BloodyElbow.com Staff Predictions for "EliteXC: Heat", CBS Saturday Night Fights
Kevin "Kimbo Slice"
Kid Nate: Shamrock will get whupped again. Quickly and with little suspense or entertainment value. Slice by TKO in 1.
Brent Brookhouse: Kevin "Kimbo Slice" Ferguson vs. Ken Shamrock - With all the "we saw Kimbo exposed by James Thompson" talk people are throwing around as a reason Shamrock can pull the upset off you'd think they know something I don't. Ken got jacked up by Buzz
Mike Rome: For all the smoke and mirrors, we all know what will really happen. Ken is going to try to stand with Kimbo, and as soon as he gets hurt his entire gameplan will go out the window, and he will end up getting destroyed. I'll be shocked by any other outcome. Kimbo Slice via TKO, round 1.
Nick Thomas: Another gimme fight for Kimbo. I haven't forgotten that Buzz
Chris Nelson: I can't recall another high profile fight in recent memory which made me this sad. (Maybe Sakuraba-Manhoef; at least Royce had a shot going into the Hughes fight, or so I thought.) Ken has made it all too clear in the run-up to this match that he knows he's at the end of his career, and it seems he's already lost the match in his mind. I fully expect this to go down the way everyone on the planet expects (and the way EliteXC needs) it to go.
Kid Nate: Hoping for a good one here, but my brain tells me Shields will get the takedown and the submission pretty quick. Shields by submission.
Brent Brookhouse: Shields is on a roll and has looked fantastic in recent EXC fights. There is something about Daley though. He is very explosive and his striking is really sharp. Also, Daley is a guy who was ready to retire because he just didn't have the passion any more. I think he is a guy who needs to feel motivated...he wants to climb the mountain and in Shields he feels like there is finally a mountain worth climbing. I'm going to take a very motivated Daley to pull off the upset here because I have such a soft spot for technical strikers. Paul Daley by TKO in round 1.
Mike Rome: I like the match, but it's still a mismatch. Shields is just too good where Daley isn't, and will only lose if he decides to try to show off his standing skills too much. Jake is too smart, he'll get Daley down and submit him. Shields via submission, round 2.
Nick Thomas: Grappler vs. Striker here. Sheilds is bigger, stronger, better and has never gone past the 2nd round in his last 5 fights. Shields by whatever.
Chris Nelson: The most competitive fight on the card, in my opinion. Shields' 63-second destruction of Nick Thompson on the last CBS show was phenomenal, and the fact that Daley is known for his sub-par wrestling would suggest that EXC is setting their newly-minted champ up for his first successful defense. But I've got to follow my gut on this one, which says the dynamic striking of a hungry "Semtex" will bring Shield's win streak to a halt at 10. Daley via TKO, Round 2.
Kid Nate: Now we have a fun fight. Nelson is game but I expect Arlovski to dismantle and demolish him standing in 2. Arlovski by TKO.
Brent Brookhouse: I like Nelson a lot, but he just isn't at Arlovski's level. Nelson is a guy who fits the mold of the guy Andrei was running through while champion (but with a strong chin). This is not going to be anywhere near as close as everyone seems to think it is. Arlovski is going to bust Nelson up for three rounds and take a decision. Nelson will do a good job of hitting Andrei's fist with his head though. Andrei Arlovski by decision.
Mike Rome: Poor Josh Barnett. Affliction is paying for all the salaries in this fight so it is an expensive commercial, so to speak. The goal is for Arlovski to look great, but I see this being a tough fight. I would have picked Nelson if this fight was booked before the last Affliction show, but Arlovski seems motivated again, and I think he'll just be too much standing for the slower Nelson.
Nick Thomas: The IFL Champ has never fought anyone like Arlovski. Arlovski has won his last 4 fights and has proven that he's back. Arlovski + kicks, knees, speed, and accuracy = Arlovski by KO.
