UFC 106 Preview: Anthony Johnson Draws Toughest Test of Career in Josh Koscheck
One of the highly-anticipated battles that will take place at UFC 106 will be a welterweight showdown between rising star Anthony "Rumble" Johnson (8-2, 5-2 UFC) and UFC veteran and The Ultimate Fighter Season 1 contestant Josh Koscheck (13-4, 11-4 UFC). The bout will feature the Sanshou striking prowess and wrestling of Johnson versus Koscheck's NCAA Division I wrestling pedigree combined with a newfound powerful striking game, a recipe for fireworks. Johnson enters the contest with three straight victories with his most recent coming only a month ago at UFC 104 against Yoshiyuki Yoshida. Koscheck crushed Frank Trigg in his last outing at UFC 103 in only 1:25 via TKO.
On paper, this is a pretty even match-up with Johnson's striking background and training with Sanshou expert Cung Le as his distinct advantage in the stand-up department. There is, however, a huge disparity in their perceived wrestling ability. Johnson was a national champion in college at Lassen Community College while Koscheck was a four-time NCAA Division I All-American with one NCAA title at Edinboro University. On paper, Koscheck obviously has a huge edge in terms of wrestling talent over his competition.
Unfortunately for Koscheck, MMA has a strange way of making these wide gaps in backgrounds become less of an issue due to the striking aspect of the sport. Johnson's length and strikes could make it a difficult task for Koscheck to explode for takedowns, but if Koscheck can manage to pull down Johnson -- he should be able to win the ground war with his better wrestling skills. If Johnson can tag him with strikes before that happens, Koscheck may be hindered from shooting to avoid that type of damage, which would completely nullify Koscheck's offense.
Johnson does have some physical gifts that will pose problems for Koscheck in a scramble for takedowns however. He cuts down heavily from around 185-195 while walking around well over 200 pounds. At fight time, he'll likely balloon to 180-190, and Koscheck will have to deal with that added wieght and the length of Johnson. After all, Johnson is nearly 4" taller than Koscheck.
Koscheck's heavy-handed striking ability will probably be nullified by Johnson's reach and kicks. He has a lot of power, and it'll be a huge mistake for Koscheck to try to wade through his reach to pummel his chin. It wouldn't surprise me if he tried though, but I think Koscheck's ultimate means to win this fight come in his conditioning and wrestling.
Johnson hasn't always shown the best conditioning, and for a guy who cuts down to 170 from such a high weight -- conditioning will always real its ugly head in the later rounds. If Koscheck can push the pace and put Johnson on his back, look for Koscheck to take this via decision.
Don't ask me why, but Koscheck's recent resurgence has made me a fan of the once-hated menace of Season 1 of The Ultimate Fighter. He seems much more focused on shutting up his competition over talking loads of trash before a fight. While his headhunting has put him in the loss column during his recent run, he still exhibits an aggressive style with that huge chip on his shoulder that he's out to prove everyone wrong about him. I find that to be an intriguing attribute. But this will be by far his toughest fight since Thiago Alves. I'm picking Josh Koscheck as he'll hopefully go back to that wrestling base after realizing he can't wade through Johnson's strikes, but it isn't a pick I'm completely sure about. It should be an exciting fight though.
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I might be too confident in Johnson’s chances.
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by Eugene Schelfaut on Nov 20, 2009 10:19 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
It all depends on how cocky Koscheck is. Will he actually try to strike with Johnson for the entire fight? He’d be an idiot to do so if he can’t catch him with a punch.
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by Leland Roling on Nov 20, 2009 10:26 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, if josh “I don’t watch tape” koscheck shows up, he could have a rough night. he’d be a fool not to take johnson down. any idea how their reach compares?
by woooburn on Nov 20, 2009 10:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, hold on. I can check FM’s reach numbers.
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by Leland Roling on Nov 20, 2009 10:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I can’t access my DB on my remote site for some dumb reason. Working on it.
