BloodyElbow.com Staff Predictions for "UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin"
For now, I've written just basic analysis. For the full breakdown, check out "MMA Nation" this Saturday on 106.7 WJFK from 4 p.m. to 6 p.m.
MAIN CARD:
Quinton Jackson vs. Forrest
Luke Thomas: The most important part of this fight will take place on the feet, whether that be in close or at range. Either way, Rampage has enough defensive skills, power, toughness and technical acumen (particularly from the outside) to make this a bad match-up for Forrest. Rampage by TKO, round 3.
Kid Nate: Rampage should be able to take Forrest down and administer a beating ala Tito in the first round of Ortiz/Griffin but Rampage won't fade after the first.
Brent Brookhouse: As much as I'd love to pick Forrest I just can't see any aspect of the fight game where he is better. I don't think a
Mike Rome: I think this is Quinton's fight all day long. Better boxing, better wrestling, better in the clinch, and he is just on another level from Forrest. I do not believe Quinton will gas, he was in great conditioning after 5 brutal rounds with
Nick Thomas: Hate betting against Forrest considering the win he pulled off against Shogun. But
Patrick Cote vs. Ricardo Almeida
Luke Thomas: Terribly difficult fight to forecast largely because it’s unknown whether
Kid Nate: I realize
Brent Brookhouse: I'm not sure how "back" Almeida really is.
Mike Rome: I'm going to buck the trend and pick
Nick Thomas:
Joe Stevenson vs Gleison Tibau
Luke Thomas: Everyone is taking the massive Tibau lightly. Tibau by decision.
Kid Nate: People are sleeping on Gleison, the guy's huge for 155 and he gave Tyson Griffin a very tough time. Stevenson will have to dominate three rounds because he won't get the submission against Tibau. I think it could go a lot like Stevenson's loss to Neer. Tibau by decision.
Brent Brookhouse: Stevenson is going to be motivated and mean. I don't want to sound like I'm underselling Tibau right now. But I see a vicious win for Stevenson. Stevenson by TKO round 1.
Mike Rome: This is Stevenson's come back match and a fight that I believe will go into the later rounds. Tibau will be able to get the takedowns but that's where it's going to end. Stevenson by submission.
Nick Thomas: Stevenson via submission, round 2.
Josh Koscheck vs Chris Lytle
Luke Thomas: I wouldn’t be shocked to see Lytle put hands on Koscheck or sub him after landing a devastating strike. But I don’t think it’s probable. Koscheck by decision.
Kid Nate: Lytle mania is getting a tiny bit out of hand when people are picking him to KO Koscheck. I just don't see it. Koscheck will ride out a decision.
Brent Brookhouse: As much as I really, really want Lytle to win this I think that Koscheck's explosiveness is going to be the difference here. As long as he isn't a dope who decides to "prove his striking" and sticks to takedowns and GnP we'll see Koscheck by decision.
Mike Rome: I am picking Lytle here. He has looked great of late, and if Josh decides to keep trying to be exciting, he will provide plenty of it in the form of getting himself knocked out. If he's smart he can ride a decision, but I don't think he's that kind of fighter anymore. Either way, I expect this to be good. Lytle via KO, round 2.
Nick Thomas: Lytle has never been submitted or knocked out. So Koscheck is going to have to ride out the decision here. And that's just what he'll do. Koscheck by decision.
Tyson Griffin vs Marcus Aurelio
Luke Thomas: I don’t understand the love affair with Aurelio here. He doesn’t do well against wrestlers with good submission defense, which is precisely what
Kid Nate: I don't expect a fun fight here. I still remember Aurelio's snoozefest against Guida. The guy is good but he's outmanned here, without KO power, Aurelio will be forced to fight for the takedowns and he won't get them.
Brent Brookhouse: I like Marcus here in the fight of the night.
Mike Rome: Very interesting fight here. I think
Nick Thomas: Great fight here. Both tough cats. But I'm going with

UNDERCARD:
Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Justin McCully
Luke Thomas: I doubt McCully will get steamrolled, but I don’t think there is anyway he can win. Gonzaga, TKO, round 2.
Kid Nate: Gonzaga by KO.
Brent Brookhouse: If this goes past the first round I wouldn't be shocked to see McCully win a decision. He has to have a gameplan that involves pressure, pressure, pressure which has always been the one thing that Gonzaga looks bad against (well..that and the cardio monster). That being said, I don't think it is going to go past the first round. Gonzaga by round 1 TKO.
Nick Thomas: Gonzaga by head kick and BJJ.
Jorge Gurgel vs. Cole Miller
Luke Thomas: Gurgel will be surprisingly game before succumbing to bad habits. Miller by TKO in the 3rd.
Kid Nate: Gurgel says he's got a gameplan for the first time in his career. I don't think that will make up for the reach he's giving up here. Miller by KO in 1.
Brent Brookhouse: Gurgel has already pretty much said he plans to keep it standing. Miller will pick him apart and win a somewhat lackluster decision. Cole Miller by decision.
Nick Thomas: Gurgel if you're reading this, please take it to the ground. Gurgel by submission.
Ben Saunders vs. Jared Rollins
Luke Thomas: Saunders by being technically better all the way around with a longer reach and better camp.
Melvin Guillard vs. Dennis Siver
Luke Thomas: Ordinarily I’d pick Siver, but I’m not getting a good vibe on him. Guillard by TKO, round 1.
Kid Nate: Melvin should be able to muscle past Siver. Guillard by TKO in 2.
Brent Brookhouse: I think this is the kind of fight where Guillard being an explosive mofo is going to help him. Siver does have those pesky submissions that Melvin seems to have never heard of. Still I think we're looking at a very short fight where Guillard hurts and finishes Siver. Melvin by quick KO in the first.
Nick Thomas: Not fan of Guillard so I have to go with the upset here. Upset #2 - Silver by decision.
Corey Hill vs. Justin Buchholz
Luke Thomas: Buccholz is completely outmatched here. Hill by TKO, round 1.
Kid Nate: Buchholz is being fed to Corey Hill here. Hill by TKO.
Brent Brookhouse: I'm picking Hill here but a Buchholz win wouldn't be a shocker considering the experience difference. I think Hill's natural physical gifts plus his being a "real fighter" now will get him the W. Corey Hill by TKO in the second.
Nick Thomas: Hill is a freak of nature. Hill by height and reach advantage.
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Comments
Good Picks. Im going with my heart on the Lytle/Koscheck fight. LYtle KO rnd. 2!
by asmiley420 on Jul 4, 2008 4:06 PM EDT 0 recs
If Florian can beat Huerta, can u say Penn Vs. Florian in Boston?
by asmiley420 on Jul 4, 2008 4:07 PM EDT 0 recs
Dana’s been saying “the UFC will be in Boston before the end of the year” for the last 3-4 years. The legislation is still a long way off.
by ChrisNelson on
Jul 4, 2008 8:39 PM EDT
up
0 recs
oh...
The Boston part. I thought he was saying no to Penn vs Florian. =)
by mythbuster on
Jul 4, 2008 10:59 PM EDT
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0 recs
For some reason, I still think Forrest will win. I still think he can outpoint Rampage or catch him with a submission.
by pud333 on Jul 4, 2008 4:20 PM EDT 0 recs
Nick wtf man. Bigger, better, blacker? You some kinda wigger or what.
by MrNiceGuyMMA on Jul 4, 2008 10:52 PM EDT 0 recs