Chris Nelson: What must be going through Andrei's mind, swapping out his scheduled Affliction opponent Josh Barnett for the very aptly monikered "Big Country?" I hope it's not "I'm gonna take this pumpkin-bellied fool lightly," because for all his rotundity, Nelson does have a granite chin and has shown much improved wrestling since he started his run in the IFL. Still, it's hard to bet against the taller, quicker, more experienced Belarusian, who may need to eschew his Freddie Roach-honed boxing in favor of sambo for the win. Arlovski via Decision.
Kid Nate: Gina will kick the crap out of Kobold. Carano by TKO in 2.
Brent Brookhouse: Kobold is tough, and she'll use that toughness to manage to get off her stool at the start of the second round. She will wake up a few minutes later. Gina Carano by TKO round 2.
Mike Rome: Kelly has a good record, but it is mostly filled with wins over cans. Gina actually had a full training camp for this fight, and I think she is going to win this pretty easily. Kelly's standup is not all that great; I think Gina will beat her up badly. Carano via TKO, round 2.
Nick Thomas: This is Gina's set up match for Carano vs.
Chris Nelson: Kelly's a well-rounded fighter with powerful boxing and Minnesota MMA Academy-trained wrestling. I've always enjoyed watching her bouts and would love to pick her for the upset here... but Carano's range and vicious striking (as displayed against Kobold's training partner Kaitlin Young) is just overwhelming. Carano via Decision.
Kid Nate: Should be a good one here. Ninja might be facing his last chance to be considered remotely a top fighter. Radach just might have a chance to climb the hill here. I'm picking Radach by TKO.
Brent Brookhouse: Picking Ninja fights is always tough because you're never sure which Ninja you're going to get. I like Radach and think that at this point in time he needs the win more and seems a bit more "steady." In a fight where it seems like somebody is probably going to sleep it goes to decision a lot of the time. Benji Radach by close decision.
Mike Rome: Upset alert! Both men have tremendous standing power and questionable chins, but I think Ninja's stubborn refusal to fight advantageously will cost him here. Radach via TKO, round 2.
Nick Thomas: The most interesting fight on the card with Radach trying to get back on the winning track and Rua staying on it. Ninja should take this with experience. Rua by decision.
Chris Nelson: Both Radach and "Ninja" have explosive power in their boxing and Muay Thai, respectively, but both have shown cracks in their chins as well. After a feeling out period in the first, I see Radach taking this to the floor to try and pound it out, where the elder Rua will catch a submission from his back. Rua via Submission, Round 2.
Luke Thomas: Takahashi is going to mauled here. She herself is an ancient journeyman who trains with nothing but other Japanese female journey…women? In any event, Cyborg’s aggression and clinch game is going to be her undoing. Cyborg by TKO, round 1.
Mike Rome: Hey, what a stupid fight. The goal is to build up a brutal monster to fight Carano, so they put her against someone incredibly hard to knock out in a fight that probably won't make TV. Good thinking! Anyway I think
Chris Nelson: Yoko has been in this a long, long time, and the woman can take a beating. But unless she catches the lady
Brent Brookhouse: Heun by decision.
Mike Rome: Berto via TKO, round 1.
Nick Thomas: Berto by decision.
Chris Nelson: Heun looked impressive against the highly-touted Chute Boxe prospect Marlon Matias back in March. His decent Muay Thai combined with great submission skills should overwhelm the smaller (though more experienced) "Little Tiger." Heun via TKO, Round 2.
Nick Thomas: Petruzelli by TKO.
Lorenzo Borgomeo vs. Mikey Gomez
Brent Brookhouse: Borgomeo by submission.
Mike Rome: Borgomeo via TKO, round 2.
Chris Nelson: Borgomeo via Decision.
David Gomez vs. Brett Jackowski
Brent Brookhouse: Jackowski by TKO.
Mike Rome: Jackowski via Submission, Round 3.
Chris Nelson: Jackowski via Submission, Round 2.
Jorge Bouchat vs. Nicolae Cury
Brent Brookhouse: Cury by submission.
Mike Rome: Cury via Submission, Round 2.
Chris Nelson: Cury via Submission, Round 1.