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by Leland Roling on Nov 20, 2009 2:55 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
after some digging...
koscheck was listed at 5’10" with a 73" reach against trigg
johnson was listed at 6’2" with 78" reach against speer
but those are based on the ufc tale of tape graphics, so i’m not sure how accurate they are
by woooburn on Nov 20, 2009 3:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Johnson’s highest measured was 78" while Koscheck’s highest was 74" I believe.
So, 4" reach advantage.
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by Leland Roling on Nov 20, 2009 3:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks for checkin’. so there isn’t really a good online database of that kinda of info?
by woooburn on Nov 20, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
When’s the last time Kos took someone down?
by bleve_ on Nov 20, 2009 5:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i'm not. this fight ends quicker than jose aldo/brown fight. johnson only -120 too
a.j. wins by knockout. i saw an interview that said koscheck was not concerned about this bout and he has seen a.j train and did not think much of him. locker room material. kos going to see stars. but not the kind he wants.
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by wolfmanshowlforever on Nov 20, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If Johnson can stuff the takedown attempts, I see Kos getting caught and brutally KO’d.
by Koob on Nov 20, 2009 10:30 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The weight cut looks to be taking more of a toll on Johnson recently. Kos is tough enough to grab a leg if he gets rocked. If he can recover and drag it into the 3rd round, I think he’ll have the advantage and take a unanimous decision, or maybe a late TKO stoppage.
by CaptnAmerca on Nov 20, 2009 10:31 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Kos will get KO’d if he goes on a headhunting expedition, but (and I hate to say this) he’ll probably win if he can successfully get Rumble to the ground.
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by Deo Wade on Nov 20, 2009 10:32 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Correction:
AJ is 8-2 overall, 5-2 in the UFC
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by Ubernoober on Nov 20, 2009 10:37 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I’m going to go with Rumble here, but Koscheck has a very good chance of winning this. We will have to see come fight time, but I think that there are expectations of Johnson to ALWAYS have a KO or TKO stoppage usually in spectacular fashion. Of course, that is unrealistic (see comments on Cain Velasquez beating Cheick Kongo), and as a fighter moves higher in competition, then it is that much harder to get a win, no less a KO or TKO.
by chrisbboy82 on Nov 20, 2009 10:42 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Anyone thinking Johnson/Hardy if Johnson wins in spectacularly brutal fashion?
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by Ubernoober on Nov 20, 2009 11:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The were talking as if Hardy has a title shot after his win already.
by Razreshat on Nov 20, 2009 11:02 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, don’t know why they woulda brought GSP in the cage otherwise.
by ufc4 on Nov 20, 2009 11:10 AM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
This just became my most anticipated fight on this card since Karo jumped the shark.
I think I am pulling for Johnson on this simply because this win will really put some momentum behind him getting a title shot in another fight, maybe 2. Kos, however, has a history of wasting gained momentum (he’s the Gabriel Gonzaga of the Welter Weight crowd) and has already lost to GSP to boot.
by Razreshat on Nov 20, 2009 11:01 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The major factor in this match will be the ref! I think Koscheck will be able to take Johnson down repeatably but the big question (in my mind) is whether the ref will keep standing up the fight up after Johnson’s “hug you till the ref stands us back up” strategy is employed.
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by Bandaka on Nov 20, 2009 11:37 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
When is the last time Kos submitted a guy?
If Koscheck can Rumble out and take his back in round 2 or 3 there’s no reason he can’t submit the guy.
by KahilBS_Marshal on Nov 20, 2009 11:47 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The results of this poll are ridiculous!!!
422 Rumble
181 Koscheck
Just WOW. Kos is the favourite in most betting lines isn’t he? Sounds like alot of people think they will make money on this one.
I’m on Kos…
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by Well Read Idiot on Nov 20, 2009 12:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The Super Cuts Poodle Hairdo sways votes considerably
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by Deo Wade on Nov 20, 2009 12:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
ha, maybe they should change the photo to one of him in a hat, and see if it alters the results?
but like WRI said… i am a bit surprised how lopsided it is. especially for a veteran like koscheck. sure he’s been susceptible to getting dropped, but he’s also alot more well-rounded and experienced. guess we’ll see.
by woooburn on Nov 20, 2009 1:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Kos WAS the favorite
The betting public swiftly decided that Rumble should be and the line has moved over to Rumble’s side. He’s at -135 where I finally put money on him.
