FightMatrix Rematch Statistics

by JCS_FM on Dec 25, 2008 6:30 PM EST Comment 12 comments

Just figured I would fill you guys in on some statistics I researched today...

Our FightMatrix database shows the following rematch-related statistics:

2,307 bouts have taken place where the fighters have fought at least once previous.
196 bouts where fighters have fought at least twice previous.... and 24 bouts, at least three times previous.
Two pairs of fighters have fought each other six times! (Travis Fulton & Rory Prazak, Brian Robinson & Nate Kopel)

In instances where fighters meet in their second encounter, the same winner has prevailed only 64.5% of the time. If the first fight ended in a knockout or submission, this number increases to 67.7%. These statistics prove that MMA is a very volatile sport compared to boxing, where the percentage of repeat winners after a knockout in the first bout since 1985 is almost 90% (I researched this myself).

Not many rematches have taken place after the first bout ended in disqualification. In fact, its very rare, as we only have record of 19 said rematches. The previous winner won 9 out of these 19.

How about when a fighter wins the first two matches by KO or TKO, and then rematches the loser for a third time? In other words, does Quinton stand a chance on Saturday? The dataset is extremely small, but the statistics show that the KO/TKO winner of the first two bouts, will win the third bout 89% of the time.

Original Post: http://www.fightmatrix.com/2008/12/25/mma-fighters-rematch-a-lot/

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Nice

Undefeated streaks in MMA are now almost a black mark that you haven’t been fighting up to your ability.

Everyone loses. It’s not the death of a fighter’s career.

by subo on Dec 25, 2008 6:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

doesnt bode well for Rampage

by DUGASWARRIOR on Dec 26, 2008 12:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

What’s the sample size for the Rampage/Silva situation?

by Carl P on Dec 26, 2008 4:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

9 fights

by JCS_FM on Dec 28, 2008 12:48 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Which ones?

In the sample fights where one guy has won two previous encounters, yet they are matched for a third? That would include:

Silva/Saku
Nog/Herring

Does the 3rd-fight stats include rivalries that more than 3 times, like Fulton/Prazak?

Ever tried. Ever failed. No matter. Try Again. Fail again. Fail better. -Samuel Beckett

by themachiavellian on Dec 31, 2008 12:33 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

great research man. especially the comparison to boxing….

what are the numbers when you get knocked out thru the ring into the stands? :)

by Headkick on Dec 26, 2008 6:50 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Ask Hasim Rahman. It’s not favorable to the guy who was previously knocked into the stands.

"A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on." - Sir Winston Churchill

by FlyByKnight on Dec 26, 2008 9:39 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

i dont follow boxing. i know about his fights w/ Lewis and I remember that softball inside his skull….who’d he knock thru the ropes? or was it vice versa?

by Headkick on Dec 27, 2008 10:20 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs