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Around SBN: The Gift Of The 2003 Tigers

Quote of the Day: The False Choice of Safety vs. Pleasing the Fans in Mixed Martial Arts

"UFC, of course, would thrive more if all main event fights were exciting, if all fighters went all-out and played aggressively on offense and loosely on defense, taking chances that often would lead to a big KO but sometimes would lead to a preventable loss had they been more conservative.

...

Had Anderson gone balls-out and "put on a show for the fans" - as the fans in the arena, as Joe Rogan and Mike Goldberg addressed (Goldberg was more measured here and had his best outing as an announcer in a while after increasingly shaky performances in recent years), and as commentators and bloggers have called for since - he might have lost. He probably wouldn't have lost, but he might have. His odds of winning by fighting the way he fought was about 99 percent. His odds of winning if he fought the way the critics of the fight wanted, he had a 90 percent chance of winning. He had a lot to lose, so why increase his chance of losing ten-fold?."

-- Wade Keller, arguing what can only be described as the MMA equivalent of how many angels can fit on the head of a pin. Emphasis mine.

Believe me, no one wants to move on from this Anderson Silva debate more than me. The problem I keep running into is that dictrators from the point of view that Silva half-assed it do not appear willing to at least faithfully represent the viewpoint of the other side. And that's all evidenced by this false notion that the choice Silva faced was to coast as he did, safely ensuring victory while nullifying Leites's attacks or to compromise his safety in an aggresive Wanderlei Silva-style push towards the finish.

We keep getting introduced to the idea that in order to pursue the fight Silva had to substantively risk his belt and health. After UFC 90, I gave Silva a pass because while he held back, Cote is possessive of big power and technical striking. Being more reserved in the stand-up had very real value in that bout. Even if Cote lost in the exchanges, Silva would've had to deal with a fresh, competent striker who could land damaging blows even if Cote was ending up far worse off. Carefully planned strikes and avoiding damage had a place.

But that's not what happened at UFC 97. Instead, we had a Thales Leites who remained largely flat-footed, offered literally no jab and either flopped to guard or covered up when struck. On top of that we have a Silva throwing one punch hooks to the body or right hand leads with no follow up (or playful and utterly worthless side step trip attempts). Leites was as close to being helpless - particularly in the championship rounds - as one can get in professional modern MMA. The notion that Silva had to compromise his defense in order to throw two or three unanswered shots at a time instead of one against a defenseless Leites is pure fantasy. In fact, Silva's best round is round three as he was able - at will - to crowd Leites against the fence and land multiple strikes against a Leites who just absorbed the punishment or ran. Those who believe Leites is to blame or mostly to blame have a case, but the notion that in trying to pursue the fight against an opponent who could do nothing to protect himself except cover up and almost zero offensive skills standing that Silva was therefore upping his risk to more than a negligible degree is simply not supported by the evidence (and except for the second round, all takedown attempts were shrugged off as if Leites was a child). The idea that it was either play it safe or truly risk physical safety in this fight is a false choice that did not exist and is being invented solely to support a viewpoint.

So, look, if you believe Leites is mostly to blame, fine. If you believe Silva was well within his rights to do what he did, fine. And if you believe this was a satisfying performance from the champion, fine. We don't need to rehash those arguments. But please stop championing the false choice that Silva was either playing it safe defensively or risking more than a negligible amount by offering more effort. That simply isn't correct, particularly for an adept striker with pinpoint accuracy able to work at the distance of his choosing with the timing of his choosing against an opponent who was flat footed, bewildered and covering up.

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I agree. There’s a big difference between fighting intelligently and not trying.

by Rahson on Apr 23, 2009 10:52 AM EDT reply actions  

"Believe me, no one wants to move on from this Anderson Silva debate more than me."

Followed by 4 paragraphs of text.

You have a perfectly sound and reasonable argument and you make an excellent point. The problem is……… Anderson Silva didn’t want to.

