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The $100 Experiment: UFC 87

UFC 87 is coming up in a few days, so here are my picks:

Florian vs. Huerta, $4 on Florian @ -140.  I think Florian at -140 is an incredible deal.  I think Florian's game is much better than Huerta's and I think it'll show during this fight.

Cummo vs. McCrory, $1 on McCrory @ +110.  This was sort of a joke bet, thus the reason I only put $1 down.  But... according to UFC.com, Luke Cummo is fasting??  Has he done this before??  I knew he was out of his mind, but this is a step beyond.

Parlay on St. Pierre, Wilson, $2 to win $1.37.  I'm fairly confident that both of the fighters will win their individual fights, so this parlay is pretty low risk with a decent payout.

The most noteworthy bout here is Florian vs. Huerta.  I'm a little bit surprised that the line on Florian/Huerta is so close.  I would've expected it to swing much more in Florian's favor, and this is what I see as another great example of how sportsbook lines can be pretty inefficient (but of course we won't know until the outcome of the fight is decided).  Does anyone remember what the line on Guida vs. Huerta was?

Let me know what you think of my picks, and feel free to share your own as well.

The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.

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According to Desert Dog, the odds for Guida/Huerta were Clay Guida (-115) vs. Roger Huerta (-115) around fight time.

by idefinecagefighter on Aug 6, 2008 9:41 PM EDT reply actions  

I got a 5er on Florian at -145. I agree with your assessment, I can’t see anywhere that Huerta has the advantage.
I also put 6 bucks on Maia at -240. MacDonald’s only strength is his BJJ, and Maia is a world champ there.
As for Cummo…yea, he has fasted before. He eats dirts and twigs and drinks his own urine. He’s a strange, strange man.

by Tim Burke on Aug 6, 2008 10:59 PM EDT reply actions  

I would’ve put more on McCrory. He is really agressive and knows how to use his reach advantage. It’ll probably be a first round win for him

by smoogy on Aug 7, 2008 1:34 AM EDT reply actions  

I just put down 3 bucks on McCrory, cuz Cummo came in at 167. I never trust a guy that underweight. And I put 3 on Brock, just for fun.

by Tim Burke on Aug 8, 2008 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

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