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Business Plan for Affliction: Sign Kimbo

First things first:

1. I originally intended to draft a post in response to dropkick’s well written but absolutely unrealistic post about Affliction possibly doing anywhere near 200,000 PPV buys.

2. The majority of the BE community has already expressed their belief that dropkick’s hypothesis is unrealistic. Suffice to say that as it stands Affliction will most likely do around 50K – 75K PPV buys if that. They will most likely lose a hefty sum again on this event. If, as mentioned by Michael Rome, Affliction will spend upwards of 2 million on the Fedor fight alone their loss will probably be comparable to their first show.

However – the way for Affliction to move their way into profitability and success is clear:

 

Sign Kimbo Slice.

 

I think everyone here has no doubt at all that Kimbo is a huge draw. He is a much bigger draw than both Arlovski and Fedor put together. Despite his loss, Kimbo will still attract media attention and lots of PPV buys. Thus, the Affliction business plan for the next show should be as follows.

Star-divide

 

One.

Sign Kimbo Slice. He should be matched up against Ken Shamrock OR failing that then Frank Shamrock or someone else with a name, maybe a Gracie? Cesar Gracie perhaps?

This fight is guaranteed to attract media attention.

 

Two.

Hype the event in the right way. Tom Atencio’s exact words should be something like this (if they sign Ken Shamrock):

“We know that the public wanted to see this fight. Everyone wanted to see it. We had this great fight card with the best fighter in the world taking on arguably the second best fighter. But we also know that people want to see Kimbo fight as well. We’re happy to oblige. But make sure you take note that the two guys fighting in the main event would absolutely crush Brock Lesnar. These guys are the legit best fighters in the world.” Then cue some garbage about how Fedor absolutely pounded on Heath Herring much worse than Lesnar did.

Insist that people who want to do interviews with Kimbo and Shamrock also include coverage of Fedor. Hype everything about him, how he is undefeated, how he is Vladimir Putin’s best friend, etc etc. Make sure Kimbo also acknowledges that Fedor is incredible and tells everyone he meets. Get Kimbo on Jimmy Kimmel and talk about his loss and how he was just starting out and how everyone gets caught. Reference that Chuck got brutally knocked out and so did Randy Couture. Then let the world know that Fedor has never been knocked out or even knocked down. Also let the world know that Fedor beat down on Lesnar’s next opponent twice. Let Kimbo tell the world that fighting Fedor is what he’s aiming for and that MMA is a developing sport and Fedor is King. If possible get Fedor and his translator on Jimmy Kimmel with Kimbo. Get Kimmel to crack some joke about how he seems like the nicest guy and then air the footage or Fedor destroying Sylvia. Try to get Arlovski some media attention and utilise the footage of his beat down of Ben Rothwell and Roy Nelson. The Rothwell fight in particularly was pretty epic.

Most importantly – leverage the Kimbo attraction to hype Fedor. Make sure the world knows that Kimbo is a star and a great upcoming fighter but that Fedor is currently considered the number one fighter on the planet.

Three

(This one is a bit unrealistic but maybe it could happen).

BEG a basic cable channel to air 30 minutes of build up for the Affliction PPV. Pay them handsomely. Maybe do what Obama did and just purchase 30 minutes worth of primetime TV. Alternatively - use preexisting links to Showtime or CBS to get 30 minutes build up. Use the time to hype both Kimbo-Shamrock fight and Fedor-Arlovski fight. Also do brief hypes on potential break out stars like Chris Horodecki. Make sure that the show is perfect and everybody who watches the build-up show wants to spend $40 on a PPV. Hope that the show draws a decent number of eye-balls.

Again – I think step three is unrealistic because Affliction doesn’t have the budget OR the time but if they can somehow get together then this will be a great help.

Four

During the PPV hype the Fedor fight. Hype it bigtime just before the Kimbo fight. Everyone who’s watching must understand how great Fedor is. Given a 3 hour PPV and some quick fights there should be plenty of time to allow a hype machine to go all out. The broadcast team should be extremely well briefed on who Fedor is.