"Stop smiling you are about to be punched in the face !"

by Warhand on Apr 23, 2009 10:59 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I thought in the Cote fight he wanted to extend the fight and manage risk. Stay on the outside and pick Cote apart. With Leites, you are right, the standing threat isn’t at the same level at all. I agree Silva is partly to blame for the lack of fighting, but Leites was activly backing up and rediculously trying to pull guard from the outer edge of Silva’s range. I don’t know how Leites felt about the first two rounds, but I guess he had enough after that. Where is the outrage? Nowhere because Leites can fade away and Silva still has a belt to defend. Maybe Silva has some issues with the UFC position on him boxing, maybe he didn’t want to hurt Leites, maybe he was just collecting a paycheck. None of these excuses are acceptable, but what the hell was Leites doing?

by szucconi on Apr 23, 2009 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

Exactly

The UFC-Joe Silva-Dana should make damn sure that in the future they only select challengers hungry enough to go in there and do everything in their power to take the belt. This was a once in a lifetime chance for Thales and he didn’t leave it in the cage.

But, as the champ, Anderson should have showed us not only that he was capable of nullifying Thales offense, but that he could also finish him in the 25 minutes he was given.

by MMAcGyver on Apr 23, 2009 11:11 AM EDT reply actions  

The logical conclusion is that Anderson Silva had an ulterior motive

Firstly, I have to point out (as I’m sure Luke already knows) that no one can really judge Anderson Silva for his decision making in the Octagon. Even if you were a fellow professional fighter, the fact remains that Silva’s judgment (however poor it might have been) was probably that it really was too risky to try to finish Leites. If that is his judgment, he’s the one in the cage.

Secondly, if we assume that we can, objectively judge that Anderson Silva would NOT be in ‘more danger of losing’ had he tried to finish to fight then the logical extension of this thought is that he had some ulterior motive in mind. This is clear because had he not been at increased risk (of harm or losing) by attempting to finish the fight, then he would have had no incentives for fighting the way he did. The benefits of finishing Leites would not be counter-balanced by any downside of adopting a ‘more risky’ strategy.

Therefore the logical conclusion is that Anderson Silva was trying to send a ‘message’ of some sort. If you (Luke) believe that then maybe you can enlighten us as to what motive this might have been? I guess an alternative scenario would simply be that he couldn’t be assed.

At the end of the day, having never stepped into a professional MMA fight myself, I cannot bring myself to fault the judgment of one of the best fighters on the planet. That was the decision he made given his expertise. Who am I to question him?

As a fan though….yeh the fight totally sucked balls….lol…

by rainmaker6 on Apr 23, 2009 11:12 AM EDT reply actions  

Agreed, I was at the fights, and for all those who complained about wasting money on the pay per view, I spent money for seats, hotel, rental car, gas, and took off of work to drive up to Montrael (7 hours) from Long Island because I wanted to see my favorite fighters (Anderson & Chuck) live for the first time. Obviously, I ended up very disappointed.

The Liddell fight just made me sad but then I figured at least I would see Silva maul Leites. Now, there is no shame in a decision win if it happens because two fighters are very evenly matched and neither can finish the other, but that was obviously not the case here. Every fighter, every time, should be going out there to win (finish) the fight if at all possible and it was very possible here. That doesnt mean throw caution into the wind, but no fighter should be aiming for an easy decision if it is well within their power to end it. Marquardt dominated Leites in their fight (although he lost due to deductions), you cant tell me Silva was that afraid of him, he just wasnt trying, he felt comfortable sitting back and winning a decision when he could have finished it at any time, which isnt right in my opinion.

Most of the blame should go to Leites though. If you aren’t winning the stand up, you must go for a takedown, even if it means you may get knocked out. While Silva felt comfortable coasting to a decision win, Leites felt comfortable doing nothing for five rounds when he knew he was losing the fight. He might as well have never showed up.

Dont know if we will be seeing Silva as the main fight on the card any time soon and Leites should be sent to the prelims for now after that performance. I actually left this fight angry (and embarassed that I had brought my friend to his first live UFC for that), which has never happened before, and I have seen multiple events in Vegas.