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by achengy on Nov 20, 2009 2:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
unlucky...
'He built his whole reputation as a waffle house chef. They’ve been serving him up ham and eggs with a side of canned tomatoes' - Don Frye on Fedor Emelianenko
by Well Read Idiot on Nov 23, 2009 12:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Johnson is fighting again in less than a month since his last. Is this the quickest turnaround fight in UFC history??
by MMAInFeRioRiTy on Nov 20, 2009 12:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Nah, back in the old days the turnaround was about 20 minutes.
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by Ubernoober on Nov 20, 2009 12:46 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
Well, yeah, but I meant other than the same-day tournaments.
by MMAInFeRioRiTy on Nov 20, 2009 3:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I gots to admit that I chose Johnson, but I think it’s close, and on paper I think Kos has the better chances. He’s more experienced and has fought the top of the top in competition (including training with the #2 in Fitch, a decision loss to GSP, and a decision loss to Alves). The only real blemish is the knockout to Paulo, but I’m more inclined to believe that was the exception over the rule. Kos is tough as nails and should pull this out, but for whatever reason, I’m going with Johnson.
by Dooda on Nov 20, 2009 12:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Unfortunately for Koscheck, MMA has a strange way of making these wide gaps in backgrounds become less of an issue due to the striking aspect of the sport, but a ground war that becomes a real wrestling match for position will likely be won by the better wrestler. Just ask Danny Castillo as he succumbed to a better wrestler in Shane Roller despite winning the stand-up portion of their WEC 44 bout on Wednesday night.
I find this paragraph poorly written. The first sentence starts about how bad this is for koscheck, but then talks about how he’d win a ground war. The second then gives an example of where the better wrestler won.
/journalism rant
by TLow on Nov 20, 2009 12:59 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Huh?
The first part talks about how wrestling backgrounds can have the experience gaps shortened by STRIKING. The second part talks about how a ground war that is a wrestling match is won by the better wrestler, which is true.
I really don’t see it as confusing, but I suppose I can see it being confusing for others. Changing.
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by Leland Roling on Nov 20, 2009 1:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good evening ladies and gentlemen, and welcome abord the Johnson hype train. I’ll be your conductor today….
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by Robert Downey Sr. on Nov 20, 2009 1:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Conductor? I thought you were a lead farmer.
by bad coffee on Nov 21, 2009 12:56 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Johnson has a clear advantage here
I just tossed something up from a kickboxing perspective, but stil.
Think about it, Koscheck is a sprawl and brawler giving up 5 inches of reach. He has not really shown off his wrestling skills since the GSP fight and has modeled himself after Chuck Liddell. Johnson is a fighter known for keeping distance with a good mix of low and mid kicks (depending on the distance throwing from), while Koscheck has heavy hands.
Koscheck’s best chance is catching Johnson off guard when he throws a kick and flooring him, then not giving him any breathing room. I just don’t see that happening unless Johnson makes a huge tactical mistake.
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by D.W. on Nov 20, 2009 4:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
that’s a good write up. i’m gonna do some more digging on Sanshou, seems like a really interesting discipline.
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by Robert Downey Sr. on Nov 20, 2009 6:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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![Josh Koscheck is not a Tito fan.
HT: twitter.com/JoshKoscheck
UFC 113: Machida vs. Shogun 2 coverage [vs. Paul Daley]](http://cdn2.sbnation.com/fan_shot_images/96823/jq1b4o_small.jpg)


![John Howard (13-4, 3-0 UFC) vs Anthony Johnson (8-3) This March:
After a lot of smack talk and some genuine bad blood between both guys, it looks like the two will finally meet in the octagon.
John Howard on Twitter: "Me and Anthony crumble Johnson will be fighting. Time to shut him up. See u soon crumble. ur ass is mine Here comes the Doom!"
He also says the fight will happen this March. They have two cards planned on that month, the UFC card on Versus, and UFC 111 on New Jersey about a week later.
[UPDATE]: MMA Junkie reports that the bout will take place on the main card of UFN 21 on Versus
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