 

Five

Hope that both Kimbo and Fedor win. Hope that Fedor looks amazing destroying Arlovski in brutal fashion. It’s not the end of the world is either of them lose but it’ll make things more difficult. Also hope that the event is amazing and everyone who watches will come back and buy the next PPV.

 

The most important thing that Affliction needs is eyeballs. If they have a large number of eyeballs then this can potentially set them up with a good long term outlook.

Affliction need a Griffin-Bonnar moment that can set them up as a potential rival to the UFC. The problem that Elite XC had was they based their promotion around Kimbo who wasn’t a legit fighter. The difference between that and TUF was that anyone watching TUF would have understood that Griffin and Bonnar were students and the Randy and Chuck were the coaches. By definition people would have then understood that either Randy or Chuck would destroy Griffin or Bonnar. This built the legitimacy of the two legends and allowed them to become mainstream stars.

The same needs to occur with Affliction. Kimbo has to be seen acknowledging that he’s still learning and that Fedor and Arlovski are the guys at the top. That way everyone who watches will be intrigued by how good these guys really are.

If DOR is a really good watch then people will come back and Affliction will have a fair amount of goodwill among customers. They could then utilise the pre-existing relationship with Elite XC to try to leverage a Showtime deal etc etc.

The reality is that Affliction are going to lose a couple of mil on this show. If they really want this MMA venture to succeed they should roll the dice and shell out about a million more for Kimbo and related expenses. This may actually give them a fighting chance (no pun intended).

For the record – I think Affliction will be toast pretty soon. If not before this event then definitely after. I also don’t really imagine any other way they can build a large customer/fan base before this event. If they lose a huge amount of money again then they’ll go back to their clothing business and their all new ‘dream team’.  (http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Affliction-Clothing-Takes-Contemporary-Fashion/story.aspx?guid=%7BE4D74081-A38E-4011-9C5B-E0408BFA3267%7D)

My opinion is that this is perhaps the only way the Affliction can build big exposure quickly.

Maybe they could also sign Gina Carano from under Dana’s nose! (Note: this wouldn’t have the same impact as a Kimbo signing because they cannot leverage of Gina’s popularity to hype Fedor.)

(Get Fedor to ask Vladimir Putin to come to the US to sit and watch the fight!)

Don’t put Ozzie Osbourne or any other crap heavy-metal bands on the PPV. I for one did not at all appreciate the heavy metal band at the Affliction show. I’m there to watch MMA. And I like the Backstreet Boys. Keep the atmosphere resembling a sporting event. License Gladistor style music.

The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.

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I dont agree with some of the things you said, but i really agree with this line

Kimbo has to be seen acknowledging that he’s still learning and that Fedor and Arlovski are the guys at the top.

Kimbo would bring in the casual fans, and if they get to acknowledge that kimbo is a good up and comer and fedor is the best, then they could sell more ppvs. and Fedor would be a bigger draw.. then it would be + for affliciton.

http://weoweoweo.deviantart.com/

by Anton Tabuena on Nov 25, 2008 6:00 AM EST reply actions  

Or, you could just tattoo ‘failed business plan’ on your forehead.

Shit, maybe Tito will be in the stands of Day of Reckoning to apply his patented ’I’m almost signed’ kiss of death.

Kimbo would probaby be annihilated by Rothwell or Rizzo… hell, Buentello would have his way with him.

Kimbo’s going to Japan. They’ll love him.

It’s too early in the morning for this in Colorado.

by Derek Suboticki on Nov 25, 2008 8:38 AM EST reply actions  

I actually wouldn't mind

seeing all this happen. You sure did put a lot of thought into it. lol +1

by xFenixKnightx on Nov 25, 2008 9:51 AM EST reply actions  

Make sure Kimbo also acknowledges that Fedor is incredible and tells everyone he meets.

Everyone who’s watching must understand how great Fedor is.

Then let the world know that Fedor has never been knocked out or even knocked down.

