like always) and hold Maia until a reset or stand-up occurs.. Maia is going to have to be willing to exchange on the feet at some point.. This doesn’t favor his odd’s.. lol
8-29-09
Keith Jardine is now known as "The Dean of Antihistamine" because he is always sleeping early in fights..
I think a lot of confusion arises from not distinguishing between what a single fight means, and what a fighters history of fights in comparison to other fighters history means. A single fight does not necessarily mean fighter X is better than Y. It does however, provide promoters with a way in which to organize future fights. It gives a current but temporary ranking. #1 consensus ranking takes time and many fights to incrementally make a case.
For instance, if Maia does beat Silva, even convincingly, that doesn’t make Maia the better fighter period, it means he fought better that night and it gives people a temporary and referential relation between the two, a ranking. If he were to then continue winning, including rematches against silva, that accumulated history of fights would lend evidence to him being the premier fighter over other fighters in the division.
Rankings in MMA are especially fuzzy as we often see with the logic circles that are created (Marquardt > Maia > Sonnen > Marquardt…etc, etc) If Silva were not in the picture, having a #1 consensus fighter is really an impossibility. It would take many more fights with a clear trend to declare consensus rankings.
This same issue is why creating visualized rankings of MMA so difficult, and why a lot of people have problems interpreting the graphics that I think Brent publishes showing a divisions organizational structure.
I am all for the idea of a linear title. If you beat the #1 ranked fighter, you become the #1 ranked fighter, period.
I don’t care if there are very good arguments that many other fighters are more deserving or more skilled. If you beat the best then you are the best until someone else can prove otherwise.
All the other spots should be up for debate but unless they lose or go a very long time without facing meaningful competition I don’t see how a fighter can lose the #1 spot.
I dislike Matt Hughes. Shogun beat him like a dirty horse.
you're taking for granted
that if anderson loses he’ll no longer be considered the #1 mw. granted, that’s based on sound logic, but what if it’s another ryo chonan style desperation submission loss after a dominant performance? i think it’s a sound argument that just because serra managed to beat gsp, he was never really the #1 ww in the world. just because gsp lost so serra doesn’t me he wasn’t the #1 ww in the world.
Man, there is some kinda AWESOME momma joke in there just waiting to come out...
Anybody? Anybody?
Don't believe a word I say, I don't train BJJ.
I blog at TangleBones - you should follow me on Twitter here.
If you like it, you should put a rec on it.
Hendo a top MW?? Give me a break
Hendo is barely a top 10 MW. Since the GP he won, his 185 record is 3-2. He lost his last PRIDE 185 lb fight and never defended either of his belts.
His best 185 win was over #13 BIsping.
That is not a top MW, its a good start for an upcoming MW.
Hendo is ranked on Name (and ignorance) ALONE.
Ranking Rules
There should be some basic rules when considering a guys rank:
1) The highest you can rank is #7 if you haven’t beaten a top 10 in the last year.
2) You can’t be top 5 without beating a top 5.
3) Beating a guy more 5 spots below you doesn’t raise your rank at all.
4) If you’re a top 3, everyone ranked 10 or worse is a Can to you. Period.
5) If you beat a guy, you rank above him, but you don’t automatically take his spot.
6) Split Decisions Wins can only raise you 1 spot. SD losses can only drop you 2-3 at most.
7) Beating a guy more than 5 spots below you, but almost losing, should drop you at least 1 spot.

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