Predicting fight outcomes - the difference between wishes and beliefs.
Something has been bothering me for a while when I see the "who do you think will win" poll on ufc ppv. Take for example UFC 90 main event, Silva vs Cote. Before the fight, the poll said that 36% of voters thought that Cote would win. I'm from Quebec and was rooting for Cote, but come on. Would you really have put your money on a 2:1 for Cote? Even though I wished for Cote's victory, I thought that Silva would win that one. Were those 36% all Cote fans or Silva haters that only wished for a the Predator's victory or did they really believed in it?
For UFC 100, there seems to be many fans that hope for a Mir victory but that think Brock will win and might not know how to vote. Therefore I always take these polls (like any damn poll) with a grain of salt.
I think that the polls should be more precise and ask 2 questions:
1. Who do you want to win?
2. Who do you think will win?
The answers to these questions might not always match.
So if you're into it, let's try this poll with the main event. The outcome might be interesting. I'd like to do this for GSP-Alves and Hendo-Bisping but it seems we can only do one poll per post. If it gets success, we might do it for the other ones as well.