UFC 102 Preview: Marcus Aurelio Makes Return Against Evan Dunham
UFC 102 features an array of heavier weight class bouts from middleweight up to heavyweight, but there will be one lone smaller weight class match-up between lightweights Marcus Aurelio (18-7) and Evan Dunham (8-0). The bout was supposed to be a lower-echelon bout between more inexperienced fighters Evan Dunham and Matt Veach, but Veach reportedly injured himself in training for the upcoming bout. Marcus Aurelio agreed to step in on late notice to take on the undefeated lightweight prospect in Dunham.
Most UFC fans know who Marcus Aurelio is from his previous stint with the promotion from August 2007 to October of 2008. He went 2-3 with notable wins over Ryan Roberts and Luke Caudillo, but dropped disappointing losses to Clay Guida, Tyson Griffin, and Hermes Franca. All of those losses came by way of decision. Hardcore fans will recognize Aurelio's name from his days with PRIDE in which he turned in a 3-3 record with a upset victory over PRIDE champion Takanori Gomi in the Bushido series. Gomi avenged the loss in a controversial split decision preceding Aurelio's move to the UFC, but Aurelio also lost to Mitsuhiro Ishida in a match before the rematch with Gomi. While Aurelio's record isn't perceived as a record of a great fighter, he has taken on some of the best competition in the world at a time when those fighers were considered to be in their prime.
Aurelio trains out of American Top Team in Coconut Creek, Florida. He holds a 3rd degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and attained both the Brazilian Championship and Pan-American Championship twice in BJJ competition. Of his 18 wins, he has 11 wins via submission, and he's never been finished via submission or knockout in any of his seven losses. He'll be a very tough opponent for Dunham to finish, but he isn't immune to be defeated by solid wrestlers with better striking.
Dunham may have the wrestling to actually cause some problems for Aurelio if he's been listening to Xtreme Couture's extensive list of wrestlers. He's currently undefeated at 8-0 with his most recent win coming in his debut, a fight he took on short notice, at UFC 95 against Per Eklund. He's primarily known as a submission fighter with 5 of his 8 wins coming on the ground, but he did manage to finish Eklund via TKO in only 2:14.
The Oregon-native will have a home advantage at UFC 102 as he hails from Eugene, just south down I-5 from Portland. He was born in the area, wrestled as a small boy, and managed to obtain an education from the University of Oregon in Sociology while also taking jiu-jitsu classes. The build-up to a MMA career was always in the background, and he took that chance after college. Eight wins later, he's making his second appearance in the world's premier MMA promotion.
Interestingly enough, Dunham is no slouch on the ground. He does hold a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu under Wellington "Megaton" Dias, and he did manage to defeat 2008 no-gi world champion Cleber Luciano in an MMA fight. Obviously, that speaks volumes about how his jiu-jitsu has worked for his defense. The ultimate question is how well his striking can compete against a decent puncher in Marcus Aurelio.
This bout really comes down to whether or not Dunham can implement a gameplan that many of Aurelio's opponents have managed to use in the past. Dunham has the ground skills to avoid submissions from Aurelio, but the area in which he can truly take this battle will be in the stand-up department coupled with solid takedown defense. Like many of Aurelio's losses, top control, submission avoidance, and a good sprawl can win this fight for the relatively unknown Dunham.
On the ground, Aurelio wins this bout, but I'm definitely not opposed to Dunham defeating Aurelio standing. The major problem here is that Aurelio isn't a terrible striker, but he isn't great either. I can see Aurelio winning this one via decision with some better striking technique, but reaching with jabs and poorly telegraphed punching isn't going to cave Dunham. Aurelio will need to show some improvement in the striking game to be effective. Of course, he may manage to put Dunham on the ground and use some slick transition movement to catch him. It should be a decent lightweight tilt to get the evening started on Saturday.
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Aurelio has a knack for
putting on clinics against 2nd tier competition. Should be a good showcase for him.
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by Kid Nate on Aug 24, 2009 6:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That’s ultimately what I think might happen here. He has some solid transitions, so it should be epic.
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Aug 24, 2009 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There’s nothing particularly WRONG with Dunham, but something about that smirk of his, or maybe his haircut, just makes me want to see Aurelio smash him.
"I'm AJB and I endorse this nut-puncher."
by AJB on Aug 24, 2009 8:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That is my entire take on Escudero.
A man should never waste an opportunity to keep his mouth shut.
by iiowyn on Aug 25, 2009 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It seems to me that your entire basis on outcomes on fights is whether or not the look on his face makes you want to smash him. LOL
Follow me on Twitter @lelandroling
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
by Leland Roling on Aug 25, 2009 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, just with Dunham.
"I'm AJB and I endorse this nut-puncher."
by AJB on Aug 25, 2009 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
kind of a dumb reason to want him to get smashed. Hes actually a really good person, hes on our BJJ team, team megaton. If you actually met him you wouldnt be saying that. For 2 reasons,
1.Hes nice and you wouldnt want him to get smashed
2.He could smash YOU in about 2 seconds.
he definetely has his hands full with aurelio though
by bluejitz on Aug 26, 2009 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marcus Aurelio
…but not if it goes to decision, because I think he is what he is at this stage of his career, and what he is doesn’t encompass great striking.
It ends in an armbar or a strangle regardless.
by capital L on Aug 24, 2009 6:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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