BloodyElbow.com's The Ultimate Fighter 8 Finale Betting Game
by Nick Thomas on Dec 13, 2008 9:14 AM EST
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PrintTime for redemption. 
Who can dethrone our BloodyElbow.com Betting Champion aaronb?
The rules:
Everyone gets $1000 BE dollars™. You must bet at least 4 fights, and you can bet from $100 to $300 (increments of $50) on any single fight. One entry per line. As a tie breaker, pick how long you think the main event will last. (to the second, closest wins)
- Phillipe Nover -354
- Vinicius Magalhaes -172
- Anthony Johnson -219
- Wilson Gouveia -130
- Junie Browning -352
- Krzysztof Soszynski -341
- Eliot Marshall -545
- Kyle Kingsbury -114
- Shane Nelson -114
- John Polakowski -121
- Efrain Escudero +324
- Ryan Bader +162
- Kevin Burns +199
- Jason Macdonald +120
- Dave Kaplan +322
- Shane Primm +311
- Jules Bruchez +495
- Tom Lawlor +104
- George Roop +104
- Rolando Delgado +111
The winner will be crowned the new BloodyElbow.com Heavyweight Champion, Light Heavyweight will go to the highest total $ including UFC 90/91's results and if neither of those are past champs, they will each move down a weight class.
-- Odds via BestFightOdds.com
Heavyweight - aaronb
Light Heavyweight - Tayman
Middleweight - mma_dude
Welterweight - MichaeltheboxThe FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.
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this is awesome.
Dave Kaplan 300
Anthony Johnson 300
Jason Macdonald 300
Ryan Bader 100
8:53
Does 4.38 mean “4min 38sec” or “4min 22 sec”? It looks like a decimal meaning 38/100 min to me.
Not trying to be a prick, just precise. Too many math classes.
Ever tried. Ever failed. No matter. Try Again. Fail again. Fail better. -Samuel Beckett
by Scott C. Broussard on Dec 12, 2008 2:31 AM EST up reply actions
Done.
I didn’t put any money on Kaplan though.
Vinny can win the fight whenever he wants. I bet he’ll try to kickbox for a minute or two and then the moment his pretty face has had enough, he’ll armbar, gogoplata or whateverthefuckplata Bader seconds after hitting the ground.
by cauliflower_ears on Dec 12, 2008 2:27 AM EST up reply actions
wait..
Light Heavyweight will go to the highest total $ including UFC 90/91’s results and if neither of those are past champs, they will each move down a weight class.
I dont know if its just me, but it isnt that clear i think. So the HW champ will always be the last guy who won the latest event betting game.. Then the LHW champ is the one with the highest total? and who’s “they”? the one with the highest total? So if you have the highest total but isnt a past HW champ, you’ll be moved down a weightclass? So if thats the case, the past champ with the highest total gets LHW? then the next is MW and so on?
sorry. I dont know if its unclear or i just cant read well. Hahhaa. :)
http://weoweoweo.deviantart.com/
lol… I don’t even know how I came up with it.
Basically…the HW champ will always be the winner of the last event and the LHW champ always the total winner. If at the next event… those two guys don’t win… they just move down and so on. So basically if you win a belt… you’ll keep a belt for 2-3 events until you drop off.
Clear as mud? =)
ohhhhhh. okay. i get it. haha. thanks dude. :)
http://weoweoweo.deviantart.com/
by Anton Tabuena on Dec 12, 2008 11:23 AM EST up reply actions
I’m guessing you’re gonna do these for all the UFC cards, but if Affliction 2 actually occurs, will you do one for that? That might actually make me want Affliction to succeed, at least for one more show.
by Rundownloser on Dec 12, 2008 2:08 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
Second the idea
It’s much more interesting matchmaking; I doubt the odds for it will be this distended.
Ever tried. Ever failed. No matter. Try Again. Fail again. Fail better. -Samuel Beckett
by Scott C. Broussard on Dec 12, 2008 2:16 AM EST up reply actions
I’ll try… it’s going to be a crazy couple days at the end of Jan.
UFC 93: Franklin vs. Henderson Saturday, January 17 2009
Extreme Challenge Friday, January 23 2009
Affliction: Day of Reckoning Saturday, January 24 2009
WEC 38 Sunday, January 25 2009
UFC 94: St. Pierre vs. Penn II Saturday, January 31 2009
by Nick Thomas on Dec 12, 2008 10:08 AM EST up reply actions
MacDonald – $300
Bader – $200
Kaplan – $200
Escudero – $100
Johnson – $200
4:30 min
How long does it take you guys to sort the entries?
Ever tried. Ever failed. No matter. Try Again. Fail again. Fail better. -Samuel Beckett
by Scott C. Broussard on Dec 12, 2008 2:26 AM EST reply actions
Delgado – 300
Kaplan – 300
Escudero – 200
Nelson – 200
ME: 9 min
(Wishful thinking above)
by ununkvadrium on Dec 12, 2008 5:14 AM EST up reply actions
Mark it Dude
$300 Vinicius
$100 Efrain
$300 Wilson
$100 Kaplan
$200 A.Johnson
15:00
Being on the internet gives me a right...nay a responsibility to bitch about things
300 Kaplan
200 Escudero
300 Bader
200 Mcdonald
8:32
Eliot Marshall: Bader won. Like I said in the episode, I'm not going to make any excuses. It's my job to be able to deal with when somebody's doing that. It's not his job to change up his tactics.
http://eliotmarshall.com/
not even BE bucks on your boy Marshall?
Being on the internet gives me a right...nay a responsibility to bitch about things
He was to big of a favorite.
besides, the way I pick, it probably would have jinxed him, lol!
Eliot Marshall: Bader won. Like I said in the episode, I'm not going to make any excuses. It's my job to be able to deal with when somebody's doing that. It's not his job to change up his tactics.
http://eliotmarshall.com/
Magalhaes 250
Nover 250
Kaplan 300
McDonald 200
2:23
Read My Blog
"Life's tough, tougher if you're stupid."
oops.. Didn’t know that.. My bad…
oops.. Didn’t know that.. My bad…300 Nover
300 Magalhaes
200 Burns
100 McDonald
100 Kaplan
oops.. Didn’t know that.. My bad…300 Nover
300 Magalhaes
200 Burns
100 McDonald
100 Kaplan15:00
oops.. Didn’t know that.. My bad…300 Nover
300 Magalhaes
200 Burns
100 McDonald
100 Kaplan15:00Hope this gets through in time..
Can't believe I spaced betting on FFTT
A night of upsets…
$250 Escudero
$250 Bader
$250 JMac
$250 Johnson
Main Event: 1:37 1st round (if Johnson/Burns) 3:34 2nd round (if Nover-Escudero)
by Derek Suboticki on Dec 12, 2008 2:01 PM EST reply actions
it is legal on betting sites, but since the players don’t have an advantage it is a net loss in the long run. I don’t know why you would want to do this other then conserve at least part of your bank roll. Its not smart in betting terms, but there are no issues when you keep the house advantage.
I was asking about this too earlier. Its not a losing play in this game in the long run, as far as I can tell. Its a losing play in real life, but in real life we can choose not to play, which would be a superior play. On here we either play or get nothing.
I also suspect that there are certain factors at work in the game here that result in players averaging a loss greater than the house take. In that case its a winning play over the long run for the overall contest, though it becomes a 0% play for the individual contests.
by Michaelthebox on Dec 13, 2008 3:55 AM EST up reply actions
I have no idea too.. I just read about that either here or at fightlinker.. I haven’t bet on any sports with real money also..
Szucconi: I agree. I think its only done on special betting lines where the odds are close enough (?) that either which way the fight goes the bettor wins. Anyways, I really don’t know shit about betting. :p
on money sites, the line moves depending on how much is being bet on one side. That can cause the line to cross even money, but it won’t be even on one site at the same time. like if it starts at -115 for fighter A and B and EVERYONE is betting fighter A then the line starts to move. A: -130 B: even. if betts are still mostly on A then they more it more to try to get some action on B and lighten there risk. A:-160 B:+130. Line moves that are this dramatic are rare, but now if you bet 115 on A at -115 when it opened and not you put 100 on B then you profit 15 no matter who wins.
The house wants to have equal risk on both sides of the line. Thats how they make money. If you bet 115 on both sides when both lines were at -115 then you would lose 30 no matter who wins.
Thanks. Is that the same thing as a parlay or is it a totally different thing?
Forgive me for my ignorance.. I think I’d better be doing a bit of research now…
no, a parlay is one bet on multiple fighters. Like if I bet on Kaplan, Maghales, and Soszynski in a parlay they all have to win for me to win the bet. One loss and I lose my bet. parlay bets are generally thought of as sucker bets, but they are fun. They increase your take if you win, but increase your risk even more. Go you MMAPlayground.com and play the betting game there. They don’t let you bet both sides because they have a player advantage, but they allow parlay bets. its a pretty fun game that I have totally lost interest in.
Thanks again..
I thought I made a reply here already before I when went off.. Oh well.. Here’s what I said: “… the site you mentioned looks like a fun place to play.. but I think I’ll stick around here for the mean time.. Its more straight forward, less complicated. Just right given my knowledge of the betting game.”
And I read through some Idiot’s guide to betting and along with the info you’ve given I think I have at least a better understanding of it. Except with the numbers. I suck at Math. Thanks again bro..
Technically, betting both sides can be advantageous if you run the numbers correctly.
MacDonald – $300
Polakowski – $300
Magalhaes – $300
Kaplan – $100
7:52
No Doubt
$300 Efrain Escudero
$300 Bader
$300 MacDonald
$100 A-Train Johnson
1 minute into round 3.
Main event 4 min
300 Magalhaes
200 Johnson
300 Gouveia
100 Kaplan
100 Roop
Lots of action on the apple juice lover kaplan.
I dont get it I know Junie is not that good but good God man Kaplan sucks.
by Harry Triangle on Dec 12, 2008 11:29 PM EST reply actions
Efrain 150
Vinicius 250
MacDonald 250
Kaplan 250
Jules Bruchez 100
3:50
Did you know we are in high demand, Laura?
by Eugene Schelfaut on Dec 13, 2008 1:10 AM EST reply actions
Main Event 7 minutes
$100 on Efrain.
$300 on Maghales
$150 on Kaplan
$150 on Roop
$300 on MacDonald
Brad Ziegler had a scoreless inning streak. Brad Ziegler had not met BJ Upton.
Hey I fianly found this post!
Eferain-100
Vince-200
Johson-200
MacDonald-300
Bruchez-200
8 mins – 2nd rd 3rd min
change---
Bruchez money to Dave Kaplan
Eferain-100
Vince-200
Johson-200
MacDonald-300
Kaplan-200
8 mins – 2nd rd 3rd min
Wagers
Soszynski 300
Macdonald 300
Johnson 300
Bader 100
15:00
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