The broadcast team should be extremely well briefed on who Fedor is.

(Get Fedor to ask Vladimir Putin to come to the US to sit and watch the fight!)

Let Kimbo tell the world that fighting Fedor is what he’s aiming for and that MMA is a developing sport and Fedor is King.

That is a lot of, uh, love.

If possible get Fedor and his translator on Jimmy Kimmel with Kimbo.

I like how Jimmy Kimmel is the MMA talk show host of first resort.
And, by God, get that man on Kimmel!

by Eugene Schelfaut on Nov 25, 2008 10:29 AM EST reply actions  

Kimbo vs Edor?

Not a bad idea. I’m not sure how big a draw Kimbo is anymore – I believe most casuals got think of him as a fraud now? But Kimbo aside – any huge draw, and build up the way you said.

I heard Affliction had a recent Vice President vacancy.. You sent in your resume? ;)

by mythbuster on Nov 25, 2008 10:39 AM EST reply actions  

I’m really not sure how well putting Kimbo on the card would do.

Kimbo has proven that he can get people to watch him on CBS and youtube, I don’t recall anyone ever paying to watch Kimbo fight, so throwing all your eggs in that basket wouldn’t be smart. Also, an mma company would be incredibly stupid to put any time, effort, or money into hyping a Ken Shamrock main event at this point, I’m not saying he cut himself on purpose, but it’s not worth the risk.

As for the time buy, the cheapest one cost obama .75 million, and that was with a discount, besides the fact that a major network would not give up a half hour of time to affliction, there’s no way they could generate a million dollars in income with it, and that would be a minimum to break even.

I also doubt that they could get on another network, they screwed up by signing a deal with HDNet, IMO. Who knows if they’re even allowed to be on another network?

HDNet is great to watch fights on, but it just doesn’t have enough reach for someone trying to be as big as Affliction dreams of being.

by Phildo on Nov 25, 2008 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

Wait...

..I thought you were joking when you said this in the other thread. Terrible and unrealistic idea. Affliction has a very clear ideology with their product and this is completely adverse to that.

by Blackout612 on Nov 25, 2008 12:19 PM EST reply actions  

To echo a couple of the comments above me, I’m not so sure Kimbo is necessarily the tremendous draw you make him out to be. Remember he just got posterized on national television. Additionally, there is no indication of how well Kimbo would draw on pay per view.

If you really wanted to use Kimbo as a draw, I would match him up with Tito Ortiz rather than Ken Shamrock. Ortiz is a proven pay per view draw and he can actually fight. I’m not sure I can say the same for Shamrock. Granted that might sacrifice Kimbo, but it will definitely draw. Affliction needs to get out of the red sooner rather than later.

Finally, I think you need to keep in mind Affliction’s core fan base. Affliction creates good matches hardcore fans want to see. Affliction doesn’t have stars or brand recognition the way the UFC does. Signing Kimbo and promoting a fight between him and Ken Shamrock as legitimate will cause hardcore fans to cry foul. Not sure how much it would hurt the buy rate among hardcore fans, but it’s important to recognize that freak show style fights run the risk of alienating those who are most likely to buy pay per views. Hardcore fans will still watch, but they are quite savvy and finding ways to watch without paying.

With all that said, I think it could work. There are certainly risks to signing Kimbo, but Affliction needs all the help it can get at this point. I don’t really think it would work, but there’s no harm in trying.

by Andy R on Nov 25, 2008 12:19 PM EST reply actions  

I think you bring up a potentially decent idea, albeit with some holes. I do like the main idea of it: use Kimbo’s star power to get more people to tune in in order to give the rub to Fedor v. Arlovski. That’s the way Kimbo should’ve been utilized by EliteXC the entire time but they botched that one.

Kimbo would surely come in at a lighter price tag than previously, but I don’t know that a fight against Shamrock is the best way to go. Shamrock commands a lot of money with very little payoff – people are paying to see Kimbo beat somebody up – there’s no reason to pay that person $200,000 because he has an inflated view of self worth. The ideal candidates would be Sean Gannon or Seth Petruzelli. For Kimbo to be viable to any company again, he has to gain back some of that aura of (fake) invincibility and putting the stamp on the two guys who have beaten him would do that.

