Jason Day's Fight Forecasting Skills Need Work

by Luke Thomas on Jan 9, 2009 11:48 AM EST in News Comment 13 comments

Day_jason_zuffa_400_medium I have tons of respect for Jason Day, but as Rich Franklin has pointed out there isn't necessarily a connection between being an accomplished professional MMA fighter and having the ability to accurately predict fight outcomes. Day does some moonlighting as a writer for Fightlinker and some of the results are head-scratch worthy:

Middleweight: Jeremy Horn vs. Rousimar Palhares
A fight for all the MMA technicians. I’m predicting an interesting fight that quickly turns into a technical ground battle. I might get a lot of heat for this pick but I’m going to pull for Horn via triangle.

Yes, it's MMA and anything can happen, but you have to have a seriously brass pair to make this specific prediction. My personal hunch is that Horn has moved on in his life from focusing his energy on being a seriously committed professional fighter to other endeavors and the results of that shift have shown in his 4 losses in his last 6 fights, 3 of which ended in submission and the other in a KO. So perhaps a little of the aforementioned "heat" is deserved.

But on behalf of everyone at Bloody Elbow, good luck against Kendall Grove at UFC 96.

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You should go head-to-head with him on the BE betting game for 93.

Did you know we are in high demand, Laura?

by Eugene Schelfaut on Jan 9, 2009 11:54 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

If Horn wins which is a huge If......

It’ll be via a sprawl and brawl ala Dan Henderson but I dont see him having the take down Defence or the power to make it work…….

YAMATO DAMASHII

by R.T. on Jan 9, 2009 11:58 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

No way...

No god damn way…

Sprawl and brawl from Horn? What’s he going to do? KO Palhares? No way.

I’ve seen Palhares fight probably more than most fans, and I can safely say that he should pummel Horn in all facets of the fight. He doesn’t have fantastic striking, and I’d liken Palhares to a smaller, but still very strong Paulo Filho without the added strain of being unable to cut weight.

He has fantastic submissions and the added power much like Paulo makes him a power submission guy in which you can’t escape once he gets the clamps.

The only way Horn wins this is via an attrition war in which he somehow prevails. He has a shot, much like anyone would say for any matchup, but Palhares should have a huge edge.

Editor-in-chief of MMA-Analyst.com

by Leland Roling on Jan 9, 2009 12:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Hear me out.....

If horn goes to the ground with Palhares its over, the only way Horn wins a war of attrition is if he can keep it standing. Horns a semi- decent boxer Palhares is not and his stumpy build will give gumby the only chance he’s got. I have only seen the Henderson/Palhares fight mind you but Palhares’s stand up looked pretty basic IMO.

YAMATO DAMASHII

by R.T. on Jan 10, 2009 12:24 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I also saw the Salavary fight

YAMATO DAMASHII

by R.T. on Jan 10, 2009 12:27 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I won’t totally count Jeremy out since he has pretty much fought all the who’s who of mma.

"My job is a decision-making job, and as a result, I make a lot of decisions." --George W. Bush, The Decider, Lancaster, Pa., Oct. 3, 2007

by lovingmma25 on Jan 9, 2009 12:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I definitely wouldn’t count out Horn either, but his best days are clearly behind him. Palhares is gonna win by some crazy ankle lock/heel hook. He’s gonna take Horn’s foot home with him.

by pud333 on Jan 9, 2009 12:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I’m officially counting out Horn.

by Blackout612 on Jan 9, 2009 12:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Ha!

by Luke Thomas on Jan 9, 2009 12:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

If Horn even tries to throw up a triangle, Palhares is going to grab a leg and heel-hook “Gumby” into retirement.

by Scott Haber on Jan 9, 2009 12:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I thought MArquardt was literally going to pull Horn’s head off when he Guilitined him a few cards ago…

by lbk on Jan 9, 2009 12:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Jeremy Horn is gonna be a cautionary tale for years to come. Remember when Joe Rogan used to talk about how Jeremy was so committed to the sport he was fighting for free all over the midwest? And now look at him. He’s a beaten up man with delusions of his future (he’s previously said he wants to fight till he’s 45) and no terribly large sum of money to his name. Oh, sure, he can coach, but that’s not necessarily a slam dunk retirement grabber.

Palahares in round 1, Horn ends up outside the UFC for the rest of his career. Could be a fairly long run of getting beaten up by prospects at club level MMA shows that we see ahead.

by D.Capitated on Jan 9, 2009 1:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I became a huge fan of Horn from personally watching many of his aforementioned midwest fights back in the day (I remember thinking he was the meanest fucker ever when he RNC’d Greg Wikan in Minneapolis back in like 01). I admired his road warrior mentality, his desire to fight as often as possible and that he is a very personable guy. Not many fighters can say they’ve done what he’s done. But I had also hoped that when he started slowing down, he’d know when to fold. Toquinho is going to maul him.

by Blackout612 on Jan 9, 2009 4:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs