Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Phil Mickelson Outshines Tiger Woods

Randy Couture and Fedor Emelianenko Overestimate Their Worth

Randy Couture went on the Adam Carolla show and claimed that he and Fedor would each take home $6 to $10 million for their long awaited bout. Pramit Mohapatra breaks down the numbers on Randy's "projections" for his payday should a fight with Fedor take place:

Let's take a rough look at Couture's statements and see if he's being realistic. First, here are my assumpions: let's assume that the Randy-Fedor PPV sells for $50, that the PPV broadcaster takes 50% of the PPV cut, and that the event sells out a 15,000-seat arena.

At $50 a pop, 700,000 PPV buys gives us $35 million in PPV revenue. Give the PPV broadcaster half and the promotion ends up with $17.5 million.

Now, UFC 87 (with an announced attendance in the neighborhood of 15,000) made a reported live gate of $2.2 million. Let's be generous and say that Randy-Fedor garners a live gate of $3 million.

That gives the promotion a revenue of $20.5 million. Remember, this is revenue and not profit. In other words, we haven't considered the cost of producing the event, marketing costs, the cost of renting the arena, and -- as we've learned this week -- taxes. We also haven't considered the pay for undercard fighters. Or, the cut the promotion itself will take off the top.

Even without all of these costs factored in, Couture's estimate of a $12-20 million total payout for both him and Fedor seems very unrealistic.

HT Fightlinker

Comment 50 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Mohapatra’s analysis ignores several other revenue streams such as rights to territories outside of North America, including Asia and Europe, merchandise sales, DVD sales, rebroadcast rights, a major sponsor (like Harley Davidson sponsors the UFC), etc. Randy may have also been including individual sponsorship deals that each fighter might get a bonus from for appearing in such a high profile fight.

That being said, $6-10 million for each of them does seem unrealistic. But then again, it serves Randy’s purposes to inflate the number.

by Pantherhare on Aug 14, 2008 10:57 AM EDT reply actions  

It also ignores all the other expenses that the organization would take on (advertising, arena costs, production, etc)

It’s not 100% but you could say that they come close to equaling each other out.

by Phildo on Aug 14, 2008 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

If thats the case

…then how the hell do they pay guys like Floyd Mayweather, Oscar de la Hoya, and countless other boxers MEGA Millions of dollars, when boxing has the same obstacles and costs associated with it?

by nitro on Aug 14, 2008 11:08 AM EDT reply actions  

Boxing PPVs cost more

and I don’t think there’s quite the spread of money on the card. Boxing cards are front loaded, so there aren’t that many stars on it. I think because MMA emphasizes the depth of their card, there’s more names to pay. That’s my hunch, anyway.

by Luke Thomas on Aug 14, 2008 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

True

but the penetration number is down. Meaning while boxing PPVs may have a higher retail, they certainly do not get as many buys. Especially in the last few years, with the exception of 1 or 2 PPVs. Also the UFC doesn’t spend much on undercard fighters either. If you go back and look at the UFC PPV payouts, i think you would wind that the total undercard payroll in all cases is under 1 million dollars. Which is reasonable.

by nitro on Aug 14, 2008 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Boxing cards cost either 44.95 or 49.95 for major events. That’s only been exceeded twice, both for Oscar De La Hoya bouts. As for an undercard for Fedor/Couture, uh, there’s no chance they’d run anything other than a front loaded card. Only Couture/Fedor would realistically sell.

Also not added into the revenue for the fighters or event is advertising.

by D.Capitated on Aug 14, 2008 1:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Promotion

Most of these promotions don’t cover all costs of production and therefore can pay more. When you see a major boxing fight, there are usually multiple promotions working together and those are the letters you see associated with the title belts. Most of the time it’s being broadcast by someone like HBO, Showtime, or ESPN. On top of that, many top boxers have a financial investment in the actual promotion of the fight (i.e. De La Hoya’s Golden Boy Productions).

by dropkick101 on Aug 14, 2008 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sanctioning bodies in boxing aren’t promoters in boxing. C’mon, that’s a basic tenet of the fashion in which the sport does business.

by D.Capitated on Aug 14, 2008 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

licensing

Boxing is more popular world wide hence they make money licensing the shows overseas as well.

That’s what lorenzo left a 100m dollar per year job to get done at zuffa.

by mmalogic on Aug 14, 2008 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

You just can't compare MMA $$$ to Boxing $$$

This question comes up all the time you can’t even compare the 2 combat sports pay rolls when it comes to revenue and fighters make.The Hatton Mayweather fight took in 900,000 domestic pay-per-view buys at $55 a pop I think it was and on top of that another $47 million in television revenue and thats only counting the U.S and not counting the rest of thw world like the UK where Hatton is from.Big boxing fights have sponsors that MMA could only dream of right now and this is only of countless examples of why Boxers get paid like they do and MM fighters don’t. Jesus people Give it time MMA is a relatively new sport Boxing has been ingraved into the American public sence well before the turn of the century.

by Shocbomb on Aug 14, 2008 8:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Couture isn't smart enough for numbers

We seen that when Randy decided to say ’it’s not about the money but here’s the numbers I’m pissed at.’ This new statement shows just how unrealistic Randy is being. No MMA company in the world can afford to give them that, even the mighty UFC. Now we find out why Randy is protecting his record so much. If he lost to Big Nog, Arlovski, Werdum or whoever else Randy would have lost to, he couldn’t hold out for these ranson demands. Course now I hope Affliction signs the fight, sure one way trip to Brokesville.

by Tommy7 on Aug 14, 2008 11:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Little too much wishful thinking..

I think there is eventually big money in MMA on a per fight basis.. but the sport is still a baby.. 2-3 million seems more realistic right now.

Rob Dib
http://www.break-your-face.com

by Rob Dib on Aug 14, 2008 11:17 AM EDT reply actions  

This is what is wrong with these fighters.....

Randy and Tito have absolutely NO IDEA about how to run an MMA promotion. They have no idea how much money is coming in and going out and that is why they should not be walking around screaming at the top of their lungs to anyone that will listen that they aren’t paid enough. Now its not all their fault, the UFC will not open their books to anyone and I know this. But to cause all of this trouble with an uneducated opinion is just downright irresponsible. I lose more and more respect for this guy every day this hold out goes on. I know everyone has their issues with Dana White, and most of them are valid, but the guy is smart and knows how to run this thing. And I actually feel sorry for him at times like these, when you are trying to explain to fighters and managers what is realistic and they will have none of it. I am a Fedor fan and I could care less about this fight anymore.
On a seperate front, it is laughable that the other culprit in this little fighter dust-up, Tito Ortiz, is quickly finding out that the money he was getting from Zuffa is more than he will get anywhere else. I predict he will be back in the Octagon by January of 2009. If Tom Attencio back-peddled any faster on his Sherdog interview this morning when asked about Ortiz he would have ran right off the screen. Randy and Tito are just looking more and more silly as these two soap operas play out.

by Nick Travaglini on Aug 14, 2008 11:18 AM EDT reply actions  

One more thing that has not been included:
Vadim has made it clear that any fight with Fedor will be a co-promotion with M-1. So M-1 will also get a share of the money.

Fedor/M-1’s total take on the Affliction show, including their control over all international use of the footage, will end up being millions.

Pan, that is why none of that can be included. Vadim will likely insist on control over the international markets.

by Lynchman on Aug 14, 2008 11:28 AM EDT reply actions  

Shut up and fight

These guys need to realize that this fight is not going to draw this interest forever. If Brock Lesnar destroys Kongo, chances are he’ll get a title shot. If he were to win the belt, there would be a heavyweight in MMA able to outdraw both Fedor and Couture. Look at the possibilities of other up and comers like Antonio Silva, Cain Velasquez, or Kimbo Slice. If any of those guys can string together a few big wins they have crossover potential. Let us also not forget a possible jump to heavyweight for Chuck or the potential return to previous glory for the much loved Cro Cop. While most of those scenarios won’t play out perfectly, there’s a good chance of at least one of these options panning out over the course of the next year (I’m betting on Lesnar). This means that the longer these two guys wait to do this fight the less marketable it becomes meaning the less money they can get for it. You want to sell an item while the market is still hot for it; not hold back production until something better comes along.

Fedor and Couture need to understand the best place for this to happen is the UFC. For the fans, for the sport, for the company, and for themselves; there is no other promotion capable of putting this fight on right now. Fedor needs to suck it up and realize that if he wants to leave a legacy and actually make some cash he needs to get a three or four fight exclusive deal with the UFC. If unsuccessful he can be back on the open market in a years time. Randy needs to take a class in contract law and understand that while his value has increased since the time he signed the contract, he still signed a contract and that is binding. He’s lucky enough to have an employer that would literally be willing to work out a new contract that pays him more in the midst of a lower paying contract.

Suck it up boys. The time is now and the UFC isn’t at fault here; they’re protecting theire investment. You might think your trying to protect your own investment but in reality you’ll wind up making less money for yourselves if you find a way to do this anywhere else.

by dropkick101 on Aug 14, 2008 11:28 AM EDT reply actions  

Your last paragraph.....

sums all this up quite nicely. I agree whole-heartedly.

by Nick Travaglini on Aug 14, 2008 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

quick question: Did Fedor demand these numbers as well? Being the title for the article is ‘Randy and Fedor overestimate their worth.’ I just don’t see Fedor making a comment asinine as that.

by Tommy7 on Aug 14, 2008 11:38 AM EDT reply actions  

$6 - $10 million each?

Thanks for the good laugh, Randy. I needed that this morning.

by pud333 on Aug 14, 2008 11:50 AM EDT reply actions  

There’s a little birdie whispering in his ears… like Tito’s little birdie. The little birdies don’t understand the MMA game, but their man are pussy whipped.

by cyph on Aug 14, 2008 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought Randy knew the business. His demands are way out there – it makes me think that he really doesn’t want to fight Fedor now, but has to make it seem like it won’t happen b/c of the UFC.

If Affliction did pay them each that figure the company would go under – could he live with something like that?

by lovingmma25 on Aug 14, 2008 12:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Wasn’t Randy basing his statement off of a ridiculous estimate that the ppv would sell over a million, something like 1.3 mil?? Then the pay wouldn’t be quite so outrageous, but that is a freakin’ fantasy.

No UFC ppv has even gotten close to a million buys, I think the average would be somewhere around 500-550k. I certainly could see 700k with compelling undercard fights, but no way do another 700-800 people that don’t already order the ppvs, suddenly order this.

This is a lot of speculation about a fight that most likely will never happen.

"The bigger the cushion, the sweeter the pushin'"

by BJJDenver on Aug 14, 2008 12:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually

Bro you’re wrong. Tito v Chuck on UFC 66 did over a million buys.

by filipinomix2oo0 on Aug 14, 2008 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep, my bad.

"The bigger the cushion, the sweeter the pushin'"

by BJJDenver on Aug 14, 2008 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Do explain

the respect of 6-10 million?

by lovingmma25 on Aug 14, 2008 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think he is referring to the way these guys always say they are not respected or are fighting for reasons far more important than money, then it always turns out to be about money!

"The bigger the cushion, the sweeter the pushin'"

by BJJDenver on Aug 14, 2008 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly

Why doesn’t Randy respect the fans, the sport, and the UFC and honor his contract. Maybe since he left the Army he forgot what respect is all about.

by lovingmma25 on Aug 14, 2008 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

lolol. Nice!!

"The bigger the cushion, the sweeter the pushin'"

by BJJDenver on Aug 14, 2008 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

BJJDenver,

Randy said he thought it would do 700k buys.

by Lynchman on Aug 14, 2008 12:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Maybe right after Randy’s fight with Gonzaga – but at this point who really cares?

by lovingmma25 on Aug 14, 2008 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

ahh, ok, thanks. I was thinking I saw somewhere that he was speculating about over 1 mil buys, but it must have been someone else.

"The bigger the cushion, the sweeter the pushin'"

by BJJDenver on Aug 14, 2008 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s how I meant it. Randy said, ’It’s not about the money it’s about the respect, but um, I want 6-10 million for my next fight.’ (he does have court bills to pay)

by Tommy7 on Aug 14, 2008 12:14 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m not exactly sure what Randy will accomplish by floating the $6-10 million figure. I would understand him coming out with a figure that’s too high, but to be completely out of the ballpark (actually probably in the adjacent state to said ballpark) makes him look out of touch with reality. That kind of money is just not there. This sort of talk leads me to believe the UFC won’t approach this seriously. The UFC has done well without Randy fighting. There’s no real reason for them to venture outside their normal business practices to accommodate Randy and/or Fedor.

by Cannon Jacques on Aug 14, 2008 12:26 PM EDT reply actions  

I really thought he was just saying hypothetically what he thinks they should get, not what he’d accept. The figure makes no sense because it would take up all the profit by the time all the promoting costs were taken into account. People don’t realize that unlike boxing, the UFC pays for the fight and promotion side, and also has a full office of employees to pay salaries to.

by Michael Rome on Aug 14, 2008 12:38 PM EDT reply actions  

lesnar vs Kimbo would sell more

Lesnar vs Kimbo would sell more than coutoure vs fedor.

UFC has a better chance of getting kimbo than fedor on their terms…

by mmalogic on Aug 14, 2008 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

You’re probably right too.

by lovingmma25 on Aug 14, 2008 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Man, that fight would be an absolute beating…

by Richard Wade on Aug 14, 2008 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Since no one seems to understand how boxing works...

