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UFC 95 Betting Trends and Preliminary Card Lines

Promoted to the front page from the FanPosts by Luke Thomas.

Lines for UFC 95 have just been released by several of the popular online sports books. Betting odds for Diego Sanchez vs. Joe Stevenson have been out for some time with most of the action favoring former welterweight contender Sanchez. His line currently stands at a prohibitive -325 while TUF 2 winner Stevenson is available at the +250 mark.

The following is a compilation of the UFC 95 betting stats for each fighter on the main card, including the opening and current line for each match-up, as well as their last five betting lines. This is another European card so make sure to place your UFC 95 bets around 24 hours before the event to avoid any confusion.

Diego Sanchez (19-2) vs. Joe Stevenson (29-9)



Opening Line: Diego Sanchez -180 vs. Joe Stevenson +150
Current Line: Diego Sanchez -295 (Bodog) vs. Joe Stevenson +281 (Pinnacle)
Trend: Sanchez

Betting History

Diego Sanchez -470 vs. Luigi Fioravanti +450 - (W)
Diego Sanchez -450 vs. David Bielkheden +500 - (W)
Diego Sanchez +125 vs. Jon Fitch -115 - (L)
Diego Sanchez -240 vs Josh Koschek +200 - (L)
Diego Sanchez -450 vs. Joe Riggs +370 - (W)

*A $100 bet on Diego Sanchez in his last five fights would return a (-$135) loss.

Betting History
Joe Stevenson +196 vs. Kenny Florian -200 - (L)
Joe Stevenson -200 vs. Gleison Tibau +220 - (W)
Joe Stevenson +300 vs. B.J. Penn -280 - (L)
Joe Stevenson -275 vs. Kurt Pellegrino +265 - (W)
Joe Stevenson -160 vs. Melvin Guillard +140 - (W)

*A $100 bet on Joe Stevenson in his last 5 fights would return a (-$51) loss.

Star-divide

***

Nate Marquardt (26-8 -2) vs. Wilson Gouveia (12-5)



Opening Line: Nate Marquardt -300 vs. Wilson Gouveia +220
Current Line: Nate Marquardt -261 (5Dimes) vs. Wilson Gouveia +250 (Bodog)
Trend: Neutral

Betting History
Nate Marquardt -145 vs. Martin Kampmann +156 - (W)
Nate Marquardt -206 vs. Thales Leites +200 - (L)
Nate Marquardt -275 vs. Jeremy Horn +271 - (W)
Nate Marquardt +140 vs. Anderson Silva -145 - (L)
Nate Marquardt -230 vs. Dean Lister +190 - (W)

*A $100 bet on Nate Marquardt in his last five fights would return a (-$49) loss.

Betting History
Wilson Gouveia +119 vs. Jason Macdonald -105 - (W)
Wilson Gouveia -350 vs. Ryan Jensen +351 - (W)
Wilson Gouveia -140 vs. Goran Reljic +144 - (L)
Wilson Gouveia -126 vs. Jason Lambert +120 - (W)
Wilson Gouveia -240 vs. Carmelo Marrero +190 - (W)

*A $100 bet on Wilson Gouveia in his last 5 fights would return a $169 profit.

***

Demian Maia (9-0) vs. Chael Sonnen (21-9-1)



Opening Line: Demian Maia -275 vs. Chael Sonnen +220
Current Line: Demian Maia -256 (Pinnacle) vs. Chael Sonnen +236 (Pinnacle Not Available to U.S residents)
Trend: Neutral

Betting History
Demian Maia -220 vs. Nate Quarry +215 - (W)
Demian Maia -240 vs. Jason Macdonald +231 - (W)
Demian Maia -160 vs. Ed Herman +160 - (W)
Demian Maia -170 vs. Ryan Jensen +185 - (W)
Demian Maia N/A vs. Ryan Stout N/A - (W)

*A $100 bet on Demian Maia in his last 4 fights would return a $209 profit.

Betting History
Chael Sonnen +125 vs. Paulo Filho -115 - (W)
Chael Sonnen -301 vs. Bryan Baker +300 - (W)
Chael Sonnen +400 vs. Paulo Filho -350 - (L)
Chael Sonnen N/A vs. Kyacey Uscola N/A - (W)
Chael Sonnen N/A vs. Amar Suloev N/A - (W)

*A $100 bet on Chael Sonnen in his last 3 fights would return a $58 profit.

***

Josh Koshcheck (12-3) vs. Paulo Thiago (7-0)



Opening Line: Josh Koshcheck -450 vs. Paulo Thiago +325
Current Line: Josh Koscheck -450 (Sportsbet) vs. Paulo Thiago +415 (Betcris/Bookmaker)
Trend: Koscheck

Betting History
Josh Koscheck -230 vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida +250 - (W)
Josh Koscheck -104 vs. Thiago Alves +120 - (L)
Josh Koscheck -300 vs. Chris Lytle +305 - (W)
Josh Koscheck -400 vs. Dustin Hazelett +396 - (W)
Josh Koscheck +225 vs. Georges St-Pierre -215 - (L)

*A $100 bet on Josh Koscheck in his last 3 fights would return a (-$99) loss.

Betting History
Paulo Thiago N/A vs. Luiz Dutra Jr. N/A - (W)
Paulo Thiago N/A vs. Ferrid Kheder N/A - (W)
Paulo Thiago N/A vs. Paulo Cavera N/A - (W)
Paulo Thiago N/A vs. Leonardo Pecanha N/A - (W)
Paulo Thiago N/A vs. Fernando Bettaga N/A - (W)

*Thiago makes his UFC debut. Fought in smaller organizations in his last five fights. No lines were listed.

UFC 95 Preliminary Card Odds

Brian Cobb +215 (Bookmaker) vs. Terry Etim -220 (Sportsbook)
Junior dos Santos -260 (Sportsbook) vs. Stefan Struve +240 (5Dimes)
Mike Ciesnolevicz -115 (Bodog) vs. Neil Grove +105 (Bookmaker)
Per Eklund -160 (Sportsbook) vs. Evan Dunham +150 (Betcris/Bookmaker)
Troy Mandaloniz +290 (Bookmaker) vs. Paul Kelly -290 (Sportsbook)

The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.

0 recs  |  Comment 17 comments |

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Comments

Display:

What can people tell me about paul thiago

by pumaman on Feb 18, 2009 11:46 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

He has never been in my kitchen.

If you're not submitting, you're just rolling around with another guy.

by BJJDenver on Feb 18, 2009 12:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs


[Cliff is appearing on Jeopardy]
Alex Trebek: Let’s go to Cliff and get his Final Jeopardy answer. “Who are people who have never been in my kitchen?” I’m sorry, that is wrong.
Cliff: Wait a minute, Alex. I can offer conclusive proof that those three people have never been in my kitchen.

If you're not submitting, you're just rolling around with another guy.

by BJJDenver on Feb 18, 2009 12:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Paulo doesn’t stand much of a chance against an improved Koscheck, I wouldn’t bet on him even if you truly believe he can win, it’s a tough bet to take.

Editor-in-chief of MMA-Analyst.com

by Leland Roling on Feb 18, 2009 1:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

YOU WERE WRRROOOOOOOOOONNNNNGGGGG

by pumaman on Feb 25, 2009 1:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

There isn’t one bet that I would feel comfortable with on this card.

by argyle on Feb 18, 2009 11:59 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Parlay on Bodog

I put 10 down on a Marquart,Maia,Koscheck parlay. Win’s 13.88.

And if you add Kelly Pavlik and Miguel Cotto to the parlay it wins 17.56

Lately the lines have been really tight in the UFC. To make money you either need to

A) Load up on someone closer to an even bet (Rampage over Silva, St. Pierre over Penn, Lesnar over Randy were my last 3 examples)

or
B) Hit some parlays with the prohibitive favorites.

" Tell me something Steve, How does a guy from Puerto Rico loose a ball in the Sun? "

by aaronb on Feb 18, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good luck getting any winnings out of bodog. Google bodog cashout problems

by EazyEismydad on Feb 18, 2009 5:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think I’m liking Stevenson at the current odds…with my fake money, of course.

If you're not submitting, you're just rolling around with another guy.

by BJJDenver on Feb 18, 2009 12:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Where the hell did Sanchez/Joe Daddy open at -180/150? It opened at -275/215 on bookmaker.

by Beer Monster on Feb 18, 2009 1:01 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I would've been on that

owell.

AWmusic - mp3 blog on independent music..

by achengy on Feb 18, 2009 1:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Awesome job.

BloodyElbow.com’s UFC 95: Sanchez vs. Stevenson Betting Game here.

by Nick Thomas on Feb 18, 2009 1:11 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Grove...

is technically awful. But he does hit hard and is a LOT bigger than Ciesnolevicz. He’ll gas if it goes to the second, but I am probably going to make a small play on Grove here. Ciesnolevicz is the better fighter here from a technical standpoint…but I figured Grove would be a bit of a bigger favorite here and his size and power give him a good chance of finishing in the first round.

Contributing Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.

by Brent Brookhouse on Feb 18, 2009 1:50 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

by "technically awful"

I mean his technique. That was not a judgment on him as a fighter overall…then again..maybe it was ;)

Contributing Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.

by Brent Brookhouse on Feb 18, 2009 1:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think that .gif of Grove shot-putting a punch demonstrates your point nicely. Got the knockout, but geeeeez, I’m stunned he didn’t break his own wrist.

"I'm AJB and I endorse this nut-puncher."

by AJB on Feb 18, 2009 2:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...

he’s very dangerous in the first few minutes of the fight…then his tank runs empty and it’s “guy in a bar haymakers” the rest of the way.

Contributing Editor - BloodyElbow.com - SBNation's mixed martial arts headquarters.

by Brent Brookhouse on Feb 18, 2009 8:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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