Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

UFC 98 In-Depth: Dan Miller Looks to Continue Impressive Run

Dan_miller_mediumThe Middleweight division definitely isn't taking center stage at UFC 98 as it only has one bout through the entire 11 fight field, but the matchup between Team Quest fighter Chael Sonnen and submission-savvy Dan Miller could prove to be a showdown with much to be gained and lost.

Sonnen is considered one of the better wrestlers in the Middleweight division with a highly-credentialed background from his college days. He was a two-time University National Champion and was a Junior National runner-up, but also made the U.S. Olympic squad as an alternate. He fits the typical mold of a Team Quest fighter in using his wrestling ability to punish opponents on their back while staying away from the submission game. The only major problem with that type of style for Sonnen is that he isn't overly adept at seeing the submission attempt coming as was evident in his first bout with Paulo Filho and destruction at the hands of Demian Maia.

Miller, on the other hand, is well-versed in the art of jiu-jitsu, and he'll be the aggressor when it comes to trying to catch Sonnen via a slick transition to the submission victory. He's also one of the toughest fighters in the business. He's very hard to finish, has quick recovery, solid boxing, and knows how to work wrestlers on the floor. This should be a great matchup stylistically, but I'm sure Sonnen will once again be fearful of a quick transition catching him. Jake Rosholt, a 3x NCAA champion, was caught completely off guard by Miller.

Sonnen is coming off what was considered to be a #1 contender matchup at the time against Demian Maia, and he was subsequently crushed by Maia's aggressive and dynamic jiu-jitsu game. Another loss would likely put him in the lower half of the division, and it may put him on the verge of being cut from the UFC. In terms of gain for Sonnen in this matchup, he'll still be in a position to take fights that are relevant within the landscape of the division with a win.

Miller's stock has been on the rise. Both Dan and his brother Jim are locks for exciting wars, so my belief is that the UFC won't be too keen on dropping Dan with a loss here. He has much to gain with a win over Sonnen though as he's on the outside looking in when it comes to breaking into the upper half of the mid-echelon talent in the division. If he can win convincingly, he may be ready for a much tougher challenge toward the top.

What's this matchup truly come down to? Sonnen's submission defense IQ has always been a problem. Against Filho in the WEC, he managed to give Filho his arm multiple times, and it was a miracle that Filho didn't snap it off on the first mistake by Sonnen. Maia's gameplan also worked well against Sonnen due to his inability to recognize what danger he was in. Can we truly blame Sonnen there?

Miller's jiu-jitsu is dynamic enough to give Sonnen danger, but he also has a solid boxing background to pick apart Sonnen. It could prove to be the formula for Miller to continue his run toward the top of the division.

The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.

Comment 16 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Good analysis

The Miller boys have become favorites of mine over the last year.

I’m picking Dan to tap Chael in this one. Miller has not had a problem submitting decorated wrestlers in the past (i.e. Rosholt), and although Sonnen is far more experienced that Rosholt, he has shown an inability to defend even basic submissions at various times.

Although Sonnen was able to fend off Filho in their second fight, Miller has far better striking and wrestling than Filho, and will not simply gas and resort to flopping to guard.

by Scott Haber on May 20, 2009 11:12 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, I’m in agreeance there. I jokingly liken Sonnen’s defensive IQ to that of a rodent. He just doesn’t have the smarts to keep his arms away from submissions. He usually escapes those problematic situations with power, but as he ages… he’s losing some of it.

Follow my analysis of all things MMA on BloodyElbow.com

by Leland Roling on May 20, 2009 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

“He usually escapes those problematic situations with… screaming”

by woooburn on May 20, 2009 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

But he didn’t tap. Really. Honest. He was just about to escape. The scream was his battle cry. Or something.

"I'm AJB and I endorse this nut-puncher."

by AJB on May 20, 2009 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like both these guys so I hope this ends in a draw. However, I think Dan is very very likely to get the submission here

by Flyghtt on May 20, 2009 11:26 AM EDT reply actions  

The Miller brothers are couple of my favorite fighters. I figure even if Dan loses a couple in a row, the UFC won’t cut him due to the brothers putting on exciting fights, and their willingness to take fights on short notice, something that is much appreciated by the UFC. Dan by sub, second round here. Sonnen’s gameplan will probably be all about trying to stand first, then take him down when necessary, using cautious GnP. He’ll probably stick to the game plan for the first round, but I see him a) getting away from the plan and getting sloppy or b) getting caught in a sub. Either way, Dan’s submitting him.

I love me some Sexyama!

by pud333 on May 20, 2009 11:47 AM EDT reply actions  

Chael Sonnen never won an NCAA championship. IIRC, he was a 1 or 2 time All American at Oregon, and his best finish was 6th place. Comparing credentials, that would put him slightly behind what Matt Hughes or Gray Maynard accomplished.

by Hardcharger on May 20, 2009 12:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Hmm… some of the bios I’ve seen must be skipping things.

What is University Champion"?

Follow my analysis of all things MMA on BloodyElbow.com

by Leland Roling on May 20, 2009 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Miller Brothers Trainer

Interesting that Jim and Dan both train with Martin Rooney. Frankie Edgar and Ricardo Almeida as well. Any feedback on Rooney’s book, Training For Warriors?

by mma1 on May 20, 2009 12:45 PM EDT reply actions  

I like it – lots of great drills and training activities to do, as well as great stuff on nutrition and diet.

by E. Spencer Kyte on May 20, 2009 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

UPDATE

Yeah, NCAA champion is wrong. Whatever a 2x University National Champion is, Sonnen did it.

Follow my analysis of all things MMA on BloodyElbow.com

by Leland Roling on May 20, 2009 1:28 PM EDT reply actions  

1998: Sonnen finished 8th at 190 lbs

That’s the only AA honors I can find for Sonnen, FWIW

by Hardcharger on May 20, 2009 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, he was 2x University Nationals Champion. I’m thinking this is like a regional championship or something, but I have no idea.

Follow my analysis of all things MMA on BloodyElbow.com

by Leland Roling on May 20, 2009 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

"I don't want to knock my opponent out. I want to hit him, step away and watch him hurt" - Joe Frazier

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Gonzo_fist_small
Random Nick Diaz Shops
My_avy_small
Roger Gracie signs with the UFC
Lebowski_excited_grin_small
The History of Subo: the bans, warnings, and mockings.
Bros
Nick Diaz: Hero to Millions
Favritegotevj9_small
An Open Letter to Nick Diaz

Recent FanPosts

Obp_small
Nick Diaz - The Musical
Small
Pot can be a performance enhancer (serious thread)
Nate-diaz-double-bird_small
How Would Today's Top Kickboxers Do In MMA?
Ri_small
How does the PRIDE compare to present day UFC?
Jerryrice_small
Gratitude: Why no one should still hate the UFC
Shogun_logo_small
UFC’s hope of stadium show in Sao Paulo appears to be dead
Me_small
2012 and Onward: More Free Events, Fewer Pay Per Views Key for UFC Success
Me_2_small
Muay Thai Champion Irshaad Sayed Thinks Win over Jessie Rafols Could Launch his MMA Career

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

MMA Rankings

USA Today / SB Nation Consensus MMA Rankings