Fighters fight for a promoter and, on occasion, a network. Generally the network would be HBO, particularly for major fights. Anyhow, HBO has as much control as a fighter’s promoter, can approve or pick opponents and what not. For instance, they have the contract for Wladimir Klitschko. Given that, let’s say they decide that once he’s done with his mandatories, he has to fight either the WBA or WBC title holders in the heavyweight division, and that they will televise it via PPV. Wladimir’s promoters (in this case, himself through K2 Productions) sit down with Don King and Universum and have to hash out a contract, date, location, etc to fight.

Once all that is done, K2 Productions, Don King, Universum, or whoever has to work with HBO to develop an undercard (typically a young prospect in a 6 round fight, an eliminator, another title fight of lesser value) for the PPV, fighters are signed and its put together. HBO produces and televises the show for worldwide consumption, offering up rights to other station (ie Sky or Star Sports) for international coverage in return for money that they make an a small percentage of the purse. The fighters decide what they’ll be paid either straight from a purse or from a combination of purse and options from buys. Good example of that is John Ruiz/Roy Jones Jr. where Ruiz only made money on each buy exceeding 300,000 and had no guaranteed money.

Selling tickets is entirely up to the promoters of the fight (K2/whoever) and they make all the money on that, as well as creating sponsorships for the bout. The title belts are owned by the various sanctioning bodies, and they are paid a sum of money generally around the mid 5 figures each to sanction fights, provide officials, etc. Most fighters and promoters like to be associated with HBO because they have huge subscriber reach, pay shitloads of money, and get the best rate for PPV events around.

The downside for fans is that, theoretically, you get less megacards this way. Then again, its not as if there’s a whole lot of megacards in MMA anymore. Its just that people do a really good job in MMA of selling fights between fringe contenders as being more than they really are.

by D.Capitated on Aug 14, 2008 1:41 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m curious what makes people so confident that their knowledge of the business of mma exceeds that of successful men who have been involved for a decade.

by Simco on Aug 14, 2008 2:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Who says they’d be less successful? The idea is that Fedor and Randy get paid, not Lorenzo and Dana.

by D.Capitated on Aug 14, 2008 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

The fight should benefit Lorenzo and Dana since they are the ones that have to promote the fight, market the fight and set up the whole production.

by lovingmma25 on Aug 14, 2008 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly. Why do people expect those who take on financial risk to forgo financial reward?

by Richard Wade on Aug 14, 2008 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

lol, except they aren’t fighting. I’m sure Bob Arum wishes he could take as big a cut of the revenue as Dana does.

by D.Capitated on Aug 15, 2008 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Without financial backing, nobody would be fighting.

by Richard Wade on Aug 15, 2008 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well..

..what are we all doing here then?

Nobody is sending their resume to Zuffa. Just having a civilized conversation..

by Blackout612 on Aug 14, 2008 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

We’re discussing, which is completely fine. But when people sit on their couches spewing insults to men who sport years more experience than them it doesn’t leave a good taste in my mouth. Giving opinions is appreciated, it’s why we’re here. But when someone crosses the line to posture that they know more about the business of mma than the men who have been in it my ignorance meter maxes out.

by Simco on Aug 14, 2008 8:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

I still can’t believe a guy with a 16-8 record wants to be paid as much as the best in the world in any sport, much less mma. He wants quadriple what has ever been paid in the sport. How many people tune into a fight just to watch Randy grind out a decision? If this fight takes place anywhere but the UFC, it wont break 150k buys. The UFC should just tell Randy to get f*cked. At best he has one or two fights left, he’s far from a long term investment. When Randy was in his prime he went 16-8, I doubt it’s getting better from here. Especially if he fought guys like Fedor, Big Nog, Arlovski or any other top HW fighter. Hell I think Liddell would give Fedor a better fight then Randy. Don’t hear him crying and refusing to fight anyone but.

by Tommy7 on Aug 14, 2008 6:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

"I don't want to knock my opponent out. I want to hit him, step away and watch him hurt" - Joe Frazier

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Predicting A Collegiate Wrestler’s Development
Shogun_logo_small
UFC’s Hopes For A Stadium Show In Sao Paulo Appear To Be Dead
Small
The Downfall of Diego Sanchez
Small
The time is right for a superfight, and it doesn't involve Anderson
391807_10150399618817701_750257700_8470850_1424416169_n_small
1 in about 7 billion!  :D

Recent FanPosts

Skittles_small
Off topic- watch me sing!
26759_511613730864_104300343_30384429_7437048_n_small
UFC Undisputed 3: BE Fight Camp?
Small
Yuki Kondo
Img_0019_small
Training Progress
Small
Muay Thai camps in Thailand
Blav_small
OT: Help out my short film
Badr_hari3_small
War Machine explains what happenned and asks for support

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

MMA Rankings

USA Today / SB Nation Consensus MMA Rankings