The Ultimate Fighter Season 10 Finale will also feature a couple of match-ups not related to the show in order to spotlight some of the UFC's other top assets. UFC lightweight veteran Frankie Edgar (10-1, 5-1 UFC) will get a chance to get a little more exposure as he takes on undefeated UFC prospect Matt Veach (11-0, 1-0 UFC) as he is replacing Kurt Pellegrino following an injury. While the bout doesn't look to be a dangerous affair for the seasoned Edgar, Veach's finishing ability and training with Matt Hughes and Robbie Lawler at H.I.T. Squad in Granite City, Illinois should give him the chance to win. After all, Hughes did produce Brian Foster, a huge underdog who demolished Brock Larson at UFC 106. Could we see another huge upset in the making?
Both Veach and Edgar have wrestling pedigrees as a base for their skill-sets. Veach was a NCAA Division I qualifier and JUCO All-American while Edgar was a four-time national qualifier at Clarion University of Pennsylvania. The major difference is that Edgar has a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu under Ricardo Almeida, and he's visibly improved his boxing technique substantially after dismantling Sean Sherk at UFC 98 with speed and quickness in his strikes.
The other major difference that stacks the deck in favor of Edgar is his strength of competition. In only his fourth professional fight, he took on Deividas Taurosevicius. Winning via unanimous decision, he went on to defeat Jim Miller, Tyson Griffin, Mark Bocek, and Spencer Fisher before running into Maynard's wrestling ability. Wins over Hermes Franca and Sean Sherk have put him back into title talk with a couple of more wins.
This is a great month for upsets so far, but I'm going to have to go with Frankie Edgar here. Veach offers some solid submission ability within his wrestling base, but Edgar is too seasoned and smart to get caught. He's also fairly good in his stand-up defense, and his chin has been tested in a few of his past fights as well. Veach's best chance is to take this to a decision and hope he does enough damage to win, and I don't think he can win that type of battle against the speedy in-and-out footwork of Edgar.
Veach is pretty aggressive, and he nearly got knocked out against Matt Grice because of it. Edgar won't miss that opportunity to land, but he may not be able to actually finish Veach. I'll still go out on a limb and pick Edgar by a stoppage in the second round.