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Affliction: Trilogy Betting Odds:

- Fedor Emelianenko (30-1) -310 vs. Josh Barnett (24-5) +250
- Renato "Babalu" Sobral (32-8) -170 vs. Gegard Mousasi (25-2-1) +140
- Vitor Belfort (18-8) -200 vs. Jorge Santiago (21-7) +160

4 months ago U-faber_tiny Nick Thomas 15 comments 0 recs  | 

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Might as well bet the house on Fedor. A 32.25% ROI ain’t too shabby.

Keep firing Assholes!

Out out, you demons of stupidity!

by Ubernoober on Jun 23, 2009 9:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Fedor is such a terrible matchup for Barnett.

http://www.sackmikegoldberg.com

by Mike Fagan on Jun 23, 2009 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is he a good matchup for somebody?

Due to Cheick Kongo's atrocious takedown defense....
Walla walla walla, I’m an idiot

by ufc4 on Jun 23, 2009 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

No, but I think he’s especially bad for Barnett. A guy like Arlovski or Lesnar have SOME advantages on Fedor.

Barnett’s only plus is that he’ll be bigger. But he’s not nearly as athletic, probably not as strong, not near the grappler/wrestler, can’t really strike for shit. At least in the Arlovski fight I could picture him having success in the standup. I see no such success in any aspect of the game for Barnett.

http://www.sackmikegoldberg.com

by Mike Fagan on Jun 23, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Barnett by decision wouldnt be a huge surpise. I cant see Fedor armbarring barnett or throwing up a triangle or anything from the bottom and Barnett is a big heavy guy. He could spend the entire fight pounding away looking for the Kimura, much like he did against Yvel. Mark Hunt had some success with that technique and his submission game was about as advanced as Kimbos. At some point its likely Fedor ends up on top and late in the fight especially Barnett might not have the answers for the gnp, but do you give Barnett much chance in getting the decision?

by GeeDub on Jun 24, 2009 2:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not really. I think Barnett even getting through five rounds will be a challenge.

http://www.sackmikegoldberg.com

by Mike Fagan on Jun 24, 2009 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure where you got these, but the Mousasi line is backwards. He opened at +160, and he’s already down to +105.

Tons of value on the two main events.

http://www.sackmikegoldberg.com

by Mike Fagan on Jun 23, 2009 10:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Fixed. Thanks.

by Nick Thomas on Jun 23, 2009 10:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thought mousasi at +140 was huuuge value. no surprise to see it moving quick.

and obv Fedor is worth big bet

by Gerrymanderer on Jun 24, 2009 12:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

MMA betting is too damn easy, I swear…. If I could only stay away from Football, Soccer and Baseball i’d have a huge year. Bet the HOUSE on Mousasi and Fedor

by BSurely on Jun 24, 2009 1:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Better get on that Vitor line before it gets all fucked up.

by subo on Jun 23, 2009 11:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Am I reading it right that Babalu is favourite over Mousasi?

by GeeDub on Jun 24, 2009 2:30 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

damn it i only have a bodog account they dont have that mousasi line

by pandaboy99 on Jun 24, 2009 2:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Mousasi is at -115 now.

by Nick Thomas on Jun 24, 2009 9:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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