I think it’s a good idea and it would be a $100,000 salary that could potentially be worth some of what it costs, as opposed to the other ridiculous salaries we’ve seen. Hell, if anything, it couldn’t hurt.

by dropkick101 on Nov 25, 2008 12:41 PM EST reply actions  

Nobody is gonna pay Kimbo jack now

You could scoop him and Petruzelli up on the rematch tip for 35-40K a peice and you’d be doing them both a favor

by skwirrl on Nov 26, 2008 1:40 AM EST up reply actions  

The newest sandwich at Jack In the Box

The Kimbo Jack, two chicken breasts… one grilled, one fried on a sesame seed bun

by Gunslinger20 on Nov 26, 2008 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

I dunno who your supplier is....

Can I get their number cuz that shit you’re smoking must be the bomb!!!

by Gunslinger20 on Nov 25, 2008 3:29 PM EST reply actions  

Responses

@Phildo – I agree with you that Kimbo isn’t an established PPV draw by any means – however I think he would at least break even by himself. I.e. he would draw enough extra buys to cover his compensation. Also agreed that Ken Shamrock is a risk that’s why I didn’t put much emphasis on him. Its just one option. The main point being Affliction need to draw in the casual fans with a drawcard.

.75 million is less than what Affliction paid Tim Sylvia. They could afford it if they were looking to roll the dice. As it stands everyone knows that Affliction will be out of business soon. If they know they are going to lose money on DOR than they should be confirming their long-term viability. If not they (from a business standpoint) should just cancel the card and liquidate Affliction Entertainment.

@Blackout – Unrealistic – Yes. This is never going to happen. Bad business move – No. The consensus everywhere is that Affliction is going to crumble. Unless they have a way to draw more buys or they have some sort of TV deal in the pipeline they will not be able to survive on PPV alone. I’m not seeing where this contradict’s Affliction’s ideology. Yes they want to put on the best MMA but as clearly understood by most at BE (see the Nobody Wants to see it post and comments) promotions have to strive for a balance between fights that draw eyeballs and fights that are significant sporting wise. Note my emphasis that Kimbo frames himself as an up and coming fighter. He knows (and has publicly acknowledged) that he isn’t by any means a great MMA fighter. But he hopes to be. I definitely see having Kimbo fight on a card as preferable to having a heavy metal band blasting their music through my living room speakers.

@ Andy R – matching Kimbo against Ortiz would be a great idea. I think Kimbo would still draw a huge amount of media interest and casual eyeballs will be interested. Of course there’s a huge difference between PPV and network TV. One thing I definitely am certain is that a Kimbo fight WOULD NOT reduce any hardcore fan buys. Come on – it’s Fedor-Arlovski. If they were going to pay – they would pay anyway.

@dropkick – Agree that a fight against Shamrock isn’t ideal. He’s just a potential opponent. The most important thing for an opponent is to have a story and something that will create mass media interest.

@Baudelaire – lol – if he can get on Letterman then go for it. A lot of love for Fedor is important. Btw – everytime I have seen a Kimbo interview he has been modest and understood that he is a newbie in a big world of guys who fight much better than he does. I heard even Bas still kicks his ass in the gym. Bas totally respects Fedor and I don’t think getting Kimbo to push Fedor would be difficult.

@subo – dude – I generally like your thoughts. We were 100% on the same page regarding the Jon Fitch situation. I was going to draft a fan post but you beat me to it. When you have time to think about it the above give me some good criticism or come up with a better plan that could allow Affliction to survive.

by rainmaker6 on Nov 26, 2008 12:47 AM EST reply actions  

Looking for employment

@mythbuster – thanks bro. I’d love to consult any MMA companies, it would be a nice change to consulting banks.

by rainmaker6 on Nov 26, 2008 1:20 AM EST reply actions  

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