P.S. The afterparty thing is pretty much bullsh*t. The fighters didnt show up til about 2AM and the place closed at 3AM. They dont actually come hang out with the people who paid to be there, not even just for a few minutes so you can get some pictures and autographs. You basically pay $50 to watch them drink for an hour on a fenced off portion of the stage. I happend to be one of the lucky few that got some autographs (Dan Henderson, Chuck Liddell, and Anderson Silva) so at least it was semi worth it for me. Also saw Wanderlei as he came out of his afterparty around the block.

by metaldome on Apr 23, 2009 11:34 AM EDT reply actions  

If Leites wanted the belt

he would have tried to take it.

Silva knows that he is becoming Liddell, a fighter that everyone is studying, looking for that one hole. So why should he just start throwing his usual stuff at Leites and give him the opportunities to counter? Silva isn’t stupid and this is a serious sport, not a WWE match.

I think this match proved to all the contenders that they aren’t going to bait Silva into being sloppy. Its a necessary evil.

by judonerd on Apr 23, 2009 11:49 AM EDT reply actions  

Who thought this would be a good main event?

Not even great but who REALLY thought Leites had anything for Silva beyond possibly pulling of a sub if he got a takedown or caught Silva off his back?

I didn’t buy it because to me, it was not worth the money. There are a lot of cards I haven’t bought recently because of similar reasons.

If Dana wants Anderson to “try harder” or whatever he thinks Silva didn’t do, he should either have him fight @ 205(against someone good), have him fight GSP or bring someone in @ MW that can challenge him on his feet.

Instead, he brought in Cote who’s biggest claims to fame were getting L&P’d by Tito and touching Kendall on his suspect chin. Along the way, he lost to Doerksen, Leben and Lutter. He had some solid wins as well but hardly world-class.

Leites won on points against Marquardt but everyone who watched it knows different. Who else did he beat to get a title shot? Pele in ’06, Pete Sell in ’07?

Is it possible that Dana White/Joe Silva’s suspect match-making came back and bit them? Don’t the fans deserve more out of a main event than Silva/Leites irregardless of how the fight ends?

MMA fans need to stop buying cards w/suspect main events and MAKE Dana put contenders in against HIS P4P king. I haven’t seen a legit contender in Silva’s last three fights. Is it any wonder he is not trying?

"It would appear that the strain was more than he could bear".- Doc Holliday

by MyFistYourFace on Apr 23, 2009 12:24 PM EDT reply actions  

I disagree...

I think that the reason that many of us that enjoyed Silva’s performance disagree with your main assertion is that we view it differently.

Silva thrives while counter striking; can he be aggressive and win? Sure. His primary strength, however, lies in waiting for an opponent to make a mistake and then caving in some portion of that person’s head.

Leites offered Silva two choices that night: come to the ground and play or attack me on the feet. Silva obviously chose to ignore the ground, when possible so attacking on the feet was his only option for finishing the fight. The problem was, anytime Silva attacked Leties either ran away and flopped or flopped right there on the spot.

So, what should Silva do, at that point? Fight on the ground or throw potentially risker strikes? When you suggest that Silva wasn’t risking anything by throwing more than one strike at a time, you’re somewhat correct. What you fail to mention is that anytime Silva closed distance with a strike, Leites would immediately fall to the ground. When Silva threw strikes that maintained distance, Leites would remain standing; if he cut the distance between them at all, though, it was back to watching Leites on his back. The only way that Silva could’ve closed the distance in order to strike would’ve been to come in guns blazing without any real setup to his power shots. In my opinion that significantly increases the chances of a fighter getting caught.

In short, the only real way that Silva was going to finish that fight was if he went to the ground or waded in in such a manner that Leites thought that he might catch Silva; frankly, either of those plans would have been just plain stupid. There simply was no high-probability way for him to close the distance and engage on his feet without Leites guard-flopping, which was clearly clearly the challenger’s gameplan.

by swix on Apr 23, 2009 12:31 PM EDT reply actions  

I would have been satisfied if he threw a combination.

One combination. Instead, he through A punch. Or A kick. That’s not conservative fighting: that’s bad fighting. It was a poorly contested bout, on both sides, regardless of what Spider Nuthuggers say.

Although detractors decry (MMA) as a brutal, bloody form of human cockfighting, aficionados know it is a brutal, bloody, totally fucking awesome form of human cockfighting. -The Onion

by The Kittitas Kid on Apr 23, 2009 12:53 PM EDT reply actions  

I agree.

I believe Silva could have put Leites away whenever he wanted, especially in the championship rounds. Good post.

I love me some Sexyama!

by pud333 on Apr 23, 2009 1:03 PM EDT reply actions  

He has all but said he didn’t want to fight Leites because he has tons of respect for his camp. It seems obvious at this point that Silva did not want to embarass Leites anymore than Leites had already embarassed himself. Silva didn’t want to do what many fans wanted him to do and think he should have done. Get the fuck over it!

"Stop smiling you are about to be punched in the face !"

by Warhand on Apr 23, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the simple reason he faught the way he did was because,nether of these two guy deserved a title shot,everyone else before cote did,and i believe anderson was just out to show how little a threat both of them were to him.I believe if he fights Okami next he will destroy him,because he has earned a shot and he was the last man to hold a win over anderson.Also if the win of henderson and bisping gets a shot then i also believe that because they are fully deserving of that shot at the title.Just my thoughts

by RealIrish on Apr 23, 2009 1:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I agree

I also feel that fighters know that Anderson feels out his opponents, so the new strategy is not to do anything AT ALL against him. The problem is that Anderson does not get baited into that, and decides not to do anything also because he and his title are not in any danger. Look at the difference between his fights BEFORE Cote and the fights with Cote and Leites. Cote and Leites do NOT do anything to even try to win the fight!
Honestly, I want to see Anderson’s next fight before jumping to any conclusions about him. Also, I would like to see a challenger actually bring it to him. If Anderson decides to fight like he did against Cote or Leites, then he deserves the criticism. I honestly believe that if Anderson fights a fighter who is actually TRYING TO WIN, then Anderson will show his usual self. He will HAVE TO because he and his title are in danger.

by chrisbboy82 on Apr 24, 2009 1:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

A broken hand....

…. would be significantly more likely if Silva had thrown more punches. He doesn’t have many years left, and I doubt he wants to sit one out (like Forrest) just to satisfy bloodthirsty fans. He did have an obligation to the sport, and he fulfilled that by engaging.

Leites refused to engage, whereas Silva did not. Silva was under no obligation to follow Leites to the ground, and did engage on the feet, and when a takedown was attempted. Leites did not engage on the feet, and rather than continue to work for a takedown simply hoped that, in exchange for offering top position, Silva would be willing to turn the MMA match into a grappling match . Silva declined, as he had every right to do.

Silva fought a very smart fight. He had no reason to risk injury to himself, and he had no reason to create additional opportunities for counter strikes or a takedown.

Violent chess is sometimes more chess than violence.
 

by 34hawk on Apr 23, 2009 2:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Thank you Luke. This is what I keep harping on. It’s not a desire for bloodshed. It’s a desire for exciting fights where two dudes are trying and putting their hearts into it. This is one of the reasons the sport exists in the first place. It’s so intense and it’s the ultimate in winning. No teamates, no ifs and or butts, you either perform and win, or you don’t and lose. The intensity is what brings me to the sport. Of course I love the technical side. I love watching Machida and GSP and Spider, but when there’s no heart in it, it just plain sucks to watch.

It’s that Leites was clearly broken and not able to mount any kind of offense and Silva clearly didn’t take any advantage of it. That’s how I saw it. Of course he had every right to do that. But it sure did suck to watch. I’d rather watch a boring game of basketball, or a football game with all handoffs then that.

The argument that Silva might’ve broken his hand if he threw more punches is absurd. That’s almost like saying he didn’t want to persue the fighter because he might tweak his ankle in the process. I don’t even know where to begin with that unless you’re being sarcastic. In which case good job. you fooled me.

by Dooda on Apr 23, 2009 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why don't you begin with...

.. a google search of “broken hand and UFC”. A broken hand is a very real possibility everytime a fighter throws a punch.

Just off the top of my head I can think of several broken hands starting with Forrest, Fedor, etc….. Leites himself withdrew from UFC 81 with a broken hand. Human hands are not designed for punching, and it is a significant risk.

The simple fact is that if you don’t break your hand when you repeatedly hit someone in the head you are either very lucky, or you don’t hit very hard.

by 34hawk on Apr 24, 2009 11:30 AM EDT reply actions  

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